Objectives and Problems to be solved: The discussions hold among EU experts within the preparation of the 6th Framework Programme, as well as the research priorities indicated by the Congress of the World Energy Council, clearly show both the necessity to enlarge the time horizon of prospective studies up to 2100, and the necessity to revisit the usual modelling tools for this purpose. The VLEEM project has been designed to meet these challenges, combining two methodological innovations: a back-casting approach, a re-foundation of the energy-environment modelling structures. Up till now, it has produced an analytical and conceptual framework, a skeleton model and a validation of the approach on preliminary case studies.
The objectives of the second phase are
- to enhance the overall VLEEM system according to a wider definition of sustainability
- to come out with a comprehensive, fully documented and user friendly model,
- to assess actual energy RTD issues in relation to current energy-environment policies.
Description of work:
The work programme is built in five main work packages:
1. Enhancement and extension of the conceptual and analytical framework of the demand sub-model: sustainability criteria, economic growth, future transport system, economic exchanges and energy trade among world regions; improvement of the data system
2. Development of the DACES module for long-term conventional energy demand-side and supply-side technologies, coupling with the VLEEM framework and with the calibration of the POLES model for mid-point (2050).
3. Further assessment of new and innovative technologies already considered in VLEEM, assessment of additional new and innovative technologies related to energy demand and supply, accounting for endogenous technological learning (ETL)
4. VLEEM mathematical and software development towards a comprehensive computerised model, with a user-friendly front-end.
5. Assessment of energy RTD strategies, consistent with on-going and foreseeable energy-environment policy options.
This work package will include the "bridging" work between VLEEM, POLES and DACES-2050.
Expected results and exploitation plans:
Three main results are expected from the project:
- A series of monographs on new and innovative energy technologies likely to contribute to sustainability
- A computer model in which all the theoretical and methodological innovations developed in the VLEEM project as regard very long term modelling will be formalised
- A report highlighting opportunities, challenges and strategies in energy RTD towards sustainability in the very long term.
The exploitation of these results will take three forms: - Development of a WEB site which will make available all deliverables from the project: report, data accesses, literature. - Participation of VLEEM consortium partners in events (seminars, conferences, working groups, networks,) dealing with similar questions- Organisation of events where will be delivered the key messages from VLEEM results for national and EU stakeholders in energy RTD policy design and implementation (joined conference with SAPIENTIA, national seminars,).
Funding SchemeCSC - Cost-sharing contracts
1755 ZG Petten
3584 CH Utrecht