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Content archived on 2024-05-14

Assessment of the Uncertainties in Risk Analysis of Chemical Establishments

Objective



The project will address the research area on industrial safety, specifically the examination of vaIiations in safety hazard and risk analysis in Europe, across a range of risk sources building on the basis of current and previous European research initiatives, including comparison and examination of deterministic and probabilistic methods for analysis of public risk from chemical plant hazards.

Risk assessment has proven to be a powerful tool in controlling the risk of major accidents in industrial installations. The assessment of the uncertainties and of the way these can affect the final outcome of risk studies is the main scope of the project. All types of uncertainties will be addressed, including the different approaches used, (e.g.
probabilistic, reference scenarios, etc.).

The objectives of the proposal are:

(i) to assess the state-of-the-art of risk analysis in the European Union
(ii) to investigate the approaches used to deal with the uncertainties
(iii) to describe the quality of risk analysis techniques by assessment of related uncertainties

(iv) to investigate and gain insight on the approaches, techniques, models and assumptions applied, to be able to explain discrepancies and deviations
(v) to investigate the benefit from the use of risk assessment techniques in specifying risk reduction measures

The objectives will be met through the use of benchmark exercises, i.e. case studies carried out by different risk analysis teams independently. A reference plant - an ammonia storage facility - will be analysed by all partners and used a framework for the benchmarks on the elements with an impact on the uncertainty.

The outcome of the project will be a higher level of understanding the various parameters and issues that influence the estimation of risk and thereby improve the general quality of risk assessment. An important element in the dissemination of the results will be a workshop organised in cooperation with the competent authorities and DG XI, scheduled for the third year of the project.

Call for proposal

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Coordinator

RISOE NATIONAL LABORATORY
EU contribution
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Address
Frederiksborgvej 399
4000 ROSKILDE
Denmark

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Total cost
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Participants (8)

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