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Atlantic sea level rise : adaptation to imaginable worst case climate change

Objective

We will adopt methodologies of risk management to study adaptation to imaginable worst case Climate change. In consultation with local experts and stakeholders, we will develop rich scenarios ("future histories") of the societal implications of a 5-6 metre sea level rise, potentially caused by a collapse of the west-Antarctic Ice Sheet , on the Rhone delta , the Netherlands and the Thames Estuary. We will estimate the amount of land, buildings etc lost, but will focus on initial responses (e.g., dike building, managed retreat), their probabilities of failure, as well as the wider effects (e.g., on the economy, large-scale migration). In addition, we will perform a formal risk assessment, analyse social representations and investigate optimal control of greenhouse gas emissions under catastrophic risk. The project would add substance and seriousness to the debate of potential catastrophes that may be caused by human-induced climate change.

Funding Scheme

CSC - Cost-sharing contracts

Coordinator

UNIVERSITY OF HAMBURG
Address
Troplowitzstrasse 7
20146 Hamburg
Germany

Participants (5)

INSTITUT SYMLOG DE FRANCE ASBL
France
Address
Rue Camille Desmoulin 9
94232 Cachan
INTERNATIONAL INSTITUTE FOR APPLIED SYSTEM ANALYSIS
Austria
Address
Schlossplatz 1
2361 Laxenburg
MIDDLESEX UNIVERSITY
United Kingdom
Address
Queensway
EN3 4SF Enfield
STOCKHOLM ENVIRONMENT INSTITUTE
Sweden
Address
Lilla Nygatan 1
Stockholm
VRIJE UNIVERSITEIT AMSTERDAM - VERENIGING VOOR CHRISTELIJK WETENSCHAPPELIJK ONDERWIJS
Netherlands
Address
De Boelelaan 1115
1081 HV Amsterdam