Skip to main content
Go to the home page of the European Commission (opens in new window)
English en
CORDIS - EU research results
CORDIS

Macroeconomic aggregates and heterogeneity

Project description

Study explores how economic changes affect different social groups

Economic changes, such as shifts in inflation or employment, often affect different groups in society in unequal ways. However, traditional economic models tend to overlook these differences. With the support of the Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions programme, the MacHete project addresses this gap by investigating how these macroeconomic changes affect various social groups and the broader economy. The project will combine detailed individual-level data with macroeconomic trends, offering a better understanding of economic dynamics. Using advanced statistical and machine learning methods, it will examine how people’s expectations about inflation and income evolve in response to economic shocks. Project findings could help policymakers design more effective interventions that account for the diverse needs and vulnerabilities in society.

Objective

MacHete investigates how macroeconomic changes -such as shifts in inflation or employment- affect different groups within society, and how these diverse impacts shape the broader economy. The project aims to provide fresh insights into how the economy functions and how it can better meet the needs of all social segments. Traditional macroeconomic models often overlook key differences in income, wealth, and behavior, but MacHete integrates these variations by combining micro-level data with macroeconomic aggregates, offering a unique perspective on the dynamics of the broader economy.

The fellowship will take place at the Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE) at UCLouvain, in collaboration with Professor Francesca Monti. MacHete blends macroeconomic theory with advanced statistical methods and machine learning, employing techniques such as Functional Structural Vector Autoregressions (FSVARs) to model the interactions between macroeconomic shocks and distributional changes. This approach provides deeper insights into how policies and economic fluctuations impact different social groups.

Results from MacHete will be disseminated at international conferences. A key project outcome will be a series of papers examining how agents' expectations—particularly regarding inflation and income—evolve in response to aggregate shocks. By studying the distribution of these expectations, the project will uncover how varying beliefs shape individual decision-making and broader macroeconomic outcomes. These findings will equip policymakers with the tools to design interventions that are both effective and equitable, ensuring that policies address diverse expectations and vulnerabilities.

Through its innovative methods and focus on heterogeneity, MacHete will produce impactful research that contributes meaningfully to both academic scholarship and policymaking, helping policymakers make informed decisions that promote fairness and efficiency in economic outcomes.

Fields of science (EuroSciVoc)

Keywords

Programme(s)

Topic(s)

Funding Scheme

HORIZON-TMA-MSCA-PF-EF - HORIZON TMA MSCA Postdoctoral Fellowships - European Fellowships

See all projects funded under this funding scheme

Call for proposal

(opens in new window) HORIZON-MSCA-2024-PF-01

See all projects funded under this call

Coordinator

UNIVERSITE CATHOLIQUE DE LOUVAIN
Net EU contribution
€ 216 240,00
Address
PLACE DE L UNIVERSITE 1
1348 LOUVAIN LA NEUVE
Belgium
Region
Région de Bruxelles-Capitale/Brussels Hoofdstedelijk Gewest Région de Bruxelles-Capitale/ Brussels Hoofdstedelijk Gewest Arr. de Bruxelles-Capitale/Arr. Brussel-Hoofdstad
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
Links
Total cost
No data