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NEW TRENDS IN ENERGY DEMAND MODELING

Deliverables

Report on the first stakeholder meeting

Report summarising the first stakeholder meeting including agenda participant list and overview of discussions during the event Presentation pack from the meeting will be provided in the annex

Report on Statistical Learning Models for prosumagers

This report will describe the methodology developed to statistically model household energy consumption and their drivers from highfrequency and other available data discuss how to use such statistical models to calibrate validate and inform bottomup energy demand models for scenario and policy assessment with a special focus on two case studies involving Italy and Poland

Focus study report on decarbonisation and circular economy in Industry

Study report on the relevance of circular economy for selected industrial sub-sectors. Description how these CE trends are implemented in the model, including a description of model improvements (FORECAST Industry).It will further make (any enhancements to) the model(s) open source, that were produced within the project.

Report on the third stakeholder meeting

Report summarising the this stakeholder meeting, including agenda, participant list, and overview of discussions 2during the event. Presentation pack from the meeting will be provided in the annex.

Policy briefs

At least six short publications (one per WP2-7) summarising key policy-relevant project findings and recommendations, in the format easily accessible to policymakers and other relevant stakeholders engaged in the public debate on the energy policy.

Policy case study on the implementation of selected CE-action and digitalization policies

Policy case study on how digitalization trends in tertiary sub-sectors can be addressed by policies and which impacts are expected from such implementations.

Recommendations for better design of energy-demand modelling based on policy makers' needs

Report presenting three policy case studies on Prosumagers, Circular Economy and Shared Economy, together with synthethic summary of associated policy makers' needs and recommendations on better design of the demand side in the energy models.

Assessment of energy demand-side models from the perspective of policy makers' needs at European level

This report will summarise the assessment of demandside models in how far they are able to quantify energy demandside policies impacting on New Societal Trends from the perspective of policy makers needs

Report on the second stakeholder meeting

Report summarising the second stakeholder meeting, including agenda, participant list, and overview of discussions during the event. Presentation pack from the meeting will be provided in the annex.

Report on macro-economic impacts of New Societal Trends and gap analysis for macro-economic modelling

This report will summarize the key findings on the New Societal Trends in relation to their macro-economic impacts, as well as report on the gap analysis found.It will further make any enhancements to the macro-economic model open source, that were produced within the project.

Diagnosis of energy demand-side policy needs at European level

This report will summarise the investigations on the demandside policy needs of policy makers with a particular focus on effective implementation of the EE1 principle for the New Societal Trends

Focus study report on digitalization in Tertiary

Study report which digitalization trends are of relevance for the tertiary sector and how these trends are implemented in the model, including description of model improvements (FORECAST Tertiary).It will further make (any enhancements to) the model(s) open source, that were produced within the project.

Report describing the selected clusters for New Societal Trends, the process of selection and the empirical data concerning New Societal Trends

This report will summarize the work performed in Task 21 describing the selection process of the New Societal Trends based on their potential relevance for future energy demand

Report on the modelling of prosumagers and energy communities in energy demand models

This report summarizes the outcomes of task 5.2 and 5.3; including a description of the model improvements performed in these tasks.It will further make (any enhancements to) the model(s) open source, that were produced within the project.

Report on modelling the interaction of prosumagers and energy markets/supply side

This report summarizes the outcomes of task 5.2 and 5.3; including a description of the model improvements performed in these tasks.It will further make (any enhancements to) the model(s) open source, that were produced within the project.

Report on the pathways for New Societal Trends and gap analysis for demand models

This report will define the pathways and scenarios for energyrelevant New Societal Trends task 31 and includes a gap analysis for current demand models first part of task 32

Report on findings of the New Social Trends pathway analysis for all sectors (covering the building sector, industry and transport) including selected macro-economic impacts

This report will summarize the key findings on the New Societal Trends pathways for all sectors, including selected macro-economic impacts. It will draw from the works performed in WP5-7 as well as from the overall pathways in WP3.

Focus Study report on model developments to simulate sharing economy and new trends in transport

This report summarizes the outcomes of task 7.2 and 7.3; including a description of the model improvements performed in these tasks.It will further make (any enhancements to) the model(s) open source, that were produced within the project.

Brochure summarizing the project and the main results

Brochure (8-10 pages) summarizing the project and the main results

Focus Study report on sharing economy in the tertiary sector

Report on how sharing economy can impact tertiary sector demands and cross-sectoral impacts.

Website, including project logo

Project website presenting information about the project and providing space for publication of its outputs as well as equipped with dissemination and communication tools eg newsletter events calendar embedded social media designed in line with the projects graphic identity

Publications

Investigating the impact of smart energy management system on the residential electricity consumption in Austria

Author(s): Philipp Mascherbauer, Lukas Kranzl, Songmin Yu, Thomas Haupt
Published in: Energy, Issue 249, 2022, ISSN 0360-5442
Publisher: Pergamon Press Ltd.
DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2022.123665

Energy Efficiency Vision 2050: How will new societal trends influence future energy demand in the European countries?

Author(s): Heike Brugger, Wolfgang Eichhammer, Nadezhda Mikova, Ewa Dönitz
Published in: Energy Policy, Issue 152, 2021, Page(s) 112216, ISSN 0301-4215
Publisher: Pergamon Press Ltd.
DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2021.112216

Enablers and Barriers in the Market-Driven Rollout of Smart Metering: Polish Technology Innovation System Analysis

Author(s): Maksymilian Kochański; Katarzyna Korczak; Tadeusz Skoczkowski
Published in: Energies, Vol 14, Iss 5259, p 5259 (2021), Issue 1, 2021, ISSN 1996-1073
Publisher: Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute (MDPI)
DOI: 10.3390/en14175259

Coupling circularity performance and climate action: From disciplinary silos to transdisciplinary modelling science

Author(s): Alexandros Nikas; Georgios Xexakis; Konstantinos Koasidis; José Acosta-Fernández; Iñaki Arto; Alvaro Calzadilla; Teresa Domenech; Ajay Gambhir; Stefan Giljum; Mikel Gonzalez-Eguino; Andrea Herbst; Olga Ivanova; Mariësse A. E. van Sluisveld; Dirk-Jan Van De Ven; Anastasios Karamaneas; Haris Doukas
Published in: Sustainable Production and Consumption, 2022, ISSN 2352-5509
Publisher: IChemE
DOI: 10.1016/j.spc.2021.12.011

Impact of variable electricity price on heat pump operated buildings

Author(s): Philipp Mascherbauer, Franziska Schöniger, Lukas Kranzl, Songmin Yu
Published in: Open Research Europe, 2022, ISSN 2732-5121
Publisher: European Commission
DOI: 10.12688/openreseurope.15268.1

Mitigation options for decarbonization of the non-metallic minerals industry and their impacts on costs, energy consumption and GHG emissions in the EU - Systematic literature review

Author(s): Katarzyna Korczak, Maksymilian Kochański, Tadeusz Skoczkowski
Published in: Journal of Cleaner Production, Issue 358, 132006, 2022, ISSN 0959-6526
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2022.132006

Kreislaufwirtschaft für die Dekarbonisierung des EU-Bausektors - Modellierung ausgewählter Stoffströme und Treibhausgasemissionen

Author(s): Lotz, Meta Thurid; Herbst, Andrea; Rehfeldt, Matthias
Published in: Internationale Energiewirtschaftstagung an der TU Wien, Issue 12, 2021
Publisher: TU Wien

Estimation of Gas Network Length and associated Costs for EU-27 at NUTS 3 Level based on open data

Author(s): Mayr, Bernhard
Published in: Issue 8, 2022
Publisher: TU Wien
DOI: 10.34726/hss.2022.101320

A dynamic material flow model for the European steel cycle

Author(s): Rostek, Leon; Lotz, Meta Thurid; Wittig, Sabine; Herbst, Andrea; Loibl, Antonia; Tercero Espinoza, Luis
Published in: Working Paper Sustainability and Innovation, 2022
Publisher: Fraunhofer ISI

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