Periodic Reporting for period 3 - ENCOUNTER (Demography, Cultural change, and the Diffusion of Rice and Millet during the Jomon-Yayoi transition in prehistoric Japan)
Reporting period: 2022-04-01 to 2023-09-30
Work Package 1 (Demography) has collated over 35,000 radiocarbon dates from the entire archipelago and nearly 4,000 residential data from selected case studies to reconstruct regional variations in the demographic response to rice and millet farming. The work package has made substantial contributions from a methodological standpoint, which led to the publication of four research outputs and two open-source software packages. These new statistical tools have been applied to answer two demographic questions, one pertaining an episode of population boom and bust in central Japan prior to the arrival of farming (https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jas.2020.105136) and the other centered on the evaluation of the timing and the magnitude of the demographic transition following the introduction of wet-rice agriculture in SW Japan (https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0251695; fig. 2). The WP has also explored, via simulation, potential caveats and challenges for demographic inference based on archaeological data https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2019.0726).
Work Package 2 (Subsistence and Food Technology) has so far collected nearly 400 ceramic samples from 12 sites spanning a temporal interval between the end of the Jomon and the Yayoi period. Sample preparation have been completed for a subset of this data, and preliminary results from the Asahi site in central Japan are providing insights on the food resources cooked in these pots (fig. 3)
Work Package 4 (Environment) is currently examining the productivity of rice and millets by using 19th century historical yield records, paleo-climate data, and computational models. Preliminary results, based on thermal niche models (fig. 4), have shown geographic and temporal variation in the suitability of for growing rice, revealing key insights on the abandonment of paddy field agriculture in northern Japan towards the second half of the Yayoi period.
Work Package 3 (Material Culture), Work Package 5 (Spread of Rice and Millets), & Work Package 6 (Integration and Synthesis) are in their initial stages due to the recent appointment of key PDRAs. WP3 has been focusing on text-mining from excavation reports to extract key cultural variables for subsequent spatial dissimilarity analyses, whilst WP5 have collated nearly 400 radiocarbon dates from charred remains of rice, and has carried out preliminary analyses on the regional variations in its rate of dispersal.