COHERENCE ON CLIMATIC CHANGE IN EUROPE AND CLIMATIC FLUCTUATIONS OF DROUGHT AND HUMIDITY OVER THE LAST MILLENIUM

Objective

ONE PART OF THE WORK WILL BE THE CONSTRUCTION OF TIME SERIES MODELS BY MAKING USE OF HOMOGENEOUS AIR TEMPERATURE DATA SAMPLES FOR EUROPEAN STATIONS WITH THE LONGEST AVAILABLE RECORDS. TESTS FOR STATISTICAL SIGNIFICANCE WILL BE PERFORMED, AND THE RESULTS WILL BE COMPARED WITH MODEL PREDICTIONS OF THE EXPECTED GREENHOUSE EFFECT, DURING THE PERIOD OF STUDY, FOR KNOWN CO2 AND OTHER TRACE GASES INCREASING SCENARIOS.

ANOTHER PART OF THE WORK WILL CONSIST ON STUDYING EXTREMES OF TEMPERATURE AND RELATED CLIMATIC VARIABLES. THAT SHALL BE EXTENDED BACK TO THE YEAR 1000 AD, BY USING HISTORICAL SOURCES. THE SIMULATION OF PREVAILING SYNOPTIC CONDITIONS IN EUROPE AT THESE EARLY TIMES WILL BE ATTEMPTED.

MODERN STATISTICAL TECHNIQUES WILL BE USED TO EVALUATE EXISTING CLIMATIC TELECONNECTIONS BETWEEN THE GREEK STATION OF THE PATRIARCHAL INSTITUTE AND THE RECORDS IN OTHER EUROPEAN STATIONS, DURING THE PERIOD FROM THE 1850'S THROUGH TO THE 1980'S.

Programme(s)

• FP1-CLIMAT 3C - Multiannual R&D programmes (EEC) in the field of the environment - Climatology and natural hazards - , 1986-1990

Funding Scheme

CSC - Cost-sharing contracts

Coordinator

RIJKSUNIVERSITEIT UTRECHT

Address

Institute Of Earth Sciences P.o. Box 80.021
3508 TA Utrecht
Netherlands

Participants (3)

PATRIARCHAL INST FOR PATRISTIC STUDIES

RIJKSUNIVERSITEIT

ROYAL NETHERLAND METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE