For many EU countries, climatic change from whatever cause is most evident, part-circularly to the public & media, through changing frequencies of extremes. While there is a clear need for scenarios of extremes, such scenarios are not readily available at present, mainly because a systematic framework for identifying & evaluating suitable construction methods is lacking. STARDEX will provide such a framework through the rigorous & systematic inter-comparison & evaluation of statistical, dynamical & statistical-dynamical downscaling methods for the recon-striation of observed extremes & the construction of scenarios of extremes for European case-study regions. The more robust techniques will be identified & used to produce reliable & plausible future scenarios of extremes for the case- study regions for the end of the 21st century. These scenarios will help to address the vital question as to whether extremes will occur more frequently in the future.
Funding SchemeCSC - Cost-sharing contracts