Uncertainty and Precaution: Environmental Decisions Involving Catastrophic Threats

Project Information

UnPrEDICT

Grant agreement ID: 669751

DOI 10.3030/669751

Project closed

EC signature date 28 July 2015

Start date 1 October 2015

End date 31 March 2021

Funded under

• EXCELLENT SCIENCE - European Research Council (ERC)

Total cost € 2 066 976,00

EU contribution € 2 066 976,00

Coordinated by

THE CHANCELLOR, MASTERS AND SCHOLARS OF THE UNIVERSITY OF OXFORD
United Kingdom

Publications

Peer reviewed articles (10)

The Vulnerable World Hypothesis

Author(s): Nick Bostrom
Published in: Global Policy, Issue 10/4, 2019, Page(s) 455-476, ISSN 1758-5880
Publisher: John Wiley and Sons Ltd
DOI: 10.1111/1758-5899.12718

Information Hazards in Biotechnology

Author(s): Gregory Lewis, Piers Millett, Anders Sandberg, Andrew Snyder-Beattie, Gigi Gronvall
Published in: Risk Analysis, 2018, ISSN 0272-4332
Publisher: Blackwell Publishing Inc.
DOI: 10.1111/risa.13235

Strategic Implications of Openness in AI Development

Author(s): Nick Bostrom
Published in: Global Policy, Issue 8/2, 2017, Page(s) 135-148, ISSN 1758-5880
Publisher: John Wiley and Sons Ltd
DOI: 10.1111/1758-5899.12403

Modeling the Social Dynamics of Moral Enhancement: Social Strategies Sold Over the Counter and the Stability of Society

Author(s): ANDERS SANDBERG, JOAO FABIANO
Published in: Cambridge Quarterly of Healthcare Ethics, Issue 26/3, 2017, Page(s) 431-445, ISSN 0963-1801
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
DOI: 10.1017/s0963180116001109

Pricing Externalities to Balance Public Risks and Benefits of Research

Author(s): Sebastian Farquhar, Owen Cotton-Barratt, Andrew Snyder-Beattie
Published in: Health Security, Issue 15/4, 2017, Page(s) 401-408, ISSN 2326-5094
Publisher: Health security
DOI: 10.1089/hs.2016.0118

An upper bound for the background rate of human extinction

Author(s): Andrew E. Snyder-Beattie, Toby Ord, Michael B. Bonsall
Published in: Scientific Reports, Issue 9/1, 2019, ISSN 2045-2322
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-019-47540-7

Defence in Depth Against Human Extinction: Prevention, Response, Resilience, and Why They All Matter

Author(s): Owen Cotton‐Barratt, Max Daniel, Anders Sandberg
Published in: Global Policy, 2020, ISSN 1758-5880
Publisher: John Wiley and Sons Ltd
DOI: 10.1111/1758-5899.12786

A Pragmatist’s Guide to Epistemic Utility

Author(s): Benjamin Anders Levinstein
Published in: Philosophy of Science, Issue 84/4, 2017, Page(s) 613-638, ISSN 0031-8248
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
DOI: 10.1086/693444

How does the offense-defense balance scale?

Author(s): Ben Garfinkel, Allan Dafoe
Published in: Journal of Strategic Studies, Issue 42/6, 2019, Page(s) 736-763, ISSN 0140-2390
Publisher: Frank Cass Publishers
DOI: 10.1080/01402390.2019.1631810

Who Should We Fear More: Biohackers, Disgruntled Postdocs, or Bad Governments? A Simple Risk Chain Model of Biorisk

Author(s): Anders Sandberg, Cassidy Nelson
Published in: Health Security, Issue 18/3, 2020, Page(s) 155-163, ISSN 2326-5094
Publisher: Mary Ann Liebert, Inc.
DOI: 10.1089/hs.2019.0115

Book chapters (1)

Policy Desiderata for Superintelligent AI: A Vector Field Approach

Author(s): Nick Bostrom, Allan Dafoe, Carrick Flynn
Published in: Ethics of Artificial Intelligence, Issue 2020, 2020, Page(s) 293–326, ISBN 9780190905033
Publisher: Oxford University Press

Other (3)

Reframing Superintelligence - Comprehensive AI Services as General Intelligence

Author(s): K. Eric Drexler
Published in: FHI Technical Report, 2019
Publisher: Future of Humanity Institute

The Windfall Clause: Distributing the Benefits of AI for the Common Good

Author(s): Cullen O’Keefe, Peter Cihon, Ben Garfinkel, Carrick Flynn, Jade Leung, Allan Dafoe
Published in: 2020
Publisher: Future of Humanity Institute

Cheating Death in Damascus

Author(s): Benjamin A. Levinstein, Nate Soares
Published in: 2020
Publisher: Benjamin A. Levinstein