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Demographic uncertainty and the sustainability of social welfare systems

Objective

The project focuses on the sustainability of welfare systems in EU countries in the face of ageing and demographic uncertainty. The main innovation is to bring new quantifications of demographic uncertainty into economic and social analysis of the effects of population ageing. The main tools are general equilibrium models with overlapping-generations structure. We compare the welfare systems in participating countries and look for systems and rules that perform well under uncertainty. The project also attempts to improve current policy instruments, and design new, to better cope with demographic uncertainty, and evaluate their performance with model simulations. Guidelines for future development for both economic and demographic models will also be created.

Funding Scheme

CSC - Cost-sharing contracts

Coordinator

CENTRE FOR EUROPEAN POLICY STUDIES

Participants (7)

BUREAU FEDERAL DU PLAN
Belgium
Address
47-49,Avenue Des Arts 47-49
1000 Bruxelles
CENTRE D'ETUDES PROSPECTIVES ET D' INFORMATIONS INTERNATIONALES/CLUB D'INFORMATION ET DE REFLEXION SUR L'ECONOMIE MONDIALE
France
Address
Rue Georges Pitard 9
75740 Paris
CENTRE FOR ECONOMIC AND BUSINESS RESEARCH
Denmark
Address
Langelinie Alle 17
2100 Koepenhagen
CPB NETHERLANDS BUREAU FOR ECONOMICS POLICY ANALYSIS
Netherlands
Address
Van Stolkweg, 14
2508 JR Den Haag ('S-gravenhage)
FUNDACION DE ESTUDOS DE ECONOMIA APLICADA
Spain
Address
46,Jorge Juan 46
28001 Madrid
NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL RESEARCH
United Kingdom
Address
2,Dean Trench Street 2
SW1P 3HE London
THE RESEARCH INSTITUTE OF THE FINNISH ECONOMY
Finland
Address
Loennrotinkatu, 4B
00120 Helsinki