Objective
A range of advanced modelling approaches has been used so far to assess the impact of global change on biodiversity and ecosystems. These assessments include advanced socio-economic scenarios and yield projections of the distribution of species, communities and biomes and the functioning of ecosystems. Future goods and services are then assessed from these projections.
However, four main limitations remain associated with these approaches:
1. Knowledge and data of past species' distribution is still limited, yet necessary for testing them in the past before projecting them to the future
2. We miss sound estimates of species' long distance migration rates in order to assess whether species will be able to keep pace with rapid global change
3. Some key assumptions of models, such as niche stability over time and/or space, are not well tested
4. We need more reliable estimate of uncertainties in model predictions.
Our project specifically proposes to go one step further by:
1. Integrating different modelling app roaches currently in use (niche-based, dynamic, dispersal, etc.), and by developing robust methodologies to estimate uncertainties associated with these projections
2. Generating required new data (palaeo & migration) by using innovative DNA-based appr oaches, and global change scenarios
3. Testing niche conservatism and temporal evolution of biological communities
4. Using the new data in improved and integrated models to make projections more robust and realistic
5. Testing these approaches in case study areas and expanding the current projections to all of Europe.
Our consortium encompasses a wide spectrum of skills required to meet these objectives. Our final goal is to provide data, scenarios and associated confidence limits so that policy markers and land managers can use them for anticipating societal problems and for designing sustainable conservation strategies by accounting the most likely global change effects on biodiversity and ecosystems.
Fields of science (EuroSciVoc)
CORDIS classifies projects with EuroSciVoc, a multilingual taxonomy of fields of science, through a semi-automatic process based on NLP techniques. See: The European Science Vocabulary.
CORDIS classifies projects with EuroSciVoc, a multilingual taxonomy of fields of science, through a semi-automatic process based on NLP techniques. See: The European Science Vocabulary.
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Keywords
Project’s keywords as indicated by the project coordinator. Not to be confused with the EuroSciVoc taxonomy (Fields of science)
Project’s keywords as indicated by the project coordinator. Not to be confused with the EuroSciVoc taxonomy (Fields of science)
Programme(s)
Multi-annual funding programmes that define the EU’s priorities for research and innovation.
Multi-annual funding programmes that define the EU’s priorities for research and innovation.
Topic(s)
Calls for proposals are divided into topics. A topic defines a specific subject or area for which applicants can submit proposals. The description of a topic comprises its specific scope and the expected impact of the funded project.
Calls for proposals are divided into topics. A topic defines a specific subject or area for which applicants can submit proposals. The description of a topic comprises its specific scope and the expected impact of the funded project.
Call for proposal
Procedure for inviting applicants to submit project proposals, with the aim of receiving EU funding.
Procedure for inviting applicants to submit project proposals, with the aim of receiving EU funding.
FP6-2005-GLOBAL-4
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Funding Scheme
Funding scheme (or “Type of Action”) inside a programme with common features. It specifies: the scope of what is funded; the reimbursement rate; specific evaluation criteria to qualify for funding; and the use of simplified forms of costs like lump sums.
Funding scheme (or “Type of Action”) inside a programme with common features. It specifies: the scope of what is funded; the reimbursement rate; specific evaluation criteria to qualify for funding; and the use of simplified forms of costs like lump sums.
Coordinator
PARIS
France
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Participants (23)
BIRMENSDORF
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WIEN
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KOBENHAVN
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OSLO
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SOUTHAMPTON
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BASEL
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KRAKOW
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CLUJ-NAPOCA
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TOULOUSE
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WIEN
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TROMSOE
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TARTU
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MADRID
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POZNAN
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WAGENINGEN
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LIEGE
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SINT PETERSBURG
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NORWICH
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9101 WAGENINGEN
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EDINBURGH
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Box 117 LUND
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ZURICH
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LAUSANNE
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