Project description
Advanced regression methods reveal climate change drivers in Earth observation data
Mathematical models and increasing computational power have been essential to our understanding of complex dynamical systems involving tremendously large data sets hiding many interrelationships. They are providing insight into our changing climate from Earth observation satellite data. These changes are becoming more rapid and difficult to understand and predict. New satellite missions will bring us even more complex, heterogeneous, multisource and structured data that will require improved statistical inference methods to be fully exploited. The European Research Council-funded SEDAL project developed advanced regression methods to improve efficiency, prediction accuracy and uncertainties, encode physical parameters and enable us to discover hidden essential drivers and confounding factors.
Objective
SEDAL is an interdisciplinary project that aims to develop novel statistical learning methods to analyze Earth Observation (EO) satellite data. In the last decade, machine learning models have helped to monitor land, oceans, and atmosphere through the analysis and estimation of climate and biophysical parameters. Current approaches, however, cannot deal efficiently with the particular characteristics of remote sensing data. In the coming few years, this problem will largely increase: several satellite missions, such as the operational EU Copernicus Sentinels, will be launched, and we will face the urgent need to process and understand huge amounts of complex, heterogeneous, multisource, and structured data to monitor the rapid changes already occurring in our Planet.
SEDAL aims to develop the next generation of statistical inference methods for EO data analysis. We will develop advanced regression methods to improve efficiency, prediction accuracy and uncertainties, encode physical knowledge about the problem, and attain self-explanatory models learned from empirical data. Even more importantly, we will learn graphical causal models to explain the potentially complex interactions between key observed variables, and discover hidden essential drivers and confounding factors. This project will thus aboard the fundamental problem of moving from correlation to dependence and then to causation through EO data analysis. The theoretical developments will be guided by the challenging problems of estimating biophysical parameters and learning causal relations at both local and global planetary scales.
The long-term vision of SEDAL is tied to open new frontiers and foster research towards algorithms capable of discovering knowledge from EO data, a stepping stone before the more ambitious far-end goal of machine reasoning of anthropogenic climate change.
Fields of science
Not validated
Not validated
- natural sciencescomputer and information sciencesdata sciencebig data
- natural sciencesmathematicsapplied mathematicsstatistics and probability
- natural sciencesearth and related environmental sciencesatmospheric sciencesclimatologyclimatic changes
- natural sciencescomputer and information sciencesdata sciencedata processing
- natural sciencescomputer and information sciencessoftwaresoftware applicationssimulation software
Programme(s)
Funding Scheme
ERC-COG - Consolidator GrantHost institution
46010 Valencia
Spain