European Climate and Energy Modelling Forum

Informations projet

ECEMF

N° de convention de subvention: 101022622

DOI

10.3030/101022622

Projet clôturé

Date de signature de la CE 9 Avril 2021

Date de début 1 Mai 2021

Date de fin 30 Avril 2025

Financé au titre de

• SOCIETAL CHALLENGES - Secure, clean and efficient energy

Coût total

€ 5 011 580,00

Contribution de l’UE

€ 4 999 563,00

Coordonné par

KUNGLIGA TEKNISKA HOEGSKOLAN
Sweden

CORDIS fournit des liens vers les livrables publics et les publications des projets HORIZON.

Les liens vers les livrables et les publications des projets du 7e PC, ainsi que les liens vers certains types de résultats spécifiques tels que les jeux de données et les logiciels, sont récupérés dynamiquement sur OpenAIRE .

Livrables

Other (6)

Discussion platform online

The discussion platform will host visualisations created through the visualisation module (from task 8.2) and enable discussion around them, both publicly, and on private channels, for example for a policymaker to send queries to the responsible modelling team (Task 8.1)

Embeddable visualisation blocks online on the project website

Configure, customise, fine-tune and deploy the technology on the ECEMF web forum, and provide user guides with examples enabling users to easily generate new visualisations that can support online discussions and exchanges of view around topics of interest (Task 8.2)

IIASA Scenario Explorer to support the exchange of input assumptions and scenario results in this consortium operational

Deploy the initial instance of the Scenario Exporer to support the exchange of input assumptions and scenario results (Task 7.1)

Release of the embeddable module code with associated technical documentation

Release the embeddable module code, that will allow for advanced and highly configurable visualisation options covering the assumptions and results of modelling runs hosted on IIASA’s platform (pulled via the API to be developed in Task 7.1) and on other platforms (provided they use the same API). The code will be released under an open-source license. (Task 7.5)

Release of the codebase of the IIASA Scenario Explorer database infrastructure under an open-source license

Release the Scenario Explorer source code under an open-source license no a public accessible website (Task 7.1)

Model comparison protocol

Enumeration of the diagnostic scenarios and process for conducting the model comparison recorded in a digital notebook and published on the project website for easy reference (Task 1.1)

Documents, reports (11)

Synthesis Report on social heterogeneity and disruptive change

Report summarising the impacts of social heterogeneity and disruptive change on the transition to net zero (Tasks 4.4 and 4.5)

Sythesis Report: Policy options for achieve climate neutrality in EU countries

Synthesis Report: on policy options and policy portfolios towards achieving climate neutrality in EU countries (Task 5.3)

Synthesis Report: Global and EU carbon budgets and climate policy interactions

Synthesis Report: on global and EU carbon budgets and interactions between EU and global climate policies in the context of Paris Agreement (Tasks 5.1 and 5.2)

Synthesis Report on energy supply modelling

Report summarising the research results under the four tasks of WP3. The contributions to this summary report delivered from the four tasks may form the basis for several peer-reviewed papers to disseminate the research findings across the scientific and policy communities.

Synthesis Report: Socio-economic, industrial and distributional implications of ambitious EU climate policies

Synthesis Report: on socio-economic, industrial and distributional implications of EU energy and climate policies towards climate neutrality (Task 5.4)

Synthesis report: Plan for the continued operation of the forum beyond the project

A plan for the continued operation of the forum beyond the project. The plan will detail the governance structure, business case and operational details which will enable ECEMF to operate as a self-sustaining entity within the European research and policy space (Task 6.3)

Synthesis Report on impacts of New Societal Trends

Report summarising the impacts of New Societal Trends (circular economy, digitalization, and the role of prosumagers) on the transition to net zero (Tasks 4.1, 4.2 and 4.3)

Dissemination, exploitation and communication plan

A two-year plan for the dissemination and exploitation of results and communication of the project. The plan will identify target audiences, exploitation methods, and develop performance indicators to monitor performance (Task 6.1)

Policy briefs

Three policy briefs highlighting key policy insights for each of transport, buildling and industry sectors (Tasks 2.1, 2.2 & 2.3)

Synthesis Report on energy demand modelling comparison

Report summarising the research results from the comparison of the energy demand models (Task 2.4)

Updated dissemination, exploitation and communication plan

An update of the initial two-year plan for the dissemination and exploitation of results and communication of the remainder of the project. The plan will identify target audiences, exploitation methods, and develop performance indicators to monitor performance (Task 6.1)

Open Research Data Pilot (1)

Data Management Plan

Publications

Other (3)

Scenarios processing, vetting and feasibility assessment for the European Scientific Advisory Board on Climate Change

Auteurs: Byers, E.; Brutschin, E.; Sferra, F.; Luderer, G.; Huppmann, D.; Kikstra, J.; Pietzcker, R.; Rodrigues, R.; Riahi, K.
Publié dans: 2023
Éditeur: IIASA

ECEMF Policy Brief: Insights on EU2040 targets based on a model intercomparison exercise of EU Climate Neutrality Pathways

Auteurs: Pietzcker, Robert; Daioglou, Vassilis; Dalla Longa, Francesco; de Boer, Harmen-Sytze; Dekker, Mark; Emmerling, Johannes; Fattahi, Amir; Fejzic, Emir; Fotiou, Theofano; Fragkos, Panagiotis; Fricko, Oliver; Henke, Hauke; Kannavou, Maria; Lombardi, Francesco; Luderer, Gunnar; Pfenninger, Stefan; Rodrigues, Renato; Sitarz, Joanna; Tatarewicz, Igor; Tavoni, Massimo; Usher, Will; van der Zwaan, Bob; Zak
Publié dans: ECEMF Policy Brief, 2023
Éditeur: ECEMF
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.8337668

Model Comparison Protocol

Auteurs: Will Usher, Robert Pietzcker, Mark Dekker
Publié dans: 2022
Éditeur: ECEMF
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.6782373

Peer reviewed articles (26)

EU carbon prices signal high policy credibility and farsighted actors

Auteurs: Joanna Sitarz, Michael Pahle, Sebastian Osorio, Gunnar Luderer, Robert Pietzcker
Publié dans: Nature Energy, 2024, Page(s) 1-12, ISSN 2058-7546
Éditeur: Nature
DOI: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-2761645/v1

Modelling long-term industry energy demand and CO₂ emissions in the system context using REMIND (version 3.1.0)

Auteurs: Michaja Pehl, Felix Schreyer, Gunnar Luderer
Publié dans: Geoscientific Model Development, Numéro 17, 2025, Page(s) 2015-2038, ISSN 1991-9603
Éditeur: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-17-2015-2024

Residential solar adoption - main determinants and the future of small-scale photovoltaics

Auteurs: Severin Reissl, Luis Sarmiento, Johannes Emmerling
Publié dans: Environmental Research: Energy, 2025, ISSN 2753-3751
Éditeur: IOP Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/2753-3751/ade79a

The value of smart charging at home and its impact on EV market shares – A German case study

Auteurs: Till Gnann, Songmin Yu, Judith Stute, Matthias Kühnbach
Publié dans: Applied Energy, Numéro 380, 2024, Page(s) 124997, ISSN 0306-2619
Éditeur: Pergamon Press Ltd.
DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2024.124997

Analyzing the Impact of Heating Electrification and Prosumaging on the Future Distribution Grid Costs

Auteurs: Philipp Mascherbauer, Miguel Martínez, Carlos Mateo, Songmin Yu, Lukas Kranzl
Publié dans: Applied Energy, Numéro Volume 387, 1 June 2025, 125563, 2024, ISSN 1872-9118
Éditeur: Elsevier Ltd
DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.5007443

Identifying energy model fingerprints in mitigation scenarios

Auteurs: Mark M. Dekker, Vassilis Daioglou, Robert Pietzcker, Renato Rodrigues, Harmen-Sytze de Boer, Francesco Dalla Longa, Laurent Drouet, Johannes Emmerling, Amir Fattahi, Theofano Fotiou, Panagiotis Fragkos, Oliver Fricko, Ema Gusheva, Mathijs Harmsen, Daniel Huppmann, Maria Kannavou, Volker Krey, Francesco Lombardi, Gunnar Luderer, Stefan Pfenninger, Ioannis Tsiropoulos, Behnam Zakeri, Bob van der Zwa
Publié dans: Nature Energy, Numéro 8, 2023, Page(s) 1395-1404, ISSN 2058-7546
Éditeur: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41560-023-01399-1

Spread in climate policy scenarios unravelled

Auteurs: Mark M. Dekker, Andries F. Hof, Maarten van den Berg, Vassilis Daioglou, Rik van Heerden, Kaj-Ivar van der Wijst, Detlef P. van Vuuren
Publié dans: Nature, Numéro 624, 2023, Page(s) 309-316, ISSN 0028-0836
Éditeur: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-023-06738-6

Aligning the Western Balkans power sectors with the European Green Deal

Auteurs: Emir Fejzić, Taco Niet, Cameron Wade, Will Usher
Publié dans: Environmental Research Communications, Numéro 6, 2024, Page(s) 115008, ISSN 2515-7620
Éditeur: IOP Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/2515-7620/ad8ca4

Comparing net zero pathways across the Atlantic A model inter-comparison exercise between the Energy Modeling Forum 37 and the European Climate and Energy Modeling Forum

Auteurs: Luis Sarmiento, Johannes Emmerling, Robert Pietzcker, Vassilis Daioglou, Francesco Dalla Longa, Mark M. Dekker, Laurent Drouet, Amir Fattahi, Panagiotis Fragkos, Hauke T. J. Henke, Oliver Fricko, Leonard Göke, Volker Krey, Ellie Lochner, Gunnar Luderer, Nick Macaluso, Kowan T. V. O'Keefe, Kathleen M. Kennedy, Gokul Iyer, Renato Rodrigues, Eric Stewart, William Usher, Bob van der Zwaan, Detlef
Publié dans: Energy and Climate Change, Numéro 5, 2024, Page(s) 100144, ISSN 2666-2787
Éditeur: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.egycc.2024.100144

Impact of mass-scale deployment of electric vehicles and benefits of smart charging across all European countries

Auteurs: Andrea Mangipinto, Francesco Lombardi, Francesco Davide Sanvito, Matija Pavičević, Sylvain Quoilin, Emanuela Colombo
Publié dans: Applied Energy, Numéro 312, 2022, Page(s) 118676, ISSN 0306-2619
Éditeur: Pergamon Press Ltd.
DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2022.118676

Diversity of options to eliminate fossil fuels and reach carbon neutrality across the entire European energy system

Auteurs: Bryn Pickering, Francesco Lombardi, Stefan Pfenninger
Publié dans: Joule, Numéro 6, 2022, Page(s) 1253-1276, ISSN 2542-4351
Éditeur: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.joule.2022.05.009

Modeling households’ behavior, energy system operation, and interaction in the energy community

Auteurs: Songmin Yu, Philipp Mascherbauer, Thomas Haupt, Kevan Skorna, Hannah Rickmann, Maksymilian Kochanski, Lukas Kranzl
Publié dans: Energy, Numéro 328, 2025, Page(s) 136338, ISSN 0360-5442
Éditeur: Pergamon Press Ltd.
DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2025.136338

Decarbonising the EU Buildings|Model-Based Insights from European Countries

Auteurs: Theofano Fotiou, Panagiotis Fragkos, Eleftheria Zisarou
Publié dans: Climate, Numéro 12, 2025, Page(s) 85, ISSN 2225-1154
Éditeur: MDPI AG
DOI: 10.3390/cli12060085

The emerging endgame: The EU ETS on the road towards climate neutrality

Auteurs: Michael Pahle, Simon Quemin, Sebastian Osorio, Claudia Günther, Robert Pietzcker
Publié dans: Resource and Energy Economics, Numéro 81, 2025, Page(s) 101476, ISSN 0928-7655
Éditeur: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2024.101476

A multi-model assessment of inequality and climate change

Auteurs: Johannes Emmerling, Pietro Andreoni, Ioannis Charalampidis, Shouro Dasgupta, Francis Dennig, Simon Feindt, Dimitris Fragkiadakis, Panagiotis Fragkos, Shinichiro Fujimori, Martino Gilli, Carolina Grottera, Celine Guivarch, Ulrike Kornek, Elmar Kriegler, Daniele Malerba, Giacomo Marangoni, Aurélie Méjean, Femke Nijsse, Franziska Piontek, Yeliz Simsek, Bjoern Soergel, Nicolas Taconet, Toon Vandyck,
Publié dans: Nature Climate Change, Numéro 14, 2024, Page(s) 1254-1260, ISSN 1758-678X
Éditeur: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-024-02151-7

The impact of energy prices in decarbonizing buildings’ energy use in the EU27

Auteurs: Ece Özer, Lukas Kranzl, Andreas Müller, Behnam Zakeri
Publié dans: Energy and Buildings, Numéro 323, 2025, Page(s) 114814, ISSN 0378-7788
Éditeur: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.enbuild.2024.114814

Comparing energy system optimization models and integrated assessment models: Relevance for energy policy advice

Auteurs: Hauke Henke, Mark Dekker, Francesco Lombardi, Robert Pietzcker, Panagiotis Fragkos, Behnam Zakeri, Renato Rodrigues, Joanna Sitarz, Johannes Emmerling, Amir Fattahi, Francesco Dalla Longa, Igor Tatarewicz, Theofano Fotiou, Michał Lewarski, Daniel Huppmann, Kostas Kavvadias, Bob van der Zwaan, Will Usher
Publié dans: Open Research Europe, Numéro 3, 2024, Page(s) 69, ISSN 2732-5121
Éditeur: F1000 Research Ltd
DOI: 10.12688/openreseurope.15590.2

Policy credibility is a key component for an effective and efficient EU Emissions Trading System

Auteurs: Joanna Sitarz, Michael Pahle, Sebastian Osorio, Gunnar Luderer, Robert Pietzcker
Publié dans: Nature Energy, Numéro 9, 2024, Page(s) 637-638, ISSN 2058-7546
Éditeur: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/s41560-024-01545-3

Electricity- and hydrogen-driven energy system sector-coupling in net-zero CO2 emission pathways

Auteurs: Bob van der Zwaan, Amir Fattahi, Francesco Dalla Longa, Mark Dekker, Detlef van Vuuren, Robert Pietzcker, Renato Rodrigues, Felix Schreyer, Daniel Huppmann, Johannes Emmerling, Stefan Pfenninger, Francesco Lombardi, Panagiotis Fragkos, Maria Kannavou, Theofano Fotiou, Giannis Tolios, Will Usher
Publié dans: Nature Communications, Numéro 16, 2025, ISSN 2041-1723
Éditeur: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-025-56365-0

Equity implications of net-zero emissions: A multi-model analysis of energy expenditures across income classes under economy-wide deep decarbonization policies

Auteurs: John Bistline, Chikara Onda, Morgan Browning, Johannes Emmerling, Gokul Iyer, Megan Mahajan, Jim McFarland, Haewon McJeon, Robbie Orvis, Francisco Ralston Fonseca, Christopher Roney, Noah Sandoval, Luis Sarmiento, John Weyant, Jared Woollacott, Mei Yuan
Publié dans: Energy and Climate Change, Numéro 5, 2024, Page(s) 100118, ISSN 2666-2787
Éditeur: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.egycc.2023.100118

Evaluating the impact of lifestyle changes: a scenario-based analysis for Europe’s residential buildings sector

Auteurs: Andreas Andreou, Panagiotis Fragkos, Faidra Filippidou, Eleftheria Zisarou, Georgios Avgerinopoulos, Robert Pietzcker, Robin Hasse, Ricarda Rosemann
Publié dans: Environmental Research Communications, Numéro 7, 2025, Page(s) 035013, ISSN 2515-7620
Éditeur: IOP Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/2515-7620/adb9d8

Navigating the black box of fair national emissions targets

Auteurs: Mark Dekker, Andries Hof, Yann Robiou du Pont, Nicole van den Berg, Vassilis Daioglou, Michel Den Elzen, Rik van Heerden, Elena Hooijschuur, Isabela S. Tagomori, Chantal Würschinger, Detlef van Vuuren
Publié dans: Nature, 2024, ISSN 1476-4687
Éditeur: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-5023350/v1

Energy Price Shocks in the European Union: Macroeconomic Impacts, Distributional Effects and Policy Responses

Auteurs: Elise Kremer, Severin Reissl, Luca Eduardo Fierro, Johannes Emmerling, Francesco Lamperti, Andrea Roventini
Publié dans: SSRN, 2024, ISSN 1556-5068
Éditeur: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.4945346

Structural change and socio-economic disparities in a net zero transition

Auteurs: Cormac Lynch, Yeliz Simsek, Jean-Francois Mercure, Panagiotis Fragkos, Julien Lefèvre, Thomas Le Gallic, Kostas Fragkiadakis, Leonidas Paroussos, Dimitris Fragkiadakis, Florian Leblanc, Femke Nijsse
Publié dans: Economic Systems Research, Numéro 36, 2024, Page(s) 607-629, ISSN 0953-5314
Éditeur: Carfax Publishing Ltd.
DOI: 10.1080/09535314.2024.2371306

Stakeholder engagement for co-designing European climate and energy research priorities

Auteurs: Emir Fejzic, Will Usher
Publié dans: Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Numéro 215, 2025, Page(s) 115574, ISSN 1364-0321
Éditeur: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2025.115574

Distinct roles of direct and indirect electrification in pathways to a renewables-dominated European energy system

Auteurs: Felix Schreyer, Falko Ueckerdt, Robert Pietzcker, Renato Rodrigues, Marianna Rottoli, Silvia Madeddu, Michaja Pehl, Robin Hasse, Gunnar Luderer
Publié dans: One Earth, Numéro 7, 2024, Page(s) 226-241, ISSN 2590-3322
Éditeur: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.oneear.2024.01.015

Non-peer reviewed articles (4)

[version 1; peer review: not peer reviewed]

Auteurs: Daniel Huppmann; Jethro Browell; Benedetto Nastasi; Zita Vale; Diana Süsser
Publié dans: F1000Research, Numéro 5, 2022, ISSN 2046-1402
Éditeur: F1000 Research Ltd.
DOI: 10.12688/f1000research.124267.1

A research agenda for open energy science: Opportunities and perspectives of the F1000Research Energy Gateway

Auteurs: Daniel Huppmann, Jethro Browell, Benedetto Nastasi, Zita Vale, Diana Süsser
Publié dans: F1000Research, Numéro 11, 2022, Page(s) 896, ISSN 2046-1402
Éditeur: F1000 Research Ltd.
DOI: 10.12688/f1000research.124267.1

Global sensitivity analysis to enhance the transparency and rigour of energy system optimisation modelling

Auteurs: William Usher, Trevor Barnes, Nandi Moksnes, Taco Niet
Publié dans: Open Research Europe, Numéro 3, 2023, Page(s) 30, ISSN 2732-5121
Éditeur: F1000 Research Ltd
DOI: 10.12688/openreseurope.15461.1

Global sensitivity analysis to enhance the transparency and rigour of energy system optimisation modelling

Auteurs: William Usher; Trevor Barnes; Nandi Moksnes; Taco Niet
Publié dans: Open Research Europe, 2023, ISSN 2732-5121
Éditeur: F1000 Research Limited on behalf of the European Commission
DOI: 10.12688/openreseurope.15461.1

Book chapters (1)

Energy Poverty and Just Transformation in Greece

Auteurs: Panagiotis Fragkos, Eleni Kanellou, George Konstantopoulos, Alexandros Nikas, Kostas Fragkiadakis, Faidra Filipidou, Theofano Fotiou, Haris Doukas
Publié dans: Studies in Energy, Resource and Environmental Economics, Vulnerable Households in the Energy Transition, 2023, Page(s) 235-267
Éditeur: Springer International Publishing
DOI: 10.1007/978-3-031-35684-1_10

Conference proceedings (2)

Participating in ECEMF: How to join the modelling comparison exercise to build a more robust evidence base for European policy

Auteurs: Will Usher
Publié dans: 2023
Éditeur: ECEMF
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.7827860

Pyam tutorial for the Vienna openmod Workshop 2023

Auteurs: Huppmann, Daniel; Hackstock, Philip
Publié dans: 2023
Éditeur: ECEMF
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.7757907