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Exploring the Impacts of Global Change on the Risk of Aedes and Dengue Expansion in Tanzania

Project description

Mapping the future of dengue risk in East Africa

Dengue fever, transmitted by Aedes mosquitoes, is an emerging problem across East Africa, with the frequency of outbreaks increasing in locations such as Tanzania. Changes in land use, climate change, and transportation networks have expanded mosquito habitats. However, our ability to model future hotspots for dengue outbreaks is restricted, as the identification of the underlying causes of outbreaks is still limited. Supported by the Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions MoE programme, the TRACED project combines ecological modelling, population dynamics, and disease mapping to derive an epidemiological approach and assess the risk of transmission. The project will partner with healthcare systems across Tanzania and provide an evidence base to explore policy directions and capacity building.

Objective

Dengue, a vector-borne disease transmitted by Aedes mosquitoes, has emerged as a significant global health challenge, particularly in regions like East Africa, where its impact is increasingly felt. Tanzania, with recurrent outbreaks and an expanding range of mosquito vectors, offers a critical case study for understanding dengue's broader epidemiological trends in these regions. The spread of Aedes aegypti, driven by global changes such as rising temperatures, urbanisation, and increased transportation networks, has intensified the threat of dengue in Tanzania. Despite this, substantial knowledge gaps remain, particularly in predicting future hotspots for transmission and understanding the extent of the population at risk, now and in the future.

The TRACED project aims to address these gaps by integrating innovative methodologies to assess ecological niches, human population dynamics, and dengue transmission risk. The project's outcomes are expected to support global efforts to achieve Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 3.3 which focuses on ensuring healthy lives and promoting well-being for all, by raising awareness among policymakers, which is crucial for effective intervention strategies. Given the limited research and funding in this area, particularly in Africa, this project will provide critical insights and methodological frameworks that can be applied across resource-limited regions, contributing to better preparedness and response to future dengue outbreaks.

Researchers from Technological University Dublin and the Institute of Tropical Medicine are collaborating with Tanzania's Ministry of Health's Neglected Tropical Disease programme and local experts from the Sokoine University of Agriculture (SUA), the Nelson Mandela African Institution of Science and Technology (NM-AIST), and the Ifakara Health Institute (IHI).

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Keywords

Programme(s)

Topic(s)

Funding Scheme

HORIZON-TMA-MSCA-PF-EF - HORIZON TMA MSCA Postdoctoral Fellowships - European Fellowships

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Call for proposal

(opens in new window) HORIZON-MSCA-2024-PF-01

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Coordinator

TECHNOLOGICAL UNIVERSITY DUBLIN
Net EU contribution
€ 268 568,64
Address
NORTH CIRCULAR ROAD 191 PARK HOUSE GRANGEGORMAN
D07 EWV4 Dublin
Ireland
Region
Ireland Eastern and Midland Dublin
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
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Total cost
No data

Partners (1)