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Content archived on 2024-05-24

Experience curve analysis of photovoltaic energy systems and components (PHOTEX)

Objective

Objectives and problems to be solved:
PHOTEX comprises a further development of the experience curve methodology as a tool to assess the effectiveness and efficiency of energy policy and RTD programmes and strategies, with particular focus on photovoltaic (PV) power.
Main objectives are to:
- assess past trends and future development of the cost of PV systems and components and develop experience curves combining top-down and bottom-up information;
- evaluate current and planned energy policies, and identify effective future policies for development and deployment of technologies for the medium to long term;
- provide information which can be used to accelerate the implementation of PV systems, essential for the longer term sustainability goals and the renewable energy policy goals of the EU.
Description of work:
The projects consists of three parts, the first of which is concerned primarily with technical issues: past development of PV components and systems, prospects for future technological development, sources of technological improvements and the construction of experience curves. The latter are developed for different applications and markets and the sources of cost reduction are analysed, such as material developments, cell configuration, production process development, system integration, changes in input prices, learning effects, scale effects, technology transfer, cross-over and spill-over effects. Resulting price ranges for various markets are also estimated from these developments. The second part focuses on RTD and energy policies relevant for PV power development and deployment. Past cost and performance trends found in the first part are analysed with respect to the role of past and current policy initiatives and programmes, and effective and efficient incentives for further development will be indicated. Identified cost reduction due to policy programmes are analysed in relation to the experience curve, i.e. the effect different energy and RTD policy actions and programmes on the ride down the experience curve. Cost effectiveness of policy actions and programmes are evaluated by comparing their cost with the expected cost savings calculated with the experience curve. Finally, the third part will bring together the results and insights gained to arrive at a synthesis and conclusions for further discussion with stakeholders and dissemination to a broad group of potential users of the findings.
Expected Results and Exploitation Plans:
The results and insights from PHOTEX offer favourable opportunities for accelerated development and implementation of PV electricity generation, thereby creating market opportunities hand in hand with improved competitiveness. The participation of leading PV technology research organisations in the EU will provide for direct benefits from exploiting the results in their RTD planning. Intermediate and final results will be published in reports, workshop and conference proceedings, and through existing research networks represented in the consortium. The work will also be directly disseminated to EU governments and the European Commission, allowing to improve innovation and RTD management within EU and to support strategic approaches towards a widespread distribution of new energy technologies.

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Topic(s)

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Funding Scheme

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Coordinator

ENERGY RESEARCH CENTRE OF THE NETHERLANDS
EU contribution
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Address
3,Westerduinweg 3
1755 ZG PETTEN
Netherlands

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Total cost

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Participants (5)

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