On the Origin of Complex Dynamics in Multi-strain Models: Insights for Public Health Intervention Measures

Project Information

COMPLEXDYNAMICS-PHIM

Grant agreement ID: 792494

DOI 10.3030/792494

Project terminated on 28 February 2021

EC signature date 7 December 2018

Start date 1 January 2019

End date 2 March 2021

Funded under

• EXCELLENT SCIENCE - Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions

Total cost € 180 277,20

EU contribution € 180 277,20

Coordinated by

UNIVERSITA DEGLI STUDI DI TRENTO
Italy

Publications

Other (8)

Time scale separation in the vector borne diseasemodel SIRUV via center manifold analysis

Author(s): Maıra Aguiar , Bob Kooi, Andrea Pugliese, Mattia Sens and Nico Stollenwerk
Published in: medRxiv.org - the preprint server for Health Sciences, 2021
Publisher: medRxiv

THE IMPORTANCE OF THE INTERPLAY BETWEEN SUBCRITICAL FLUCTUATIONS AND IMPORT INUNDERSTANDING THE DYNAMICS OF COVID-19 EPIDEMIOLOGY

Author(s): Nico Stollenwerk and Maira Aguiar
Published in: DSABNS 2021 Virtual 12th I NTERNATIONAL C ONFERENCE D YNAMICAL S YSTEMS A PPLIED TO B IOLOGY AND N ATURAL S CIENCES (DSABNS) BOOK OF ABSTRACTS, Issue Yearly, 2021, Page(s) 41, ISBN 978-989-98750-8-1
Publisher: DSABNS Conference Series

ON THE ORIGIN OF COMPLEX DYNAMICS IN MULTI-STRAIN DENGUE MODELS

Author(s): Maíra Aguiar
Published in: 11th Conference on Dynamical Systems Applied to Biology and Natural Sciences (DSABNS 2020 - Book of Abstracts), Issue Yearly, 2020, Page(s) 23, ISBN 978-989-98750-7-4
Publisher: DSABNS Conference Series

COMPARISON OF THE NUMERICAL AND ANALYTICAL SOLUTIONS OF SIS AND SIR MODELS

Author(s): Irati Eguiguren Arrizabalaga, Nico Stollenwerk and Maı́ra Aguiar
Published in: DSABNS 2021 Virtual 12th I NTERNATIONAL C ONFERENCE D YNAMICAL S YSTEMS A PPLIED TO B IOLOGY AND N ATURAL S CIENCES (DSABNS) BOOK OF ABSTRACTS, Issue Yearly, 2021, Page(s) 169, ISBN 978-989-98750-8-1
Publisher: DSABNS Conference Series

Modeling COVID-19: Challenges and results

Author(s): Maíra Aguiar
Published in: European Communications in Mathematical and Theoretical Biology, Issue 23, 2020, Page(s) 10
Publisher: European Society for Mathematical and Theoretical Biology

MODELLING COVID-19 IN THE BASQUE COUNTRY: FROM INTRODUCTION TO CONTROL MEASURE RESPONSE

Author(s): Maı́ra Aguiar and Nico Stollenwerk
Published in: DSABNS 2021 Virtual 12th I NTERNATIONAL C ONFERENCE D YNAMICAL S YSTEMS A PPLIED TO B IOLOGY AND N ATURAL S CIENCES (DSABNS) BOOK OF ABSTRACTS, Issue Yearly, 2021, Page(s) 13, ISBN 978-989-98750-8-1
Publisher: DSABNS Conference Series

The interplay between subcritical fluctuations and import: understanding COVID-19 epidemiology dynamics

Author(s): Stollenwerk, Nico; Van-Dierdonck, Joseba Bidaurrazaga; Mar, Javier; Arrizabalaga, Irati Eguiguren; Cusimano, Nicole; Aguiar, Maíra
Published in: 2020
Publisher: medRxiv
DOI: 10.1101/2020.12.25.20248840

THE IMPACT OF MODELING EMPIRICAL DATA ANALYSIS ON PUBLIC HEALTH PRACTICAL INTERVENTION

Author(s): Maíra Aguiar
Published in: TENTH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE DYNAMICAL SYSTEMS APPLIED TO BIOLOGY AND NATURAL SCIENCES BOOK OF ABSTRACTS, Issue Yearly, 2019, Page(s) 21, ISBN 978-989-98750-6-7
Publisher: DSABNS Conference Series

Peer reviewed articles (7)

The Impact of Serotype Cross-Protection on Vaccine Trials: DENVax as a Case Study

Author(s): Maíra Aguiar, Nico Stollenwerk
Published in: Vaccines, Issue 8/4, 2020, Page(s) 674, ISSN 2076-393X
Publisher: Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute (MDPI)
DOI: 10.3390/vaccines8040674

SHAR and effective SIR models: from dengue fever toy models to a COVID-19 fully parametrized SHARUCD framework

Author(s): Maíra Aguiar and Nico Stollenwerk
Published in: COMMUNICATION IN BIOMATHEMATICAL SCIENCES, 2020, Page(s) 60-89, ISSN 2549-2896
Publisher: ITB Press

Modelling COVID 19 in the Basque Country from introduction to control measure response

Author(s): Maíra Aguiar, Eduardo Millán Ortuondo, Joseba Bidaurrazaga Van-Dierdonck, Javier Mar, Nico Stollenwerk
Published in: Scientific Reports, Issue 10/1, 2020, ISSN 2045-2322
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-020-74386-1

Reproduction ratio and growth rates: Measures for an unfolding pandemic

Author(s): Maíra Aguiar, Joseba Bidaurrazaga Van-Dierdonck, Nico Stollenwerk
Published in: PLOS ONE, Issue 15/7, 2020, Page(s) e0236620, ISSN 1932-6203
Publisher: Public Library of Science
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0236620

Ethics of a partially effective dengue vaccine: Lessons from the Philippines

Author(s): Scott B. Halstead, Leah C. Katzelnick, Philip K. Russell, Lewis Markoff, Maira Aguiar, Leonila R. Dans, Antonio L. Dans
Published in: Vaccine, Issue 38/35, 2020, Page(s) 5572-5576, ISSN 0264-410X
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2020.06.079

On the role of vector modeling in a minimalistic epidemic model

Author(s): Peter Rashkov, Ezio Venturino, Maira Aguiar, Nico Stollenwerk, Bob W. Kooi
Published in: Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering, Issue 16/5, 2019, Page(s) 4314-4338, ISSN 1551-0018
Publisher: AIMS Press
DOI: 10.3934/mbe.2019215

Condition-specific mortality risk can explain differences in COVID-19 case fatality ratios around the globe

Author(s): M. Aguiar, N. Stollenwerk
Published in: Public Health, Issue 188, 2020, Page(s) 18-20, ISSN 0033-3506
Publisher: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.puhe.2020.08.021

Monographic books (4)

DSABNS 2021 Virtual - 12th INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE DYNAMICAL SYSTEMS APPLIED TO BIOLOGYAND NATURAL SCIENCES (DSABNS) BOOK OF ABSTRACTS

Author(s): Maíra Aguiar, Carlos Braumann, Damián Knopoff, Nicole Cusimano and Nico Stollenwerk
Published in: DSABNS Book of Abstracts 2021, Issue Yearly, 2021, Page(s) 1-299, ISBN 978-989-98750-8-1
Publisher: DSABNS Conference Series

11th INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE DYNAMICAL SYSTEMS APPLIED TO BIOLOGY AND NATURAL SCIENCES DSABNS 2020

Author(s): Maíra Aguiar, Andrea Pugliese and Nico Stollenwerkook
Published in: DSABNS Book of Abstracts 2020, Issue Yearly, 2020, ISBN 978-989-98750-7-4
Publisher: DSABNS Conference Series

TENTH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE DYNAMICAL SYSTEMS APPLIED TO BIOLOGY AND NATURAL SCIENCES - BOOK OF ABSTRACTS

Author(s): Maíra Aguiar, Constantinos Siettos and Lucia Russo
Published in: DSABNS Book of Abstracts 2019, Issue Yearly, 2020, ISBN 978-989-98750-6-7
Publisher: DSABNS Conference Series

Current Trends in Dynamical Systems in Biology and Natural Sciences

Author(s): Aguiar, M., Braumann, C., Kooi, B.W., Pugliese, A., Stollenwerk, N., Venturino, E. (Eds.)
Published in: Current Trends in Dynamical Systems in Biology and Natural Sciences - SIMAI Springer Series, 2020, ISBN 978-3-030-41120-6
Publisher: Springer
DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-41120-6