Respecting safe operating spaces: opportunities to meet future food demand with sustainable use of water and land resources

Publications

Peer reviewed articles (33)

China's Food Supply Sources Under Trade Conflict With the United States and Limited Domestic Land and Water Resources

Author(s): Wenfeng Liu, Hong Yang, Philippe Ciais, Matti Kummu, Arjen Y. Hoekstra
Published in: Earth's Future, 8/3, 2020, Page(s) e2020EF001482, ISSN 2328-4277
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
DOI: 10.1029/2020ef001482

Global migration is driven by the complex interplay between environmental and social factors

Author(s): Venla Niva; Marko Kallio; Raya Muttarak; Maija Taka; Olli Varis; Matti Kummu
Published in: Environmental research letters, 5, 2021, Page(s) 114019, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ac2e86

Importance of trade dependencies for agricultural inputs : a case study of Finland

Author(s): Elina Lehikoinen, Pekka Kinnunen, Johannes Piipponen, Alison Heslin, Michael J. Puma, Matti Kummu
Published in: Environmental research communications, 6, 2021, Page(s) 061003, ISSN 2515-7620
Publisher: IOP Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/2515-7620/ac02d0

Future projections of flood dynamics in the Vietnamese Mekong Delta

Author(s): Nguyen Van Khanh Triet; Nguyen Viet Dung; Long Phi Hoang; Nguyen Le Duy; Dung Duc Tran; Tran Tuan Anh; Matti Kummu; Bruno Merz; Heiko Apel
Published in: Science of the Total Environment, 5, 2020, Page(s) 140596, ISSN 0048-9697
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.140596

Giving Legs to Handprint Thinking: Foundations for Evaluating the Good We Do

Author(s): Joseph H.A. Guillaume, Suvi Sojamo, Miina Porkka, Dieter Gerten, Mika Jalava, Leena Lankoski, Elina Lehikoinen, Michael Lettenmeier, Stephan Pfister, Kirsi Usva, Yoshihide Wada, Matti Kummu
Published in: Earth's Future, 8/6, 2020, ISSN 2328-4277
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019ef001422

Local food crop production can fulfil demand for less than one-third of the population

Author(s): Pekka Kinnunen, Joseph H. A. Guillaume, Maija Taka, Paolo D’Odorico, Stefan Siebert, Michael J. Puma, Mika Jalava, Matti Kummu
Published in: Nature Food, 1/4, 2020, Page(s) 229-237, ISSN 2662-1355
Publisher: Nature Research
DOI: 10.1038/s43016-020-0060-7

Hydrostreamer v1.0 - Improved streamflow predictions for local applications from an ensemble of downscaled global runoff products

Author(s): Marko Kallio, Joseph H. A. Guillaume, Vili Virkki, Matti Kummu, Kirsi Virrantaus
Published in: Geoscientific model development, 8, 2021, Page(s) 5155-5181, ISSN 1991-959X
Publisher: Copernicus Gesellschaft mbH
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-14-5155-2021

Increasing dependence of lowland populations on mountain water resources

Author(s): Daniel Viviroli, Matti Kummu, Michel Meybeck, Marko Kallio, Yoshihide Wada
Published in: Nature Sustainability, 3/11, 2020, Page(s) 917-928, ISSN 2398-9629
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41893-020-0559-9

Impact of green water anomalies on global rainfed crop yields

Author(s): Edoardo Borgomeo, Hassaan F Khan, Matias Heino, Esha Zaveri, Matti Kummu, Casey Brown, Anders Jägerskog
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, 15/12, 2020, Page(s) 124030, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abc587

Global trends in grassland carrying capacity and relative stocking density of livestock

Author(s): Johannes Piipponen; Mika Jalava; Jan Leeuw; Afag Rizayeva; Cecile Godde; Gabriel Cramer; Mario Herrero; Matti Kummu
Published in: Global Change Biology, 28 (12), 2022, Page(s) 3902-3919, ISSN 1354-1013
Publisher: Blackwell Publishing Inc.
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.16174

Future projections of flood dynamics in the Vietnamese Mekong Delta

Author(s): Nguyen Van Khanh Triet; Nguyen Viet Dung; Long Phi Hoang; Nguyen Le Duy; Dung Duc Tran; Tran Tuan Anh; Matti Kummu; Bruno Merz; Heiko Apel
Published in: Science of the Total Environment, Vol. 742, 2020, ISSN 0048-9697
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.140596

Multidecadal variability of the Tonle Sap Lake flood pulse regime

Author(s): Aifang Chen; Junguo Liu; Matti Kummu; Olli Varis; Qiuhong Tang; Ganquan Mao; Jie Wang; Deliang Chen
Published in: Hydrological processes, 35/9, 2021, Page(s) 14327, ISSN 0885-6087
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons Inc.
DOI: 10.1002/hyp.14327

Globally widespread and increasing violations of environmental flow envelopes

Author(s): Vili Virkki, Elina Alanärä, Miina Porkka, Lauri Ahopelto, Tom Gleeson, Chinchu Mohan, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Martina Flörke, Dieter Gerten, Simon N. Gosling, Naota Hanasaki, Hannes Müller Schmied, Niko Wanders, Matti Kummu
Published in: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 26, 2022, Page(s) 3315–3336, ISSN 1027-5606
Publisher: European Geophysical Society
DOI: 10.5194/hess-26-3315-2022

The Planet's Stressed River Basins: Too Much Pressure or Too Little Adaptive Capacity?

Author(s): Olli Varis, Maija Taka, Matti Kummu
Published in: Earth's Future, 7/10, 2019, Page(s) 1118-1135, ISSN 2328-4277
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019ef001239

Grain export restrictions during COVID-19 risk food insecurity in many low- and middle-income countries

Author(s): Theresa Falkendal, Christian Otto, Jacob Schewe, Jonas Jägermeyr, Megan Konar, Matti Kummu, Ben Watkins, Michael J. Puma
Published in: Nature Food, 2/1, 2021, Page(s) 11-14, ISSN 2662-1355
Publisher: Nature Research
DOI: 10.1038/s43016-020-00211-7

Carbon loss from northern circumpolar permafrost soils amplified by rhizosphere priming

Author(s): Frida Keuper, Birgit Wild, Matti Kummu, Christian Beer, Gesche Blume-Werry, Sébastien Fontaine, Konstantin Gavazov, Norman Gentsch, Georg Guggenberger, Gustaf Hugelius, Mika Jalava, Charles Koven, Eveline J. Krab, Peter Kuhry, Sylvain Monteux, Andreas Richter, Tanvir Shahzad, James T. Weedon, Ellen Dorrepaal
Published in: Nature Geoscience, 13/8, 2020, Page(s) 560-565, ISSN 1752-0894
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41561-020-0607-0

Future Transboundary Water Stress and Its Drivers Under Climate Change: A Global Study

Author(s): Hafsa Ahmed Munia, Joseph H. A. Guillaume, Yoshihide Wada, Ted Veldkamp, Vili Virkki, Matti Kummu
Published in: Earth's Future, 8/7, 2020, ISSN 2328-4277
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019ef001321

Comment on 'Changes of inundation area and water turbidity of Tonle Sap Lake : responses to climate changes or upstream dam construction?'

Author(s): Matti Kummu; Marko Kallio
Published in: Environmental research letters, 5, 2021, Page(s) 058001, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abf3da

China's sustainable water-energy-food nexus by 2030 : Impacts of urbanization on sectoral water demand

Author(s): Venla Niva; Jialiang Cai; Maija Taka; Matti Kummu; Olli Varis
Published in: Journal of Cleaner Production, 251, 2020, ISSN 0959-6526
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2019.119755

The Water Planetary Boundary: Interrogation and Revision

Author(s): Tom Gleeson, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Samuel C. Zipper, Miina Porkka, Fernando Jaramillo, Dieter Gerten, Ingo Fetzer, Sarah E. Cornell, Luigi Piemontese, Line J. Gordon, Johan Rockström, Taikan Oki, Murugesu Shivapalan, Yoshihide Wada, Kate A. Brauman, Martina Flörke, Marc F. P. Bierkens, Bernhard Lehner, Patrick Keys, Matti Kummu, Thorsten Wagener, Simon Dadson, Tara J. Troy, Will Steffen, Malin Fa
Published in: One Earth, Vol 2, Issue 3, 2020, Page(s) 223-234, ISSN 2590-3330
Publisher: Cell Press, Elsevier Inc
DOI: 10.1016/j.oneear.2020.02.009

A multi-model analysis of teleconnected crop yield variability in a range of cropping systems

Author(s): Matias Heino; Joseph H. A. Guillaume; Christoph Müller; Toshichika Iizumi; Matti Kummu
Published in: Earth System Dynamics, Vol. 11, Issue 1, 2020, Page(s) 113-128, ISSN 2190-4979
Publisher: Copernicus Gesellschaft mbH
DOI: 10.5194/esd-11-113-2020

Illuminating water cycle modifications and Earth system resilience in the Anthropocene

Author(s): Tom Gleeson, Lan Wang‐Erlandsson, Miina Porkka, Samuel C. Zipper, Fernando Jaramillo, Dieter Gerten, Ingo Fetzer, Sarah E. Cornell, Luigi Piemontese, Line J. Gordon, Johan Rockström, Taikan Oki, Murugesu Sivapalan, Yoshihide Wada, Kate A. Brauman, Martina Flörke, Marc F. P. Bierkens, Bernhard Lehner, Patrick Keys, Matti Kummu, Thorsten Wagener, Simon Dadson, Tara J. Troy, Will Steffen, Malin F
Published in: Water Resources Research, 56/4, 2020, ISSN 0043-1397
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019wr024957

Interplay of trade and food system resilience: Gains on supply diversity over time at the cost of trade independency

Author(s): Matti Kummu, Pekka Kinnunen, Elina Lehikoinen, Miina Porkka, Cibele Queiroz, Elin Röös, Max Troell, Charlotte Weil
Published in: Global Food Security, 24, 2020, Page(s) 100360, ISSN 2211-9124
Publisher: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.gfs.2020.100360

China’s sustainable water-energy-food nexus by 2030: Impacts of urbanization on sectoral water demand

Author(s): Venla Niva, Jialiang Cai, Maija Taka, Matti Kummu, Olli Varis
Published in: Journal of Cleaner Production, 251, 2020, Page(s) 119755, ISSN 0959-6526
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2019.119755

Feeding ten billion people is possible within four terrestrial planetary boundaries

Author(s): Dieter Gerten, Vera Heck, Jonas Jägermeyr, Benjamin Leon Bodirsky, Ingo Fetzer, Mika Jalava, Matti Kummu, Wolfgang Lucht, Johan Rockström, Sibyll Schaphoff, Hans Joachim Schellnhuber
Published in: Nature Sustainability, 3/3, 2020, Page(s) 200-208, ISSN 2398-9629
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41893-019-0465-1

Global priorities of environmental issues to combat food insecurity and biodiversity loss

Author(s): Laura Scherer, Jens-Christian Svenning, Jing Huang, Colleen Seymour, Brody Sandel, Nathaniel Mueller, Matti Kummu, Mateete Bekunda, Helge Bruelheide, Zvi Hochman, Stefan Siebert, Oscar Rueda, Peter M. van Bodegom
Published in: Science of the Total Environment, 730, 2020, ISSN 0048-9697
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.139096

Flood severity along the Usumacinta River, Mexico: Identifying the anthropogenic signature of tropical forest conversion

Author(s): Alexander J Horton, Anja Nygren, Miguel A Diaz-Perera, Matti Kummu
Published in: Journal of Hydrology X, 10, 2021, Page(s) 100072, ISSN 2589-9155
Publisher: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.hydroa.2020.100072

Is wetter better? Exploring agriculturally-relevant rainfall characteristics over four decades in the Sahel

Author(s): Miina Porkka, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Georgia Destouni, Annika Ekman, Johan Rockström, Line Josefin Gordon
Published in: Environmental research letters, 16/3, 2021, Page(s) 035002, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abdd57

Simulating the Cascading Effects of an Extreme Agricultural Production Shock: Global Implications of a Contemporary US Dust Bowl Event

Author(s): Alison Heslin, Michael J. Puma, Philippe Marchand, Joel A. Carr, Jampel Dell'Angelo, Paolo D'Odorico, Jessica A. Gephart, Matti Kummu, Miina Porkka, Maria Cristina Rulli, David A. Seekell, Samir Suweis, Alessandro Tavoni
Published in: Frontiers in Sustainable Food Systems, 4, 2020, ISSN 2571-581X
Publisher: Frontiers Media
DOI: 10.3389/fsufs.2020.00026

Identifying Key Drivers of Peatland Fires Across Kalimantan's Ex-Mega Rice Project Using Machine Learning

Author(s): Alexander J. Horton, Vili Virkki, Anu Lounela, Jukka Miettinen, Sara Alibakshi, Matti Kummu
Published in: Earth and Space Science, 8/12, 2021, Page(s) e2021EA001873, ISSN 2333-5084
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2021ea001873

Integrating the Water Planetary Boundary With Water Management From Local to Global Scales

Author(s): Samuel C. Zipper, Fernando Jaramillo, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Sarah E. Cornell, Tom Gleeson, Miina Porkka, Tiina Häyhä, Anne-Sophie Crepin, Ingo Fetzer, Dieter Gerten, Holger Hoff, Nathanial Matthews, Constanza Ricaurte-Villota, Matti Kummu, Yoshihide Wada, Line Gordon
Published in: Earth's Future, Vol 8, issue 2, 2020, ISSN 2328-4277
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
DOI: 10.1029/2019ef001377

The Cambodian Mekong floodplain under future development plans and climate change

Author(s): Alexander J. Horton; Nguyen V. K. Triet; Long P. Hoang; Sokchhay Heng; Panha Hok; Sarit Chung; Jorma Koponen; Matti Kummu
Published in: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 22 (7), 2022, Page(s) 967-983, ISSN 1561-8633
Publisher: Copemicus Gesellschaften
DOI: 10.5194/nhess-22-967-2022

Climate change risks pushing one-third of global food production outside the safe climatic space

Author(s): Matti Kummu; Matias Heino; Maija Taka; Olli Varis; Daniel Viviroli
Published in: One Earth, 4(5), 2021, Page(s) 720-729, ISSN 2590-3322
Publisher: Cell Press
DOI: 10.1016/j.oneear.2021.04.017

Other (7)

Global assessment of grassland carrying capacities and relative stocking densities of livestock

Author(s): Johannes Piipponen, Mika Jalava, Jan de Leeuw, Afag Rizayeva, Cécile Godde, Mario Herrero, Matti Kummu
Published in: ESSOAr (preprint), 2021
Publisher: ESSOAr (preprint)
DOI: 10.1002/essoar.10505875.1

Quantifying Earth system interactions for sustainable food production: an expert elicitation

Author(s): Anna Chrysafi, Vili Virkki, Mika Jalava, Vilma Sandström, Johannes Piipponen, Miina Porkka, Steven Lade, Kelsey La Mere, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Laura Scherer, Lauren Andersen, Elena Bennett, Kate Brauman, Gregory Cooper, Adriana De Palma, Petra Döll, Andrea Downing, Timothy DuBois, Ingo Fetzer, Elizabeth Fulton, Dieter Gerten, Hadi Jaafar, Jonas Jaegermeyr, Fernando Jaramillo, Martin Jung, Helena
Published in: Research Square (preprint), 2021
Publisher: Research Square
DOI: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-1085622/v1

How much meat should we eat? Improved estimates accounting for food system dynamics influencing water use

Author(s): Mika Jalava, Joseph Guillaume, Matti Kummu, Vera Heck, Olli Varis
Published in: ESSOAr (preprint), 2019
Publisher: ESSOAr
DOI: 10.1002/essoar.10501265.1

Untapped power of food system by-products to increase global food supply

Author(s): Vilma Sandström, Anna Chrysafi, Marjukka Lamminen, Max Troell, Mika Jalava, Johannes Piipponen, Stefan Siebert, Ollie van Hal, Vili Virkki, Matti Kummu
Published in: Research Square (preprint), 2021
Publisher: Research Square
DOI: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-990009/v1

Poor correlation between large-scale environmental flow violations and freshwater biodiversity: implications for water resource management and water planetary boundary

Author(s): Chinchu Mohan, Tom Gleeson, James S. Famiglietti, Vili Virkki, Matti Kummu, Miina Porkka, Xander Huggins, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Dieter Gerten, Sonja C. Jähnig
Published in: ESSOAr (preprint), 2021
Publisher: ESSOAr
DOI: 10.1002/essoar.10507838.1

Over Half of the Negative Crop Yield Variability Explained by Anthropogenic Indicators

Author(s): Pekka Kinnunen, Matias Heino, Vilma Sandström, Maija Taka, Deepak K Ray, Matti Kummu
Published in: ESSOAr (preprint), 2021
Publisher: ESSOAr
DOI: 10.1002/essoar.10507998.1

Environmental flow envelopes: quantifying global, ecosystem–threatening streamflow alterations

Author(s): Vili Virkki, Elina Alanärä, Miina Porkka, Lauri Ahopelto, Tom Gleeson, Chinchu Mohan, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Martina Flörke, Dieter Gerten, Simon N. Gosling, Naota Hanasaki, Hannes Müller Schmied, and Matti Kummu
Published in: HESSD (preprint), 2021
Publisher: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/hess-2021-260

Non-peer reviewed articles (1)

Commentary: Feeding the world in a narrowing safe operating space

Author(s): Dieter Gerten, Matti Kummu
Published in: One Earth, 9, 2021, Page(s) 1193-1196, ISSN 2590-3330
Publisher: Cell Press
DOI: 10.1016/j.oneear.2021.08.020