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Technology and social visions for europe's energy future - a europe wide delphi study (EURENDEL)

Objective

Objectives and Problems to be solved:
EURENDEL assess long-term developments in energy technologies, their potentials and expected impacts. The perspective taken integrates a technology push with a social pull approach embracing a time horizon of 30 years. The liberalisation of the energy sector, the increasing amount of trans national research as well as rapid technology developments challenge today's innovation systems and demand a greater integration and cohesion into EU-wide innovation strategies. EURENDEL employs a Union-wide Delphi survey to cover the need for reliable information on long-term trends and developments. Thus the project provides orientation knowledge and technical foresight to promote a sustainable European energy sector. Description of the Work:
The core of EURENDEL is a Europe-wide Delphi survey with two rounds of expert consultations. The Delphi method is an appropriate approach not only to gain a consensual-based technological foresight, but also to integrate technological, social and economic perspectives of sustainable development. According to these two main foci, EURENDEL simultaneously examines how social requirements and technological developments exert influence on the speed, thrust and centre of innovation. The knowledge gathered allows an analysis of both what might happen in the future and what has to be done to secure long-term competitiveness and enhanced quality of life. In a first step, the state of the art of energy technology development in the EU Member and Accession States is defined. Future relevant issues are identified in expert interviews. In contrast to this technological push perspective, a social pull approach is endorsed, by analysing socio-economic trends. Concerns and opportunities regarding social developments are gathered in a "Futures Workshop" to extract future social demands. The most important issues are accentuated as Delphi statements. They provide the basis for a standardized questionnaire, which is mailed to 2,000 European experts. The data gathered is analysed and subsequently returned to the participants for revaluation. A thorough evaluation of both rounds is conducted to assess the major Europe- wide technological trends, social requirements, challenges and possible solutions. Expected Results and Exploitation Plans:
A consensual and systematic assessment of future energy technology developments on EU level including the expected range of diffusion, chances and constraints is carried out. EURENDEL provides orienting knowledge and technical input to the European Union considerations with respect to installing an appropriate framework, which promotes a sustainable development of the energy sector. Additionally, it advances a better understanding of the dynamics and determinants of technological development in different energy environments. It supports enterprises in their efforts to develop customised products and gives industrial and municipal decision makers an information basis for energy related planning. During the survey process all findings are open to public access on the project web site. In a series of national and Europe-wide workshops the results of the survey are disseminated and a lively discussion on appropriate measures to strengthen the EU innovation system is set off.

Funding Scheme

CSC - Cost-sharing contracts

Coordinator

IZT INSTITUT FUER ZUKUNFTSSTUDIEN UND TECHNOLOGIEBEWERTUNG GMBH
Address
Schopenhauerstr. 26
Berlin
Germany

Participants (4)

INSTITUTE FOR BUILDING, MECHANISATION AND ELECTRIFICATION OF AGRICULTURE
Poland
Address
Rakowiecka Str. 32
02 532 Warszawa
PROSPEKTIKER, S.A. - INSTITUTO EUROPEO DE PROSPECTIVA Y ESTRATEGIA
Spain
Address
3,Don Leandro Kalea 3, Villa Teresita
20800 Zarauzt
RISOE NATIONAL LABORATORY
Denmark
Address
Frederiksborgvej 399
4000 Roskilde
UNIVERSITÀ COMMERCIALE 'LUIGI BOCCONI'
Italy
Address
Viale Filippetti 9
20122 Milano