The entire process from studying trends and options for solutions, developing a vision and finally creating the action plan was organized within a structured participatory approach that aimed to engage a broad stakeholder community into the consultation processes (Figure 1). This was achieved by employing a structured tool, the Multi-Actor Multi-Criteria Analysis (MAMCA) (https://www.mobility4eu.eu/project/mamca-methodology/ ) and an accompanying story mapping process that supports the process in a more creative and interactive way (
https://www.mobility4eu.eu/project/story-mapping-process/(s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre) ).
Trends, drivers and technologies towards transport in Europe in 2030
The work towards the vision and action plan for the future of transport in Europe in 2030 was based on the identification and assessment of societal challenges that will influence future transport demand and supply. This led to the formulation of 9 trends that are projected to have relevance in shaping the future European transport system in 2030. They are represented in the Mobility4EU context map (http://www.mobility4eu.eu/?wpdmdl=1211 ).
The portfolio of solutions and opportunity map
Together with European experts from all fields in transport of passengers and freight, a portfolio of 92 promising and innovative transport solutions across all modes answering the identified trends has been composed. Links from the solutions to user needs are made within an opportunity map (
http://www.mobility4eu.eu/test_/?wpdmdl=1209(s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre) ).
The structured stakeholder consultation process on future transport scenarios
The portfolio of solutions and the work on trends have been the foundation for co-creating 4 scenarios for the development of future transport in Europe. These scenarios have been ranked for each stakeholder group within the scientific, stepwise MAMCA methodology, thus prioritizing solutions. Two “winning” scenarios emerged that favour a high level of standardisation and interoperability, a regulatory framework that supports personal and corporate carbon emission reduction as well as the full digitalization of the transport system, albeit to partly different ends. Personalization is in contrast to a strict focus on shared use and active mobility. The increasing of capacity to answer rising demand conflicts with the reduction of demand to fit existing capacity.
Vision for transport in Europe in 2030
A further prioritization of solutions has been done through an adapted extended Failure Modes and Effects Analysis (FMEA). The solutions coming out of these rankings, MAMCA and FMEA, have been taken into a creative process of vision building. The Vision (
http://www.mobility4eu.eu/test_/?wpdmdl=2160(s’ouvre dans une nouvelle fenêtre)) is the result of the participatory process with all stakeholders and negotiates between conflicting concepts in the scenarios that have been most highly ranked within the MAMCA. The Vision describes a future of transport of passengers and freight that is decarbonized, sustainable in economic, environmental and social terms and offers tailored mobility solutions for all. It details an inclusive user-centric, a seamless and a sustainable transport path.
Action Plan for Transport in Europe in 2030
The Action Plan (http://www.mobility4eu.eu/test_/?wpdmdl=3115 ) details measures for implementing the vision that address technical topics but especially refer to societal aspects and issues for multi-stakeholder interaction, as e.g. policy, user acceptance, standardization, collaboration and the integration of the user perspective into the R&D&I process. The Mobility4EU Action Plan focusses on a strictly user-centric and cross-modal perspective providing recommendations on mainstreaming of universal design and user-centric design processes, synergies and collaboration potential between modes and the combination of transport of passengers and freight.
