Proposal Summary Objectives:
- Ex-post identification of the adjustments of local farming systems in response to the 1992 European reform.
- Evaluation of the impact of such adjustments on the economic equilibria-of the study areas: factors and products markets, returns to internal resourses; performance with respect to socially desirable goals, in particular rural development and environmental protection. - Simulation of alternative policy scenarios: changes of European policies; changes of national policies; changes in the local management of the existing policies.
- Assessment of the social and financial costs. Methodology.
a) First examination of adjustments. at regional and area level through: - analysis of policy utilisation indicators such as actors admitted to subsidy, milk quota allotments, etc.;
- Joint analysis from other statistical sources.
b) Adjustment path of farm typologies: Budget analysis on the PAM framework of a "System of representative farms' reproducing the agricultural organisation of the study area.
c) Extension of the results obtained from b) to the area on the bases of statistical representativeness of the farm typologies. d) Alternative policies scenarios to be formulated on the bases of current discussion about the European Policy evolution, and from hypotheses generated by the observed adjustments.
d) Assessment of social and financial cost to be made through the policy analysis matrix approach.
f) Experimental alternative approach: a recursive programming model, along the lines suggested by Hanf and Wossink, in order to simulate the adjustment process of farming systems
Funding SchemeCSC - Cost-sharing contracts
80055 Portici Napoli