SOAP will establish the capability of state-of-the-art European climate models for simulating climate changes over the past 500 years. The project will explore and quantify the model responses to natural and anthropogenic forcing on regional and global scales. SOAP will construct climate data sets, including seasonal temperature, precipitation, atmospheric circulation and sea level, with local to hemispheric coverage. These will be a combination of instrumental, historical and rigorously calibrated palaeoclimate proxies. The characteristic variability contained in these data sets will be compared with the output of the forced and unforced climate models. By integrated analyses of the simulated and reconstructed climates, we will evaluate the credibility of these climate models, identify externally-forced climate signals, and re-assess climate change detection results that are currently based on untested model estimates of natural variability.
Funding SchemeCSC - Cost-sharing contracts
EX1 3PB Exeter