Objective
The use of hydrological models to determine the effects of climate change on the variation in viral flux, and therefore in risk associated with viral disease, constitutes a novel approach to the management of water-related disease. Tools developed in previous EU Projects will be used to conduct case studies on five selected sites (in Sweden, Spain, Hungary, Greece and Brazil) vulnerable to climate change (principally rainfall events), and the empirical baseline data accrued will be used in mathematical models constructed to estimate changes in exposure under defined conditions. Exposure levels will then be used to estimate risk of disease associated with such changes. Tools will include novel methods for processing of sewage, effluent and water samples, for quantitative detection of the target viruses, and for the determination of the source (human or animal) of viral pollution. Models will be adapted from existing epidemiological models for viral disease in the community, or will be generated de novo as required. Bacterial faecal indicator analysis will permit the determination of any relationships between virus levels and water quality standards, and also between changes in virus concentration in water and risk to public health activities, such as bathing in polluted water or consumption of shellfish.
Field of science
- /natural sciences/earth and related environmental sciences/hydrology
- /medical and health sciences/health sciences/public and environmental health
- /natural sciences/biological sciences/microbiology/virology
- /natural sciences/mathematics/applied mathematics/mathematical model
- /social sciences/sociology/governance/crisis management
- /natural sciences/earth and related environmental sciences/atmospheric sciences/climatology/climatic changes
Programme(s)
Call for proposal
FP7-ENV-2009-1
See other projects for this call
Funding Scheme
CP-FP - Small or medium-scale focused research projectCoordinator
SY23 3BF Aberystwyth
United Kingdom
Participants (7)
08007 Barcelona
CF15 7QZ Cardiff
265 04 Rio Patras
901 87 Umea
21040 900 Rio De Janeiro
1097 Budapest
08005 Barcelona