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Global material flows and demand-supply forecasting for mineral strategies

Deliverables

Final report

The final report will summarize the key findings of the entire project and make the results accessible to a broader public.

Report describing the outcomes of the ‘testing’ stage at EU and International level

This report will describe the outcomes of the testing of the common methodology. Contact with relevant organisations will be made in order to ‘disseminate’ the common methodology to and receive feedback from EU Member State and International stakeholders. Initiatives, policies and strategies at EU Member State and International level will be considered separately, as they will require different approaches or contact with different stakeholders.

Compilation of uncertainty approaches and recommendations for reporting data uncertainty

The compilation will serve as a guidance for requirements to survey and report uncertainties and propose methods how to consider epistemic uncertainty in data generation and communication. Existing approaches for data classification and implementation of data uncertainty into modelling will be assessed to derive requirements for consideration and reporting of data uncertainty.

Synthesis report on challenges, systems, and data

This report synthesizes the findings of WP2, which aims to identify and assess barriers for the implementation of global material flow analyses in the 4 dimensions in order to address various issues for selected raw materials. Explicit system definitions will be used to structure the information and facilitate the identification of harmonisation needs. The findings of this WP will feed into WP5 and be included in the web portal (T6.3), which will allow user to locate and access data sources, data gaps and inconsistencies, including references to on-going projects to address them.

Plan for Exploitation and Dissemination of Results (PEDR)

"The PEDR will be used to allow for and optimise usability of project findings for MinFuture’s main target groups during and beyond project duration. MinFuture’s approach to dissemination is based on a comprehensive interpretation of outreach activities. The approach will be impact-oriented and involve target group specific means of communication and interaction. To maximise impact, the PEDR aims to support co-generation of and to share, exchange and communicate project results. Hence, the PEDR builds on three main pillars: 1) stakeholder involvement through mineral raw material dialogues. MinFuture aims to work closely with key actors from relevant target groups (see description of the main target groups in section 2.2.1, Part B). In this context, MinFuture also focuses on international cooperation, involving expertise particularly from the US and from Japan, but also from Australia. Furthermore, building on the Raw Material Supply Group’s Working Group ""Exchanging best practices on land use planning, permitting and geological knowledge"" expertise from selected European countries shall also be integrated."

Methodology development workshop synthesis brief

The results and main findings of the workshop will be briefly synthesised and documented. In the workshop the already advanced work of T2.1, T2.2, T3.1, and T3.2 will be presented to the MinFuture consortium. Further, first work of T2.3, T3.3 and T3.4 will be presented to collect input by the consortium on data availability as well as classification and characterisation of data uncertainty and visualization requirements. Feedback of the AB and invited participants will be considered in the remaining time for these tasks.

Report on pilot studies

This report will use case studies to illustrate how the four fundamental dimension (stages, international trade, linkages, and trade) can be addressed.

Guidance documentation for dissemination and communication

This documentation serves as a guidance for the dialogue workshops. The workshop facilitation will put emphasis on engaging stakeholders through appropriate facilitation methods that foster interaction and exchange of information (needs) from the different stakeholder groups. This may include World Café discussions or break out group discussions among the different target groups. The most suitable facilitation methods will be selected and refined as part of T6.2 and a “stakeholder dialogue concept” will be developed that will be adjusted to the needs of the three different workshop goals (and partly differing target groups).

Report describing the roadmap towards the implementation of the ‘common methodology’ at global level

This report will synthesize the work from the proceeding WPs and earlier tasks to develop a draft roadmap for the implementation of the ‘common methodology’ for global MFA. This will include actions and recommendations to agree and utilise such a methodology at international level; and to address any other identified barriers including policy, strategy or synergetic challenges. The draft roadmap will be presented for comments to the MinFuture Advisory Board. The feedback received from the Advisory Board will be used to refine and finalise the roadmap.

Modular Infographic

The common methodology framework shall be visualised in a joint modular infographic, combining the four dimensions (stages of material cycles, international trade, linkages between materials, time) in a visually appealing, easily understandable and easy to communicate way. The infographic shall also be used to guide the design and development of the illustrations on the web platform, e.g. using the modular infographic for the four dimensions to visually guide web platform visitors through the network database.

Glossary

Effective communication between partners of different disciplines and countries will be facilitated by the development of a glossary that defines terms as used in this project and that includes synonyms used in other disciplines or countries. The explicit system definition developed in T2.2.1 is used as an aid for this purpose. The glossary will be developed throughout the entire project duration.

Concise description of application fields for different MFA approaches and indicators (Report; M12)

This report will provide a concise description of application fields for different MFA approaches including deficit analysis for the implementation to the global level. Assessment of individual approaches’ potential to contribute to a common methodology will be qualified to track global mineral raw material flows including a list of efficiency indicators together with their definitions.

List of features for which visualisation is required and detailed requirement profile for optimal visualisation tool

This report will provide a catalogue of features which are required for visualization tools of mineral raw material flow systems. Visualization tools should support analysis, evaluation and optimization of such systems. Therefore, different visualization tools will be evaluated and compared to identify strength and weaknesses. Several parameters (e.g., technique to merge flows) for visualization of material systems will be systematically analysed. A catalogue will be elaborated to summarize derived requirements for illustration of mineral raw material flow systems.

Report describing the ‘common methodology’ for global MFA and its applicability

This report will synthesize the findings and recommendations of WP2, 3 and 4 and use them to develop a general framework that prescribes a common set of methodological elements for assessing mineral raw material flows at a global level. Due to the wide range of objectives for these studies it is considered unlikely that a rigid methodology that is common to all of them is possible but there are certain elements which can be shared by all and that allow for integrating different approaches. This framework will take account of the recommendations made in relation to the most prominent demand-supply forecast models that permit the development of dynamic raw material flow models applicable at international level. In effect, this sub-task will attempt to establish a structure equivalent to that of an ISO for MFA. The ‘common methodology’ will be illustrated in the MinFuture online platform.

Report on workshop summary for results and implications of the pilot case

In workshop WS3, the results on the illustration of the methodology will be presented to business and policy decision makers relevant to wind energy technology. The results of this workshop will guide the case study and its interpretations regarding the implications and will be documented in this report.

Policy and Business briefs

Based on the discussions in the three stakeholder dialogue workshops, one policy brief (aimed at policy makers) and one business brief (aimed at businesses and industry) will be compiled in order to reflect on the ‘testing’ stage of the methodology at EU and International level. Each brief shall be 5-8 pages in length, using target group specific presentation of information and the template design provided in Task 6.4.

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