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Content archived on 2024-04-30

Cloud feedbacks and validation

Objective


To study the role of cloud parametrisations in climate models.


Clouds, through the intricate feedback effects they have on the climate system, are responsible for a large part
of the uncertainty affecting the evaluation of future climate change. The present project includes, as a first
stage, a carefully coordinated intercomparison between three climate models.
All models contain a prognostic cloud scheme, and two of the models share the same radiation scheme. Cross
comparisons should therefore be especially meaningful. The detailed response of the models to similar changes
in their cloud parameterisations will be investigated.
The response of the model for present climate conditions to changes in some of the cloud processes will consider
in priority the impact of the vertical overlap assumptions on the radiative fluxes, the distribution of cloud water
within a grid-box, the changes in the precipitation process (water/ice distinction, introduction of microphysical
parameterisations), and the treatment of turbulent fluxes in cloud-topped boundary layers.
The validation of the models will make use of the ISCCP, ERBE and SSMI satellite dat a sets and the
satellite/GCM hybrid data available from the EUCREX project.
Some of these studies will then be repeated in the context of simple climate scenarios using precribed SST
changes (such as 2K change in the SSTs or the use of a more realistic SST scenario obtained from a equilibrium
response of a coupled ocean-atmosphere GCM). The analysis of theses model results will be done through a
detailed comparison of the changes in the main relevant parameters (water vapour, cloudiness, cloud properties,
ground albedo) and through a feedback analysis using a single radiation code to analyse the results of the
different models.
One aim of the analysis will be to determine whether the most sensitive processes or parameters which explain
the spread between the models in the case of climate scenarios, are also active at the seasonal time scale, and
can be validated through satellite measurements.

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CSC - Cost-sharing contracts

Coordinator

CENTRE NATIONAL DE LA RECHERCHE SCIENTIFIQUE
EU contribution
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Address
Ecole Polytechnique
91128 PALAISEAU
France

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Total cost

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Participants (2)

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