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A Large-Scale Systems Approach to Flood Risk Assessment and Management

Deliverables

Flood Task Force report

Flood Task Force report (3 months after a flood event)

SYSTEM-RISK Project flyer (Key storyline)

Lead: adelphi Project flyer designed and printed

Participation in the Researchers Night

Lead: adelphi SYSTEM-RISK consortium members participated in the European Researchers Night / national Nights of Sciences with presentations and/or SYSTEM-RISK booths (months 24, 36) + GIFT Workshops (months 29, 41).

Website launched

Lead: adelphi Website launched: The SYSTEM-RISK ETN website will continuously report about the project’s objectives, activities and results. It will also be used for internal communication and for jointly recruiting ESRs.

Policy briefs (from WP1, WP2, WP3)

Lead: adelphi Three policy briefs on WP1-WP3 results are produced and distributed (months 43, 44, 45)

Kick-off meeting + Soft skill course

Project meeting 2: Kick-off (Key-note lectures, presentation of the PhD research ideas, social event) – 2 day Soft skills course: Planning and pursuing PhD project (defining goals, setting priorities, structuring and monitoring the progress, time manage- ment, work-life balance) – 2 days, external lecturer

SYSTEM-RISK Final Conference

SYSTEM-RISK Final conference

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Publications

Characteristics and process controls of statistical flood moments in Europe – a data-based analysis

Author(s): David Lun, Alberto Viglione, Miriam Bertola, Jürgen Komma, Juraj Parajka, Peter Valent, and Günter Blöschl
Published in: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 2021, ISSN 1027-5606
Publisher: European Geophysical Society
DOI: 10.5194/hess-25-5535-2021

Efficient or Fair? Operationalizing Ethical Principles in Flood Risk Management: A Case Study on the Dutch‐German Rhine

Author(s): Alessio Ciullo; Jan H. Kwakkel; Karin de Bruijn; Neelke Doorn; Frans Klijn
Published in: Ciullo, Alessio; Kwakkel, Jan H.; De Bruijn, Karin M.; Doorn, Neelke; Klijn, Frans (2020). Efficient or Fair? Operationalizing Ethical Principles in Flood Risk Management: A Case Study on the Dutch‐German Rhine. Risk analysis, 40(9), pp. 1844-1862. Wiley 10.1111/risa.13527 <http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/risa.13527>, 1, 2020, ISSN 1539-6924
Publisher: Wiley
DOI: 10.7892/boris.144678

Changing climate both increases and decreases European river floods

Author(s): "Bl&#246; schl, G&#252; nter; Hall, Julia; Viglione, Alberto; Perdig&#227; o, Rui A P; Parajka, Juraj; Merz, Bruno; Lun, David; Arheimer, Berit; Aronica, Giuseppe T; Bilibashi, Ardian; Boh&#225; &#269; , Milo&#328; Bonacci, Ognjen; Borga, Marco; &#268; anjevac, Ivan; Castellarin, Attilio; Chirico, Giovanni B; Claps, Pierluigi; Frolova, Natalia; Ganora, Daniele; Gorbachova, Liudmyla; G&#252; l, Ali;"
Published in: Bloschl , G , Hall , J , Viglione , A , Perdigao , R A P , Parajka , J , Merz , B , Lun , D , Arheimer , B , Aronica , G T , Bilibashi , A , Bohac , M , Bonacci , O , Borga , M , Canjevac , I , Castellarin , A , Chirico , G B , Claps , P , Frolova , N , Ganora , D , Gorbachova , L , Gul , A , Hannaford , J , Harrigan , S , Kireeva , M , Kiss , A , Kjeldsen , T , Kohnova , S , Koskela , J J , Ledvi, 2019, ISSN 1476-4687
Publisher: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-019-1495-6

A comparative analysis of the relationship between flood experience and private flood mitigation behaviour in the regions of England

Author(s): Marlies Barendrecht; Simon McCarthy; Alberto Viglione
Published in: Journal of Flood Risk Management, Vol 14, Iss 2, Pp n/a-n/a (2021), 2021, ISSN 1753-318X
Publisher: Blackwell Publishing
DOI: 10.1111/jfr3.12700

The role of spatial dependence for large-scale flood risk estimation

Author(s): A. D. Metin; A. D. Metin; N. V. Dung; K. Schröter; S. Vorogushyn; B. Guse; H. Kreibich; B. Merz; B. Merz
Published in: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 2020, ISSN 1561-8633
Publisher: Copemicus Gesellschaften
DOI: 10.5194/nhess-2019-393

Bayesian Data-Driven approach enhances synthetic flood loss models

Author(s): Nivedita Sairam; Kai Schröter; Francesca Carisi; Dennis Wagenaar; Alessio Domeneghetti; Daniela Molinari; Fabio Brill; Sally J. Priest; Christophe Viavattene; Bruno Merz; Heidi Kreibich
Published in: 1364-8152, 1, 2020, ISSN 1364-8152
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2020.104798

Variable 21st Century Climate Change Response for Rivers in High Mountain Asia at Seasonal to Decadal Time Scales

Author(s): S. Khanal, A.F. Lutz, P. D. A. Kraaijenbrink, B. van den Hurk, T. Yao, W. W. Immerzeel
Published in: Water Resources Research, 2021, ISSN 1944-7973
Publisher: Wilex
DOI: 10.1029/2020wr029266

A dynamic framework for flood risk

Author(s): Marlies H. Barendrecht, Alberto Viglione, Günter Blöschl
Published in: Water Security, 1, 2017, Page(s) 3-11, ISSN 2468-3124
Publisher: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.wasec.2017.02.001

Using participatory Multi-Criteria Assessments for assessing disaster risk reduction measures

Author(s): Karina Barquet, Lydia Cumiskey
Published in: Coastal Engineering, 2017, ISSN 0378-3839
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.coastaleng.2017.08.006

Development and assessment of uni- and multivariable flood loss models for Emilia-Romagna (Italy)

Author(s): Francesca Carisi, Kai Schröter, Alessio Domeneghetti, Heidi Kreibich, Attilio Castellarin
Published in: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 18/7, 2018, Page(s) 2057-2079, ISSN 1684-9981
Publisher: Copernicus Publications EGU
DOI: 10.5194/nhess-18-2057-2018

Accounting for the uncertain effects of hydraulic interactions in optimising embankments heights: Proof of principle for the IJssel River

Author(s): Alessio Ciullo, Karin M. de Bruijn, Jan H. Kwakkel, Frans Klijn
Published in: Journal of Flood Risk Management, 2019, Page(s) e12532, ISSN 1753-318X
Publisher: Blackwell Publishing
DOI: 10.1111/jfr3.12532

Stochastic generation of spatially coherent river discharge peaks for continental event-based flood risk assessment

Author(s): Dirk Diederen, Ye Liu, Ben Gouldby, Ferdinand Diermanse, Sergiy Vorogushyn
Published in: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 19/5, 2019, Page(s) 1041-1053, ISSN 1684-9981
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/nhess-19-1041-2019

How do changes along the risk chain affect flood risk?

Author(s): Ayse Duha Metin, Nguyen Viet Dung, Kai Schröter, Björn Guse, Heiko Apel, Heidi Kreibich, Sergiy Vorogushyn, Bruno Merz
Published in: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 18/11, 2018, Page(s) 3089-3108, ISSN 1684-9981
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/nhess-18-3089-2018

A web application for hydrogeomorphic flood hazard mapping

Author(s): Ricardo Tavares da Costa, Salvatore Manfreda, Valerio Luzzi, Caterina Samela, Paolo Mazzoli, Attilio Castellarin, Stefano Bagli
Published in: Environmental Modelling & Software, 118, 2019, Page(s) 172-186, ISSN 1364-8152
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2019.04.010

Informed attribution of flood changes to decadal variation of atmospheric, catchment and river drivers in Upper Austria

Author(s): Miriam Bertola, Alberto Viglione, Günter Blöschl
Published in: Journal of Hydrology, 577, 2019, Page(s) 123919, ISSN 0022-1694
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2019.123919

Evolutionary leap in large-scale flood risk assessment needed

Author(s): Sergiy Vorogushyn, Paul D. Bates, Karin de Bruijn, Attilio Castellarin, Heidi Kreibich, Sally Priest, Kai Schröter, Stefano Bagli, Günter Blöschl, Alessio Domeneghetti, Ben Gouldby, Frans Klijn, Rita Lammersen, Jeffrey C. Neal, Nina Ridder, Wilco Terink, Christophe Viavattene, Alberto Viglione, Stefano Zanardo, Bruno Merz
Published in: Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Water, 5/2, 2018, Page(s) e1266, ISSN 2049-1948
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
DOI: 10.1002/wat2.1266

Estimating parameter values of a socio-hydrological flood model

Author(s): Marlies Holkje Barendrecht, Alberto Viglione, Heidi Kreibich, Sergiy Vorogushyn, Bruno Merz, Günter Blöschl
Published in: Proceedings of the International Association of Hydrological Sciences, 379, 2018, Page(s) 193-198, ISSN 2199-899X
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/piahs-379-193-2018

Large Scale Flood Hazard Analysis by Including Defence Failures on the Dutch River System

Author(s): Alex Curran, Karin de Bruijn, Wouter Klerk, Matthijs Kok
Published in: Water, 11/8, 2019, Page(s) 1732, ISSN 2073-4441
Publisher: Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute (MDPI)
DOI: 10.3390/w11081732

Comparing 2D capabilities of HEC-RAS and LISFLOOD-FP on complex topography

Author(s): Iuliia Shustikova, Alessio Domeneghetti, Jeffrey C. Neal, Paul Bates, Attilio Castellarin
Published in: Hydrological Sciences Journal, 64/14, 2019, Page(s) 1769-1782, ISSN 0262-6667
Publisher: International Association of Hydrological Sciences Press
DOI: 10.1080/02626667.2019.1671982

Storm Surge and Extreme River Discharge: A Compound Event Analysis Using Ensemble Impact Modeling

Author(s): Sonu Khanal, Nina Ridder, Hylke de Vries, Wilco Terink, Bart van den Hurk
Published in: Frontiers in Earth Science, 7, 2019, ISSN 2296-6463
Publisher: Frontiers
DOI: 10.3389/feart.2019.00224

Reservoir Effects on Flood Peak Discharge at the Catchment Scale

Author(s): E. Volpi, M. Di Lazzaro, M. Bertola, A. Viglione, A. Fiori
Published in: Water Resources Research, 54/11, 2018, Page(s) 9623-9636, ISSN 0043-1397
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2018wr023866

Influence of water level duration on dike breach triggering, focusing on system behaviour hazard analyses in lowland rivers

Author(s): A. Curran, K. M. De Bruijn, M. Kok
Published in: Georisk: Assessment and Management of Risk for Engineered Systems and Geohazards, 2018, Page(s) 1-15, ISSN 1749-9518
Publisher: Taylor and Francis
DOI: 10.1080/17499518.2018.1542498

The Value of Empirical Data for Estimating the Parameters of a Sociohydrological Flood Risk Model

Author(s): M. H. Barendrecht, A. Viglione, H. Kreibich, B. Merz, S. Vorogushyn, G. Blöschl
Published in: Water Resources Research, 55/2, 2019, Page(s) 1312-1336, ISSN 0043-1397
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2018wr024128

The Impact of Meteorological and Hydrological Memory on Compound Peak Flows in the Rhine River Basin

Author(s): Sonu Khanal, Arthur Lutz, Walter Immerzeel, Hylke Vries, Niko Wanders, Bart Hurk
Published in: Atmosphere, 10/4, 2019, Page(s) 171, ISSN 2073-4433
Publisher: Rotoweb Cantelli
DOI: 10.3390/atmos10040171

Quantifying Flood Vulnerability Reduction via Private Precaution

Author(s): Nivedita Sairam, Kai Schröter, Stefan Lüdtke, Bruno Merz, Heidi Kreibich
Published in: Earth's Future, 7/3, 2019, Page(s) 235-249, ISSN 2328-4277
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
DOI: 10.1029/2018ef000994

Systemic Flood Risk Management: The Challenge of Accounting for Hydraulic Interactions

Author(s): Ciullo, De Bruijn, Kwakkel, Klijn
Published in: Water, 11/12, 2019, Page(s) 2530, ISSN 2073-4441
Publisher: Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute (MDPI)
DOI: 10.3390/w11122530

Hierarchical Bayesian Approach for Modeling Spatiotemporal Variability in Flood Damage Processes

Author(s): Nivedita Sairam, Kai Schröter, Viktor Rözer, Bruno Merz, Heidi Kreibich
Published in: Water Resources Research, 55/10, 2019, Page(s) 8223-8237, ISSN 0043-1397
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019wr025068

Dynamic spatio-temporal generation of large-scale synthetic gridded precipitation: with improved spatial coherence of extremes

Author(s): Dirk Diederen, Ye Liu
Published in: Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment, 2019, ISSN 1436-3240
Publisher: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00477-019-01724-9

A framework to assess integration in flood risk management: implications for governance, policy, and practice

Author(s): Lydia Cumiskey, Sally J. Priest, Frans Klijn, Meri Juntti
Published in: Ecology and Society, 24/4, 2019, ISSN 1708-3087
Publisher: The Resilience Alliance
DOI: 10.5751/es-11298-240417

Limitations Posed by Free DEMs in Watershed Studies: The Case of River Tanaro in Italy

Author(s): Ricardo Tavares da Costa, Paolo Mazzoli, Stefano Bagli
Published in: Frontiers in Earth Science, 7, 2019, ISSN 2296-6463
Publisher: Frontiers
DOI: 10.3389/feart.2019.00141

A toolbox to quickly prepare flood inundation models for LISFLOOD-FP simulations

Author(s): Jeison Sosa, Christopher Sampson, Andrew Smith, Jeffrey Neal, Paul Bates
Published in: Environmental Modelling & Software, 123, 2020, Page(s) 104561, ISSN 1364-8152
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2019.104561

Levee Breaching: A New Extension to the LISFLOOD-FP Model

Author(s): Iuliia Shustikova, Jeffrey C. Neal, Alessio Domeneghetti, Paul D. Bates, Sergiy Vorogushyn, Attilio Castellarin
Published in: Water, 12(4), 942, 2020, ISSN 2073-4441
Publisher: Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute (MDPI)
DOI: 10.3390/w12040942

A framework to include the (inter)dependencies of Disaster Risk Reduction measures in coastal risk assessment

Author(s): Lydia Cumiskey, Sally Priest, Nikolay Valchev, Christophe Viavattene, Susana Costas, Joseph Clarke
Published in: Coastal Engineering, 134, 2018, Page(s) 81-92, ISSN 0378-3839
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.coastaleng.2017.08.009

Predictive Modeling of Envelope Flood Extents Using Geomorphic and Climatic‐Hydrologic Catchment Characteristics

Author(s): R. Tavares da Costa; S. Zanardo; Stefano Bagli; Arno Hilberts; Salvatore Manfreda; Caterina Samela; Attilio Castellarin
Published in: Water Resources Research, 2020, ISSN 1944-7973
Publisher: Wiley
DOI: 10.1029/2019wr026453

Large-scale flood risk assessment and management: Prospects of a systems approach

Author(s): Kai Schröter Marlies Barendrecht, Miriam Bertola, Alessio Ciullo, Ricardo Tavares da Costa, Lydia Cumiskey, Alex Curran, Dirk Diederen, Mostafa Farrag, Friederike Holz, Sonu Khanal, Maya Manocsoc, Duha Metin, Nivedita Sairam, Iuliia Shustikova, Jeison Sosa
Published in: Water Security, 2021, ISSN 2468-3124
Publisher: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.wasec.2021.100109

Detection of trends in magnitude and frequency of flood peaks across Europe

Author(s): Mangini, Walter; Viglione, Alberto; Hall, Julia; Hundecha, Yeshewatesfa; Ceola, Serena; Montanari, Alberto; Rogger, Magdalena; Salinas, José Luis; Borzì, Iolanda; Parajka, Juraj
Published in: Hydrological Sciences Journal, 2018, ISSN 0262-6667
Publisher: International Association of Hydrological Sciences Press
DOI: 10.6084/m9.figshare.5924752

Do small and large floods have the same drivers of change? A regional attribution analysis in Europe

Author(s): "Miriam, Bertola; Viglione, Alberto; Sergiy, Vorogushyn; David, Lun; Bruno, Merz; G&#252; nter, Bl&#246; schl"
Published in: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 2021, ISSN 1027-5606
Publisher: European Geophysical Society
DOI: 10.5194/hess-2020-396

Large-scale stochastic flood hazard analysis applied to the Po River

Author(s): A.N. Curran; Karin de Bruijn; Alessio Domeneghetti; Federica Bianchi; Manon Kok; Sergiy Vorogushyn; Attilio Castellarin
Published in: Natural Hazards, 2020, ISSN 1573-0840
Publisher: Springer
DOI: 10.1007/s11069-020-04260-w

Flood trends in Europe: are changes in small and big floods different?

Author(s): Miriam Bertola; Alberto Viglione; David Lun; Julia Hall; Günter Blöschl
Published in: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 2020, ISSN 1027-5606
Publisher: European Geophysical Society
DOI: 10.5194/hess-24-1805-2020