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Estimating contribution of sub-hourly sea level oscillations to overall sea level extremes in changing climate

Project description

Testing the waters with sub-hourly sea level fluctuations

The rise of sea level caused by climate change represents a major challenge for our society. The mean sea level (MSL) is estimated to rise up to 60 cm worldwide by the end of our century. As a result, flood risks related to extreme sea levels (ESLs) will multiply, causing extreme situations along many coastlines around the world. These can result in significant human tolls and economic losses. The EU-funded SHExtreme project will study for the first time the role sub-hourly sea level fluctuations play in ESLs. By applying high-resolution sea-level data, it will attempt the first inclusive estimation of intensity, frequency and temporal and spatial distribution of existing and future sub-hourly ESLs along European coasts.

Objective

Coping with a sea level rise, induced by climate change processes, is one of the most important challenges of modern society. It has been projected that, by the end of the 21st century, mean sea level (MSL) will rise between 40 and 60 cm worldwide. Higher MSLs imply that flood risks associated to extreme sea levels (ESLs) will also increase, with the 100-year return levels of extreme events along European coasts projected to increase between 50 and 90 cm by the 2100. ESLs occur due to a superposition of numerous oceanic phenomena which act over different temporal (from seconds to millennia) and spatial scales (from bays to oceans). Within SHExtreme project, for the first time, contribution of under-researched sub-hourly sea level oscillations to the ESLs along the European coast will be extensively studied. High resolution 1-min sea level data measured at more than 100 tide gauge stations, as well as reanalysis, hindcast and future climate simulations, will be analyzed to achieve project goals: (i) assessing present day distribution of sub-hourly sea level oscillations and estimating their contribution to the overall ESLs; (ii) linking sub-hourly ESLs to governing atmospheric conditions; (iii) estimating future strength and distribution of sub-hourly ESLs. Project SHExtremes will result with the first comprehensive estimate of intensity, frequency, and spatial and temporal distribution of present and future-day sub-hourly ESLs along the European coasts.

Keywords

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Programme(s)

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Topic(s)

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Funding Scheme

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ERC-STG - Starting Grant

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Call for proposal

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(opens in new window) ERC-2019-STG

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Host institution

SVEUCILISTE U SPLITU, PRIRODOSLOVNO-MATEMATICKI FAKULTET
Net EU contribution

Net EU financial contribution. The sum of money that the participant receives, deducted by the EU contribution to its linked third party. It considers the distribution of the EU financial contribution between direct beneficiaries of the project and other types of participants, like third-party participants.

€ 806 250,00
Address
RUDERA BOSKOVICA 33
21000 Split
Croatia

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Region
Hrvatska Jadranska Hrvatska Splitsko-dalmatinska županija
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
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Total cost

The total costs incurred by this organisation to participate in the project, including direct and indirect costs. This amount is a subset of the overall project budget.

€ 806 250,00

Beneficiaries (1)

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