Project description
Topological tools for climate resilience
The Mediterranean region is susceptible to the impacts of climate change. Therefore, it is crucial to forecast the complex and non-linear factors that lead to severe droughts and floods. Unfortunately, this is not easy to do. Supported by the Marie Sklodowska Curie Actions programme, the TOPOCLIM-EWS project aims to apply the principles of topological data analysis (TDA) to develop an innovative early warning system. Ultimately, the project’s goal is to translate the complex climate time series data into more resilient topological structures, including multi-scale Mapper graphs and two-parameter CROCKER plots. The project allows researchers to merge sophisticated mathematical techniques with applied climatology. The outcome is an open-source tool that increases predictive lead times and improves European climate adaptation.
Objective
TOPOCLIM-EWS aims to develop a next-generation framework for detecting early warning signals of hydroclimatic extremes by applying and advancing Topological Data Analysis (TDA) to climate time series and spatiotemporal datasets. The project addresses a pressing need in the Mediterranean basin—one of the world’s most vulnerable regions—where existing methods struggle to capture the complex and nonlinear dynamics that drive droughts and floods.
The fellowship introduces methodological innovations, including the development of two-parameter CROCKER plots to analyze the joint evolution of climate variables and detect bifurcations, and the use of the Mapper algorithm to reveal multi-scale structural patterns and regime shifts hidden to conventional approaches. Raw climate observations will be transformed into robust topological descriptors, with a strong emphasis on interoperability: these features will be designed to integrate seamlessly with established machine learning frameworks, ensuring enhanced predictive pipelines and extended forecast lead times.
The research is structured around a synergistic transatlantic collaboration. The outgoing phase at Michigan State University (USA) provides expertise in applied topology and methodological innovation, while the return phase at Middle East Technical University (Türkiye, Horizon Europe Associated Country) offers a strong application environment in climate science, hydroclimatic datasets, and stakeholder engagement. By bridging mathematical theory and applied climatology, TOPOCLIM-EWS will deliver novel, open, and transferable early-warning indicators that can strengthen operational systems, supporting Horizon Europe objectives on climate resilience, disaster risk reduction, and science-based solutions for societal challenges.
Fields of science (EuroSciVoc)
CORDIS classifies projects with EuroSciVoc, a multilingual taxonomy of fields of science, through a semi-automatic process based on NLP techniques. See: The European Science Vocabulary.
CORDIS classifies projects with EuroSciVoc, a multilingual taxonomy of fields of science, through a semi-automatic process based on NLP techniques. See: The European Science Vocabulary.
- natural sciences computer and information sciences data science
- natural sciences earth and related environmental sciences environmental sciences sustainability sciences
- natural sciences mathematics pure mathematics topology
- natural sciences earth and related environmental sciences atmospheric sciences climatology
- natural sciences computer and information sciences artificial intelligence machine learning
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Keywords
Project’s keywords as indicated by the project coordinator. Not to be confused with the EuroSciVoc taxonomy (Fields of science)
Project’s keywords as indicated by the project coordinator. Not to be confused with the EuroSciVoc taxonomy (Fields of science)
Programme(s)
Multi-annual funding programmes that define the EU’s priorities for research and innovation.
Multi-annual funding programmes that define the EU’s priorities for research and innovation.
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HORIZON.1.2 - Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions (MSCA)
MAIN PROGRAMME
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Topic(s)
Calls for proposals are divided into topics. A topic defines a specific subject or area for which applicants can submit proposals. The description of a topic comprises its specific scope and the expected impact of the funded project.
Calls for proposals are divided into topics. A topic defines a specific subject or area for which applicants can submit proposals. The description of a topic comprises its specific scope and the expected impact of the funded project.
Funding Scheme
Funding scheme (or “Type of Action”) inside a programme with common features. It specifies: the scope of what is funded; the reimbursement rate; specific evaluation criteria to qualify for funding; and the use of simplified forms of costs like lump sums.
Funding scheme (or “Type of Action”) inside a programme with common features. It specifies: the scope of what is funded; the reimbursement rate; specific evaluation criteria to qualify for funding; and the use of simplified forms of costs like lump sums.
HORIZON-TMA-MSCA-PF-GF - HORIZON TMA MSCA Postdoctoral Fellowships - Global Fellowships
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Call for proposal
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Procedure for inviting applicants to submit project proposals, with the aim of receiving EU funding.
(opens in new window) HORIZON-MSCA-2025-PF
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Net EU financial contribution. The sum of money that the participant receives, deducted by the EU contribution to its linked third party. It considers the distribution of the EU financial contribution between direct beneficiaries of the project and other types of participants, like third-party participants.
06800 Ankara
Türkiye
The total costs incurred by this organisation to participate in the project, including direct and indirect costs. This amount is a subset of the overall project budget.