To understand how ecosystems survive in a changing world, we need to investigate the interplay between ecology (species interactions with each other and the environment) and evolution (how species adapt over time). While these processes are known to be connected, most studies fail to fully investigate the consequences of eco-evolutionary feedbacks for species survival and ecosystem resilience.
Theoretical studies suggest that evolutionary changes in species can stabilize ecosystems and improve recovery after disturbances. However, we lack empirical evidence to confirm these predictions. What is also not well understood is how the stability of an ecosystem influences the evolution of species that compose it. In short, we need more studies to figure out how ecosystem stability and evolutionary changes affect each other.
Moreover, most studies on eco-evolutionary dynamics focus on interactions between just two species. While this makes it easier to understand how evolution can affect species interactions, it is also a problem, since in nature, species rarely interact in isolation; there are often indirect effects from other species in the ecosystem. However, we still lack information on how evolution happens within more complex systems and how indirect effects can shape eco-evolutionary feedbacks.
In the DYNAMICTRIO project, we aim to fill these gaps. For that we study a simple ecosystem made up of plants (Brassica rapa), herbivores (the spider mite, Tetranychus urticae), and predators (Amblyseus swirskii). We use a combination of experimental real time evolution, phenotyping, characterization of genetic changes, mathematical modelling and simulations to understand:
1- How the dynamics of this ecosystem change with different levels of resources (productivity) and environmental stress.
2- How changes in the population dynamics of species and the stability of the ecosystem affect the evolution of these species, and vice versa.
3- How evolutionary changes in one species can impact both direct and indirect relationships between organisms, and how this affects the resilience of the entire ecosystem in different environments.
4- How eco-evolutionary changes at different levels (individual, populations and entire ecosystems) can influence the long-term survival and stability of ecosystems.
The main goal of DYNAMICTRIO is to understand how ecological and evolutionary changes feed into each other and how these feedbacks help ecosystems persist and adapt to change.