European Climate and Energy Modelling Forum

Informazioni relative al progetto

ECEMF

ID dell’accordo di sovvenzione: 101022622

DOI

10.3030/101022622

Progetto chiuso

Data della firma CE 9 Aprile 2021

Data di avvio 1 Maggio 2021

Data di completamento 30 Aprile 2025

Finanziato da

• SOCIETAL CHALLENGES - Secure, clean and efficient energy

Costo totale

€ 5 011 580,00

Contributo UE

€ 4 999 563,00

Coordinato da

KUNGLIGA TEKNISKA HOEGSKOLAN
Sweden

CORDIS fornisce collegamenti ai risultati finali pubblici e alle pubblicazioni dei progetti ORIZZONTE.

I link ai risultati e alle pubblicazioni dei progetti del 7° PQ, così come i link ad alcuni tipi di risultati specifici come dataset e software, sono recuperati dinamicamente da .OpenAIRE .

Risultati finali

Other (6)

Discussion platform online

The discussion platform will host visualisations created through the visualisation module (from task 8.2) and enable discussion around them, both publicly, and on private channels, for example for a policymaker to send queries to the responsible modelling team (Task 8.1)

Embeddable visualisation blocks online on the project website

Configure, customise, fine-tune and deploy the technology on the ECEMF web forum, and provide user guides with examples enabling users to easily generate new visualisations that can support online discussions and exchanges of view around topics of interest (Task 8.2)

IIASA Scenario Explorer to support the exchange of input assumptions and scenario results in this consortium operational

Deploy the initial instance of the Scenario Exporer to support the exchange of input assumptions and scenario results (Task 7.1)

Release of the embeddable module code with associated technical documentation

Release the embeddable module code, that will allow for advanced and highly configurable visualisation options covering the assumptions and results of modelling runs hosted on IIASA’s platform (pulled via the API to be developed in Task 7.1) and on other platforms (provided they use the same API). The code will be released under an open-source license. (Task 7.5)

Release of the codebase of the IIASA Scenario Explorer database infrastructure under an open-source license

Release the Scenario Explorer source code under an open-source license no a public accessible website (Task 7.1)

Model comparison protocol

Enumeration of the diagnostic scenarios and process for conducting the model comparison recorded in a digital notebook and published on the project website for easy reference (Task 1.1)

Documents, reports (11)

Synthesis Report on social heterogeneity and disruptive change

Report summarising the impacts of social heterogeneity and disruptive change on the transition to net zero (Tasks 4.4 and 4.5)

Sythesis Report: Policy options for achieve climate neutrality in EU countries

Synthesis Report: on policy options and policy portfolios towards achieving climate neutrality in EU countries (Task 5.3)

Synthesis Report: Global and EU carbon budgets and climate policy interactions

Synthesis Report: on global and EU carbon budgets and interactions between EU and global climate policies in the context of Paris Agreement (Tasks 5.1 and 5.2)

Synthesis Report on energy supply modelling

Report summarising the research results under the four tasks of WP3. The contributions to this summary report delivered from the four tasks may form the basis for several peer-reviewed papers to disseminate the research findings across the scientific and policy communities.

Synthesis Report: Socio-economic, industrial and distributional implications of ambitious EU climate policies

Synthesis Report: on socio-economic, industrial and distributional implications of EU energy and climate policies towards climate neutrality (Task 5.4)

Synthesis report: Plan for the continued operation of the forum beyond the project

A plan for the continued operation of the forum beyond the project. The plan will detail the governance structure, business case and operational details which will enable ECEMF to operate as a self-sustaining entity within the European research and policy space (Task 6.3)

Synthesis Report on impacts of New Societal Trends

Report summarising the impacts of New Societal Trends (circular economy, digitalization, and the role of prosumagers) on the transition to net zero (Tasks 4.1, 4.2 and 4.3)

Dissemination, exploitation and communication plan

A two-year plan for the dissemination and exploitation of results and communication of the project. The plan will identify target audiences, exploitation methods, and develop performance indicators to monitor performance (Task 6.1)

Policy briefs

Three policy briefs highlighting key policy insights for each of transport, buildling and industry sectors (Tasks 2.1, 2.2 & 2.3)

Synthesis Report on energy demand modelling comparison

Report summarising the research results from the comparison of the energy demand models (Task 2.4)

Updated dissemination, exploitation and communication plan

An update of the initial two-year plan for the dissemination and exploitation of results and communication of the remainder of the project. The plan will identify target audiences, exploitation methods, and develop performance indicators to monitor performance (Task 6.1)

Open Research Data Pilot (1)

Data Management Plan

Pubblicazioni

Other (3)

Scenarios processing, vetting and feasibility assessment for the European Scientific Advisory Board on Climate Change

Autori: Byers, E.; Brutschin, E.; Sferra, F.; Luderer, G.; Huppmann, D.; Kikstra, J.; Pietzcker, R.; Rodrigues, R.; Riahi, K.
Pubblicato in: 2023
Editore: IIASA

ECEMF Policy Brief: Insights on EU2040 targets based on a model intercomparison exercise of EU Climate Neutrality Pathways

Autori: Pietzcker, Robert; Daioglou, Vassilis; Dalla Longa, Francesco; de Boer, Harmen-Sytze; Dekker, Mark; Emmerling, Johannes; Fattahi, Amir; Fejzic, Emir; Fotiou, Theofano; Fragkos, Panagiotis; Fricko, Oliver; Henke, Hauke; Kannavou, Maria; Lombardi, Francesco; Luderer, Gunnar; Pfenninger, Stefan; Rodrigues, Renato; Sitarz, Joanna; Tatarewicz, Igor; Tavoni, Massimo; Usher, Will; van der Zwaan, Bob; Zak
Pubblicato in: ECEMF Policy Brief, 2023
Editore: ECEMF
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.8337668

Model Comparison Protocol

Autori: Will Usher, Robert Pietzcker, Mark Dekker
Pubblicato in: 2022
Editore: ECEMF
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.6782373

Peer reviewed articles (26)

EU carbon prices signal high policy credibility and farsighted actors

Autori: Joanna Sitarz, Michael Pahle, Sebastian Osorio, Gunnar Luderer, Robert Pietzcker
Pubblicato in: Nature Energy, 2024, Pagina/e 1-12, ISSN 2058-7546
Editore: Nature
DOI: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-2761645/v1

Modelling long-term industry energy demand and CO₂ emissions in the system context using REMIND (version 3.1.0)

Autori: Michaja Pehl, Felix Schreyer, Gunnar Luderer
Pubblicato in: Geoscientific Model Development, Numero 17, 2025, Pagina/e 2015-2038, ISSN 1991-9603
Editore: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-17-2015-2024

Residential solar adoption - main determinants and the future of small-scale photovoltaics

Autori: Severin Reissl, Luis Sarmiento, Johannes Emmerling
Pubblicato in: Environmental Research: Energy, 2025, ISSN 2753-3751
Editore: IOP Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/2753-3751/ade79a

The value of smart charging at home and its impact on EV market shares – A German case study

Autori: Till Gnann, Songmin Yu, Judith Stute, Matthias Kühnbach
Pubblicato in: Applied Energy, Numero 380, 2024, Pagina/e 124997, ISSN 0306-2619
Editore: Pergamon Press Ltd.
DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2024.124997

Analyzing the Impact of Heating Electrification and Prosumaging on the Future Distribution Grid Costs

Autori: Philipp Mascherbauer, Miguel Martínez, Carlos Mateo, Songmin Yu, Lukas Kranzl
Pubblicato in: Applied Energy, Numero Volume 387, 1 June 2025, 125563, 2024, ISSN 1872-9118
Editore: Elsevier Ltd
DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.5007443

Identifying energy model fingerprints in mitigation scenarios

Autori: Mark M. Dekker, Vassilis Daioglou, Robert Pietzcker, Renato Rodrigues, Harmen-Sytze de Boer, Francesco Dalla Longa, Laurent Drouet, Johannes Emmerling, Amir Fattahi, Theofano Fotiou, Panagiotis Fragkos, Oliver Fricko, Ema Gusheva, Mathijs Harmsen, Daniel Huppmann, Maria Kannavou, Volker Krey, Francesco Lombardi, Gunnar Luderer, Stefan Pfenninger, Ioannis Tsiropoulos, Behnam Zakeri, Bob van der Zwa
Pubblicato in: Nature Energy, Numero 8, 2023, Pagina/e 1395-1404, ISSN 2058-7546
Editore: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41560-023-01399-1

Spread in climate policy scenarios unravelled

Autori: Mark M. Dekker, Andries F. Hof, Maarten van den Berg, Vassilis Daioglou, Rik van Heerden, Kaj-Ivar van der Wijst, Detlef P. van Vuuren
Pubblicato in: Nature, Numero 624, 2023, Pagina/e 309-316, ISSN 0028-0836
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-023-06738-6

Aligning the Western Balkans power sectors with the European Green Deal

Autori: Emir Fejzić, Taco Niet, Cameron Wade, Will Usher
Pubblicato in: Environmental Research Communications, Numero 6, 2024, Pagina/e 115008, ISSN 2515-7620
Editore: IOP Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/2515-7620/ad8ca4

Comparing net zero pathways across the Atlantic A model inter-comparison exercise between the Energy Modeling Forum 37 and the European Climate and Energy Modeling Forum

Autori: Luis Sarmiento, Johannes Emmerling, Robert Pietzcker, Vassilis Daioglou, Francesco Dalla Longa, Mark M. Dekker, Laurent Drouet, Amir Fattahi, Panagiotis Fragkos, Hauke T. J. Henke, Oliver Fricko, Leonard Göke, Volker Krey, Ellie Lochner, Gunnar Luderer, Nick Macaluso, Kowan T. V. O'Keefe, Kathleen M. Kennedy, Gokul Iyer, Renato Rodrigues, Eric Stewart, William Usher, Bob van der Zwaan, Detlef
Pubblicato in: Energy and Climate Change, Numero 5, 2024, Pagina/e 100144, ISSN 2666-2787
Editore: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.egycc.2024.100144

Impact of mass-scale deployment of electric vehicles and benefits of smart charging across all European countries

Autori: Andrea Mangipinto, Francesco Lombardi, Francesco Davide Sanvito, Matija Pavičević, Sylvain Quoilin, Emanuela Colombo
Pubblicato in: Applied Energy, Numero 312, 2022, Pagina/e 118676, ISSN 0306-2619
Editore: Pergamon Press Ltd.
DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2022.118676

Diversity of options to eliminate fossil fuels and reach carbon neutrality across the entire European energy system

Autori: Bryn Pickering, Francesco Lombardi, Stefan Pfenninger
Pubblicato in: Joule, Numero 6, 2022, Pagina/e 1253-1276, ISSN 2542-4351
Editore: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.joule.2022.05.009

Modeling households’ behavior, energy system operation, and interaction in the energy community

Autori: Songmin Yu, Philipp Mascherbauer, Thomas Haupt, Kevan Skorna, Hannah Rickmann, Maksymilian Kochanski, Lukas Kranzl
Pubblicato in: Energy, Numero 328, 2025, Pagina/e 136338, ISSN 0360-5442
Editore: Pergamon Press Ltd.
DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2025.136338

Decarbonising the EU Buildings|Model-Based Insights from European Countries

Autori: Theofano Fotiou, Panagiotis Fragkos, Eleftheria Zisarou
Pubblicato in: Climate, Numero 12, 2025, Pagina/e 85, ISSN 2225-1154
Editore: MDPI AG
DOI: 10.3390/cli12060085

The emerging endgame: The EU ETS on the road towards climate neutrality

Autori: Michael Pahle, Simon Quemin, Sebastian Osorio, Claudia Günther, Robert Pietzcker
Pubblicato in: Resource and Energy Economics, Numero 81, 2025, Pagina/e 101476, ISSN 0928-7655
Editore: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2024.101476

A multi-model assessment of inequality and climate change

Autori: Johannes Emmerling, Pietro Andreoni, Ioannis Charalampidis, Shouro Dasgupta, Francis Dennig, Simon Feindt, Dimitris Fragkiadakis, Panagiotis Fragkos, Shinichiro Fujimori, Martino Gilli, Carolina Grottera, Celine Guivarch, Ulrike Kornek, Elmar Kriegler, Daniele Malerba, Giacomo Marangoni, Aurélie Méjean, Femke Nijsse, Franziska Piontek, Yeliz Simsek, Bjoern Soergel, Nicolas Taconet, Toon Vandyck,
Pubblicato in: Nature Climate Change, Numero 14, 2024, Pagina/e 1254-1260, ISSN 1758-678X
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-024-02151-7

The impact of energy prices in decarbonizing buildings’ energy use in the EU27

Autori: Ece Özer, Lukas Kranzl, Andreas Müller, Behnam Zakeri
Pubblicato in: Energy and Buildings, Numero 323, 2025, Pagina/e 114814, ISSN 0378-7788
Editore: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.enbuild.2024.114814

Comparing energy system optimization models and integrated assessment models: Relevance for energy policy advice

Autori: Hauke Henke, Mark Dekker, Francesco Lombardi, Robert Pietzcker, Panagiotis Fragkos, Behnam Zakeri, Renato Rodrigues, Joanna Sitarz, Johannes Emmerling, Amir Fattahi, Francesco Dalla Longa, Igor Tatarewicz, Theofano Fotiou, Michał Lewarski, Daniel Huppmann, Kostas Kavvadias, Bob van der Zwaan, Will Usher
Pubblicato in: Open Research Europe, Numero 3, 2024, Pagina/e 69, ISSN 2732-5121
Editore: F1000 Research Ltd
DOI: 10.12688/openreseurope.15590.2

Policy credibility is a key component for an effective and efficient EU Emissions Trading System

Autori: Joanna Sitarz, Michael Pahle, Sebastian Osorio, Gunnar Luderer, Robert Pietzcker
Pubblicato in: Nature Energy, Numero 9, 2024, Pagina/e 637-638, ISSN 2058-7546
Editore: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/s41560-024-01545-3

Electricity- and hydrogen-driven energy system sector-coupling in net-zero CO2 emission pathways

Autori: Bob van der Zwaan, Amir Fattahi, Francesco Dalla Longa, Mark Dekker, Detlef van Vuuren, Robert Pietzcker, Renato Rodrigues, Felix Schreyer, Daniel Huppmann, Johannes Emmerling, Stefan Pfenninger, Francesco Lombardi, Panagiotis Fragkos, Maria Kannavou, Theofano Fotiou, Giannis Tolios, Will Usher
Pubblicato in: Nature Communications, Numero 16, 2025, ISSN 2041-1723
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-025-56365-0

Equity implications of net-zero emissions: A multi-model analysis of energy expenditures across income classes under economy-wide deep decarbonization policies

Autori: John Bistline, Chikara Onda, Morgan Browning, Johannes Emmerling, Gokul Iyer, Megan Mahajan, Jim McFarland, Haewon McJeon, Robbie Orvis, Francisco Ralston Fonseca, Christopher Roney, Noah Sandoval, Luis Sarmiento, John Weyant, Jared Woollacott, Mei Yuan
Pubblicato in: Energy and Climate Change, Numero 5, 2024, Pagina/e 100118, ISSN 2666-2787
Editore: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.egycc.2023.100118

Evaluating the impact of lifestyle changes: a scenario-based analysis for Europe’s residential buildings sector

Autori: Andreas Andreou, Panagiotis Fragkos, Faidra Filippidou, Eleftheria Zisarou, Georgios Avgerinopoulos, Robert Pietzcker, Robin Hasse, Ricarda Rosemann
Pubblicato in: Environmental Research Communications, Numero 7, 2025, Pagina/e 035013, ISSN 2515-7620
Editore: IOP Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/2515-7620/adb9d8

Navigating the black box of fair national emissions targets

Autori: Mark Dekker, Andries Hof, Yann Robiou du Pont, Nicole van den Berg, Vassilis Daioglou, Michel Den Elzen, Rik van Heerden, Elena Hooijschuur, Isabela S. Tagomori, Chantal Würschinger, Detlef van Vuuren
Pubblicato in: Nature, 2024, ISSN 1476-4687
Editore: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-5023350/v1

Energy Price Shocks in the European Union: Macroeconomic Impacts, Distributional Effects and Policy Responses

Autori: Elise Kremer, Severin Reissl, Luca Eduardo Fierro, Johannes Emmerling, Francesco Lamperti, Andrea Roventini
Pubblicato in: SSRN, 2024, ISSN 1556-5068
Editore: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.4945346

Structural change and socio-economic disparities in a net zero transition

Autori: Cormac Lynch, Yeliz Simsek, Jean-Francois Mercure, Panagiotis Fragkos, Julien Lefèvre, Thomas Le Gallic, Kostas Fragkiadakis, Leonidas Paroussos, Dimitris Fragkiadakis, Florian Leblanc, Femke Nijsse
Pubblicato in: Economic Systems Research, Numero 36, 2024, Pagina/e 607-629, ISSN 0953-5314
Editore: Carfax Publishing Ltd.
DOI: 10.1080/09535314.2024.2371306

Stakeholder engagement for co-designing European climate and energy research priorities

Autori: Emir Fejzic, Will Usher
Pubblicato in: Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Numero 215, 2025, Pagina/e 115574, ISSN 1364-0321
Editore: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2025.115574

Distinct roles of direct and indirect electrification in pathways to a renewables-dominated European energy system

Autori: Felix Schreyer, Falko Ueckerdt, Robert Pietzcker, Renato Rodrigues, Marianna Rottoli, Silvia Madeddu, Michaja Pehl, Robin Hasse, Gunnar Luderer
Pubblicato in: One Earth, Numero 7, 2024, Pagina/e 226-241, ISSN 2590-3322
Editore: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.oneear.2024.01.015

Non-peer reviewed articles (4)

[version 1; peer review: not peer reviewed]

Autori: Daniel Huppmann; Jethro Browell; Benedetto Nastasi; Zita Vale; Diana Süsser
Pubblicato in: F1000Research, Numero 5, 2022, ISSN 2046-1402
Editore: F1000 Research Ltd.
DOI: 10.12688/f1000research.124267.1

A research agenda for open energy science: Opportunities and perspectives of the F1000Research Energy Gateway

Autori: Daniel Huppmann, Jethro Browell, Benedetto Nastasi, Zita Vale, Diana Süsser
Pubblicato in: F1000Research, Numero 11, 2022, Pagina/e 896, ISSN 2046-1402
Editore: F1000 Research Ltd.
DOI: 10.12688/f1000research.124267.1

Global sensitivity analysis to enhance the transparency and rigour of energy system optimisation modelling

Autori: William Usher, Trevor Barnes, Nandi Moksnes, Taco Niet
Pubblicato in: Open Research Europe, Numero 3, 2023, Pagina/e 30, ISSN 2732-5121
Editore: F1000 Research Ltd
DOI: 10.12688/openreseurope.15461.1

Global sensitivity analysis to enhance the transparency and rigour of energy system optimisation modelling

Autori: William Usher; Trevor Barnes; Nandi Moksnes; Taco Niet
Pubblicato in: Open Research Europe, 2023, ISSN 2732-5121
Editore: F1000 Research Limited on behalf of the European Commission
DOI: 10.12688/openreseurope.15461.1

Book chapters (1)

Energy Poverty and Just Transformation in Greece

Autori: Panagiotis Fragkos, Eleni Kanellou, George Konstantopoulos, Alexandros Nikas, Kostas Fragkiadakis, Faidra Filipidou, Theofano Fotiou, Haris Doukas
Pubblicato in: Studies in Energy, Resource and Environmental Economics, Vulnerable Households in the Energy Transition, 2023, Pagina/e 235-267
Editore: Springer International Publishing
DOI: 10.1007/978-3-031-35684-1_10

Conference proceedings (2)

Participating in ECEMF: How to join the modelling comparison exercise to build a more robust evidence base for European policy

Autori: Will Usher
Pubblicato in: 2023
Editore: ECEMF
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.7827860

Pyam tutorial for the Vienna openmod Workshop 2023

Autori: Huppmann, Daniel; Hackstock, Philip
Pubblicato in: 2023
Editore: ECEMF
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.7757907