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Towards Resilient Communities: Understanding triggers of Multi-Hazard Early Warning Systems with Comprehensive Risk Metrics

Project description

Integrated multi-hazard early warning systems for climate resilience

One natural hazard can set off another. Even though they rarely occur in isolation, natural hazards are usually treated separately by research and policy frameworks, which are missing multi-hazard dynamics. Supported by the Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions programme, the WARN2RESIL project is developing an integrated early warning framework designed to capture and respond to multi-hazard dynamics. It combines AI, data-driven methods and stakeholder involvement to improve predictive accuracy and scenario simulation of hazard triggers. WARN2RESIL aims to deliver a theoretical framework, two case studies and a multi-hazard risk metric indicator that empowers informed decision-making. The project’s goals are in line with international efforts, including the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development and the United Nations' Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2025-2030.

Objective

In our interconnected and rapidly changing world, multiple natural hazards pose significant threats to human communities and
infrastructure. Natural hazards often occur simultaneously or trigger one another, such as droughts leading to wildfires or
earthquakes causing landslides. Despite the interconnected nature of these hazards, policy and research traditionally focus on single
hazards in isolation, overlooking the cascading effects of multi-hazard scenarios. Recognizing this gap, Multi-Hazard Early Warning
Systems (MHEWS) aims to develop a comprehensive framework to address and scale EWS for multi-hazard events. This proposal seeks
to advance understanding of the interactions between different natural hazards and improve early warning systems (EWS) to account
for these interactions. It also aims to create a robust risk metric to inform policymakers, thereby enhancing risk mitigation strategies.
The state-of-the-art approach integrates artificial intelligence (AI) and digital twins with traditional monitoring systems, providing a
holistic and adaptive framework. AI-driven models analyze vast datasets to offer precise predictive insights, while digital twins
simulate real-world interactions between hazards and infrastructure, allowing for better preparedness and response strategies. The
proposal outlines three main objectives: developing a theoretical framework for multi-hazard EWS, implementing multi-hazard EWS
in two case studies, and creating a risk metric for multi-hazard events. By achieving these objectives, MHEWS intends to build more
resilient societies capable of effectively responding to natural disasters. This research supports global policy initiatives like the 2030
Agenda for Sustainable Development and the Paris Agreement on Climate Change, promoting integrated approaches to address
significant societal challenges and enhance community resilience.

Fields of science (EuroSciVoc)

Keywords

Programme(s)

Topic(s)

Funding Scheme

HORIZON-TMA-MSCA-PF-EF - HORIZON TMA MSCA Postdoctoral Fellowships - European Fellowships

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Call for proposal

(opens in new window) HORIZON-MSCA-2025-PF

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Coordinator

UNIVERSITA CA' FOSCARI VENEZIA
Net EU contribution
€ 193 643,28
Address
DORSODURO 3246
30123 Venezia
Italy
Region
Nord-Est Veneto Venezia
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
Links
Total cost
No data

Partners (3)