The main results achieved in the reported period are the followings:
ACHIEVED RESULTS
EvoATM prototype has been successfully validated against Italian real traffic data related to both DCT and FRA. It has predicted the performance variation when moving to Free Routing from Direct Routing, in accordance with those recorded in the referring years. Simulation results have been considered plausible by Controllers. The accordance between simulated results and “the real life” allows to state that:
1) EvoATM has demonstrated the capabilities of the proposed approach. By using a known change history, it has shown how the actual performance (including human related performance) could be predicted, since the beginning of the change solution lifecycle, by using the proposed modelling and simulation approach. Hence EvoATM has proposed a methodological framework highly effective in change impact and support to design and decision making requiring less effort of an entire life-cycle to achieve more or less the same results
2) EvoATM has proposed a formalism to facilitate the dialogue between the ATM experts and the modellers and to easily model the human behaviour, that can be re-used
3) EvoATM has proposed a software architecture assuring a modularity and re-usability assuring the saving of costs in model development
In detail in the following some key demonstration cases and results shown a the Project Final Workshop (7-8- November in Naples) are reported:
Demonstration Case: Human performance assessment of the simulation of the High Complexity and Very High Complexity DRA scenario
Analysis: The achieved results clearly report the greater workload of controllers for the VHC scenario with respect to the HC scenario in the simulated environments. The order of magnitude of the metric assessment has been evaluated as likely and plausible by both ENAIRE experts and ENAV experts.
Demonstration Case: Change impact assessment of the FRA solution (with respect to DRA) in a full-day traffic within the Italian airspace. Both the High Complexity scenario and the Very High Complexity scenario are considered for the simulation. The planned traffic is the real full-day planned FRA traffic on 03/07/2019. The reference scenario is the real full-day planned DRA traffic on 07/07/2016
Analysis: The achieved results by means of EvoATM demonstration campaign confirm the trends that were assessed by ENAV in their own evaluation of free routing solution in Italy, as they stated during EvoATM workshop
Demonstration Case: To Analyse the impact of seniority attributes of controllers
Analysis: The results show that the seniority attribute of controllers has a significant impact on their workload . This especially applies for the VHC scenario
Demonstration Case: Tuning of the configuration of elementary sectors in the collapsed sectors to optimize controller workload and minimize the standard deviation of workload measurements
Analysis: The obtained solution has suggested to aggregate specific sectors of the ACCs according to their peak of traffic, producing nearly uniform workload distributions for controllers and with a limited total workload
For dissemination a final workshop on 7th and 8th of November has been organized, where the Advisory Board and relevant stakeholders, such as Industry, ANSPs, and Universities met to discuss the topic Socio Complex Systems Modelling and the Project results. The involvement of speakers from Marine and Transport sectors have enlarged the workshop scope beyond the ATM, investigating the opportunities to exploit the project results also in other sectors.
In addition two events for project dissemination have been organized in order to check the acceptability of the achieved results:
-The presentation of results to ENAIRE controllers
-The presentation of results to ENAV controllers, fast time simulation team, and head of research
