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Road-mapping study of CBRNE demonstrator

Final Report Summary - CBRNEMAP (Road-mapping study of CBRNE demonstrator)

A secure Europe is the basis for planning our lives, for economic investments, for prosperity and freedom. The security theme in the Seventh Framework programme contributes to achieve this by funding projects whose aims are to suggest and develop solutions for a safer Europe. This project, CBRNEMAP, was funded to suggest the future demonstrator project direction involving chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear and explosive (CBRNE) compounds.

Accidental or deliberate CBRNE events are widely considered as low probability events that might however have a big impact on the citizens and the society. Whenever and wherever they happen, they usually deserve a gradual, i.e. regional, national and European, multi-facetted approach as they tend to provoke severe and unexpected physical, psychological, societal, economical and political effects that might also easily cross the borders inside as well as outside the European Union.

Successful CBRNE resilience of the society requires therefore a similarly multi-facetted approach, covering most of identified hazards and all effect levels along the whole CBRNE security cycle, namely threat assessment, prevention, preparedness, detection, response and recovery. This approach involves many relevant stakeholders. Among them, first responders, e.g. fire brigade, health services, police and operators, and their competent national authorities are expected to be the main end users.

The CBRNEMAP aimed to define the strategic roadmap for CBRNE demonstrator objects using a holistic approach and an integrated project team, containing end users, industrialists and members of the science and technology (S&T) community. The CBRNEMAP evaluated the multidimensional problem of CBRNE counterterrorism. Temporal events were contrasted against societal sectors directly involved, such as law enforcement, rescue and health, and societal functions possibly targeted, e.g. mass transport, mass gatherings and political infrastructure. Consideration was also given to the fact that each of the involved risks might have its own aspects of vulnerabilities, priorities and possible solutions.

CBRNEMAP prioritised demonstration tasks based on systematic analysis of end user requirement and comprehensive reviews of available CBRNE S&T investments. The end user requirements were generated as part of work package two (WP2) through engaging key end user organisations responsible for responding to CBRNE events, in order to identify and explore the generic requirements of those organisations through response and recovery. This was achieved through a series of workshops, questionnaires and stakeholder engagement. A broad spectrum of users and countries was engaged, which was achieved through existing contact groups and utilising the broad make up of the consortia. WP3 carried out the CRNE review while WP4 performed the second review.

Based on the end-user requirements and the background material needs and promising integrated solutions were identified. This was done in WP5 during a series of four workshops, where gaps, requirements and possible solutions were analysed and evaluated. The post workshop processing of solutions and identified research needed into a proposed demonstrator was done in WP7. While preparing the roadmap capability gaps that called for new technologies and, possibly, for the research necessary to develop and validate that technology were identified. The CBRNEMAP, therefore, also produced a roadmap for suggested future research investments WP6.

The project reduced the multivariate system of CBRNE counter terrorism into three dimensions, the function to protect vital activities of our society, the function to respond to CBRNE events and the process of enabling our societal capability building.

CBRNEMAP adhered to the principles of integrated project teams. This meant that end users, industrialists and other stakeholders together with members of the S&T community were in the front seat from the start of the activity. The objectives of CBRNEMAP were to:

1. develop a technological roadmap for investments in research and technology developments that would result in one to three demonstrator topics to be realised
2. identify a stakeholder supported suggestion for future research investments
3. develop and achieve broad stakeholder consensus on the CBRNEMAP roadmap.

CBRNEMAP addressed the crosscutting activity required to develop a CBRNE demonstrator using a holistic approach. The complex matrix of temporal events against sectors was evaluated and the fact that each of the possible risks might have its own aspects of vulnerabilities, priorities and possible solutions was taken into account. These generic needs were matched by advanced technological solutions that would be integrated at the system of systems level to become the CBRNE demonstrator.

CBRNEMAP prioritised demonstration tasks based on systematic analysis of end user requirement and comprehensive reviews of available CBRNE S&T investments. The final roadmap would be developed for an optimised demonstration programme based on a concept development and experimentation (CD&E) approach. Interlinked with developing the road map for the CBRNE demonstrator was the analysis of gaps and needs in CBRNE research. A stakeholder supported suggestion for future research investments was an important delivery of CBRNEMAP. Fourteen institutions from seven European countries participated in the project.

CBRNEMAP reduced the multivariate system of CBRNE counter terrorism into three dimensions, the function to protect vital activities of our society, the function to respond to CBRNE events and the process of enabling our societal capability building. The generic needs of each dimension were matched with advanced technological solutions integrated at the system of systems level to become the CBRNE system of systems to be demonstrated.

The suggested demonstration objects were to be developed and validated in an upcoming project. The demonstration objects were motivated and developed using a gap analysis modality matching end-user requirement and comprehensive reviews of available CBRNE S&T investments. The following project phase would illustrate the usefulness of the system of systems approach, when countering CBRNE terrorism. This usefulness was best validated in a set of realistic scenarios where vital parameters could be observed and quantified. Following the identification of demonstrator objects matching scenarios useful for validation would also be detailed.

Demonstrator objects one and two were two clearly delineated functionalities of our society with more or less a well defined 'owner'. Moreover, each of the two demonstrator objects in itself contained multiple interconnections between its constituting subsystems. Demonstrator objects one and two were, accordingly, classical systems of systems and were developed using common working practice of system engineering.

Demonstrator object three was a cluster of loosely connected functions and processes aimed at making Europe resilient towards CBRNE terror activities. Advanced integrative system designs would be used to model and define the impact of and dependence between these functions and processes. Accordingly, modern simulation technology would bring this cluster into a system of systems to be explored in detail and optimised.

Further information about the project could be obtained at http://www.cbrnemap.org.