Project description
Human-centred framework to assess household displacement
Population displacement from disasters affects over 25 million people annually and can cause long-term impacts on well-being, livelihoods, and community cohesion. It is often treated as a one-off outcome of housing damage, overlooking its dynamic drivers and long-term socio-economic effects. Supported by the Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions programme, the CASCADE project develops a human-centred framework using agent-based modelling and empirical insights to assess evolving displacement and recovery risks. It applies human capabilities theory and models household decisions to relocate or repair, including feedback loops across housing, infrastructure, and socio-economic systems. Key outputs include capabilities-based metrics, a simulation tool, and decision support for interventions, including predictions of relocation patterns, duration, and emerging needs.
Objective
Population displacement following disasters is a critical challenge in disaster risk reduction. On average, over 25 million people are displaced annually by sudden-onset disasters. While this figure includes short-term, life-saving evacuations, many households remain displaced for extended periods, undermining well-being, livelihoods, and community cohesion. Despite its scale and impacts, disaster displacement is still commonly treated as a one-off outcome of housing damage, overlooking its dynamic evolution, multitude of drivers, and long-term socio-economic impacts. To address this gap, the CASCADE project introduces a human-centric risk and resilience framework—built on agent-based modelling (ABM) and empirical insights—to quantitatively assess the complex and evolving risk landscape of household displacement and recovery. The framework embeds human capabilities—the effective opportunities available for individuals to achieve well-being—to develop novel methods and metrics to capture displacement patterns, triggers for movement, and the well-being outcomes of these processes. CASCADE links household displacement with housing recovery models to simulate decisions to relocate or repair, incorporating feedback loops between household conditions, infrastructure recovery, and socio-economic dynamics. Key project outcomes include (a) new human-centric capabilities-based metrics to quantify evolving displacement risk and recovery equity, (b) an integrated simulation tool coupling household relocation with housing recovery and reconstruction, and (c) a decision support framework to evaluate interventions against recovery goals. By anticipating not only how many people may be displaced, but also where they are likely to relocate, how long they may remain displaced, and what needs will emerge, CASCADE provides policymakers, humanitarian organizations, and emergency responders with actionable insights for risk-informed decision-making and durable recovery solutions.
Fields of science (EuroSciVoc)
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CORDIS classifies projects with EuroSciVoc, a multilingual taxonomy of fields of science, through a semi-automatic process based on NLP techniques. See: The European Science Vocabulary.
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Project’s keywords as indicated by the project coordinator. Not to be confused with the EuroSciVoc taxonomy (Fields of science)
Project’s keywords as indicated by the project coordinator. Not to be confused with the EuroSciVoc taxonomy (Fields of science)
Programme(s)
Multi-annual funding programmes that define the EU’s priorities for research and innovation.
Multi-annual funding programmes that define the EU’s priorities for research and innovation.
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HORIZON.1.2 - Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions (MSCA)
MAIN PROGRAMME
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Calls for proposals are divided into topics. A topic defines a specific subject or area for which applicants can submit proposals. The description of a topic comprises its specific scope and the expected impact of the funded project.
Funding Scheme
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Funding scheme (or “Type of Action”) inside a programme with common features. It specifies: the scope of what is funded; the reimbursement rate; specific evaluation criteria to qualify for funding; and the use of simplified forms of costs like lump sums.
HORIZON-TMA-MSCA-PF-EF - HORIZON TMA MSCA Postdoctoral Fellowships - European Fellowships
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Call for proposal
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Procedure for inviting applicants to submit project proposals, with the aim of receiving EU funding.
(opens in new window) HORIZON-MSCA-2025-PF
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WC1E 6BT London
United Kingdom
The total costs incurred by this organisation to participate in the project, including direct and indirect costs. This amount is a subset of the overall project budget.