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Content archived on 2024-05-14

Regional Storm, wave and surge scenarios for the 2100 century

Objective



Objectives :

To use numerical models to study storms, surges and
waves, in the European/Northeast Atlantic region under
present climate conditions and in a climate influenced by
increase CO2-concentrations.


Brief Description of the Research Project :


The focus will be on improved statistical description of
changes and understanding of key physical mechanisms. The
project is a joint effort of meteorologists and
oceanographers. The backbone of the project is two 20
year GCM-runs with the ECHAM-4 model at T-106 horizontal
resolution, corresponding to 'present day' and
'equivalent CO2-doubling' conditions, respectively.

For the atmospheric part of the project, the T-106 runs
will be analysed with respect to severe storms in the
North Atlantic. Furthermore, extreme cases will be
studied in detail with the HIRHAM regional climate model.
The effect of water vapour on baroclinic development will
be studied. Also polar lows in the Norwegian Sea and
convective systems in the Mediterranean will be studied
using regional climate models (HIRHAM for polar lows and
BOLAM for Mediterranean systems), based on selection
criteria from the T-106 runs.

For the oceanographic part, surge models will be run for
the North-western European shelf area, with the
atmospheric forcing from the T-106 runs and surge
statistics will be derived. The dependency of storm
statistics on the horizontal resolution of the surge
model will be studied. A dynamical/statistical
downscaling method will be developed to calculate surge
statistics in estuaries. Also case studies of surges in
the Mediterranean Sea will be performed.

Ocean waves will be studied by running wave models forced
by the T-106 runs covering the Mediterranean as well as
the Northern Seas. Furthermore, an 'ocean wave generator'
will be developed for specific locations to give
realistic time series of wave statistics in greenhouse-enhanced climate.

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Programme(s)

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Topic(s)

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Call for proposal

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Funding Scheme

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CSC - Cost-sharing contracts

Coordinator

DANISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE
EU contribution
No data
Address
100,Lyngbyvej 100
2100 KOEPENHAGEN
Denmark

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Total cost

The total costs incurred by this organisation to participate in the project, including direct and indirect costs. This amount is a subset of the overall project budget.

No data

Participants (6)

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