Objective
The purpose of this project is to present a detailed analysis of global demographic trends in contemporary Russia. By using a very large body of statistical data, it will focus on a description of population dynamics and structure, changes in demographic behaviours and the impact of population policies in the fields of the family, health and migration. The period concerned is principally the half-century since the Second World War, but analysis of the retrospective data collected in the 1959, 1979 and 1989 censuses will extend the investigation, in particular concerning family behaviour, to all cohorts born since the beginning of the century. Finally, this study will attempt to distinguish, in the more recent demographic changes, the long-run trends from those which depend more on the new political, economic and social context.
The growth of population, the dynamics of mortality, the internal migration flows are an essential component for the establishment of relations between regions, and for the relative balance among them.
The demographic dynamics of the NIS are nowadays under a double influence. Firstly, the process of the demographic transition is continuing, in particular in the states of Central Asia, and is finishing in the European states. But, in another way, the socio-economic and political constraints, linked with the breakdown of the Soviet Union and with the deep changes of economic structures and logic, modify these trends. Finally, the migration flows inside the NIS and inside Russia itself are modified under the double influence of decolonization and of changes in the economic situations of urban and rural areas.
Moreover, the fact that national revendications continue to be expressed inside Russia, a heritage of the Stalinist nationalities policy, contributes to possible changes in regional equilibrium. In particular, the present changes and the future demographic equilibrium between different states of the NIS and between different nationalities of Russia, are often taken to be an important factor of disequilibrium and could lead to regional tensions.
Demographic prospects will therefore be considered, leading to a possible scenario on future equilibrium inside the NIS.
Call for proposal
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75675 Paris
France