We will adopt methodologies of risk management to study adaptation to imaginable worst case Climate change. In consultation with local experts and stakeholders, we will develop rich scenarios ("future histories") of the societal implications of a 5-6 metre sea level rise, potentially caused by a collapse of the west-Antarctic Ice Sheet , on the Rhone delta , the Netherlands and the Thames Estuary. We will estimate the amount of land, buildings etc lost, but will focus on initial responses (e.g., dike building, managed retreat), their probabilities of failure, as well as the wider effects (e.g., on the economy, large-scale migration). In addition, we will perform a formal risk assessment, analyse social representations and investigate optimal control of greenhouse gas emissions under catastrophic risk. The project would add substance and seriousness to the debate of potential catastrophes that may be caused by human-induced climate change.
Funding SchemeCSC - Cost-sharing contracts
EN3 4SF Enfield
1081 HV Amsterdam