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Content archived on 2024-05-14

Study of the indirect and direct influences an climate of anthropog enic trace gas emissions

Objective



Objectives :

To continue and extend in the previous SINDICATE projects
to include chemical process descriptions in a state-of-the-art GCM (ECHAM4) to interactively simulate the
climate effects of all relevant trace species in addition
to CO2, like methane, ozone and aerosols.

Brief Description of the Research Project :

The anthropogenic increase of non-CO2 greenhouse gases
causes a radiative forcing of climate that is
approximately equal to that of CO2. On the other hand,
increasing aerosol abundances cause a significant
negative climate forcing. Not only the signs of these
forcings, but also their geographical and height
distributions can be very different and thus lead to a
different climate response. General circulation model
(GCM) studies, in part by this group, have shown that by
accounting for anthropogenic changes in aerosols and
stratospheric ozone, in addition to the long-lived
greenhouse gases, the comparison between GCM results and
observations has substantially improved.

In order to further improve the quantification of climate
effects from non-CO2 greenhouse gases and aerosols
relative to CO2 the sources, transformations, transport
and removal processes of radiatively and chemically
active trace species have to be simulated explicitly
using a general circulation model. A high resolution
version of the chemistry-GCM will be further developed to
simulate the ozone chemistry and dynamics of the
stratosphere and interactions with the troposphere. Ozone
and aerosol simulations will be extensively validated on
the basis of in situ measurements and observations from
satellites.

The climate forcings from historical reconstruction of
trace gas emissions will be calculated with the
chemistry-GCM. Furthermore, we will perform interactive
(transient) chemistry-climate simulations over the 1860-
2050 period with a coupled atmosphere-ocean GCM.

This project supports the development of mitigation
policies. The project will help explaining the role of
aerosols and improve the quality of climate projections.
Interactions between stratospheric ozone depletion and
climate will be addressed to help preventing new
surprises about the future condition of the ozone layer.

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CSC - Cost-sharing contracts

Coordinator

MAX-PLANCK-GESELLSCHAFT ZUR FOERDERUNG DER WISSENSCHAFTEN E.V.
EU contribution
No data
Address
Bundesstra¯e 55
20146 HAMBURG
Germany

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Total cost

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Participants (6)

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