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Consequences of warming-driven vegetation change for Arctic carbon cycling and feedbacks to the global climate system

Project description

Exploring the Arctic’s warming dilemma

As the Arctic experiences unprecedented warming, its once-stoic landscapes are undergoing profound transformations, particularly in vegetation. This alteration poses a critical dilemma: will the increased vegetation change release stored carbon into the atmosphere, exacerbating climate change, or sequester it within the Arctic soils? The ERC-funded ArcticEDGE project will answer this question. It will decode the intricate web of consequences stemming from this warming-driven vegetation shift and its global climate implications. Specifically, the project will quantify how plant traits relate to carbon processes. It will also predict trait changes in response to warming and evaluate the role of Arctic vegetation in global climate feedback. The findings will be used to inform global climate models.

Objective

ArcticEDGE will identify the consequences of warming-driven vegetation change for the functioning of Arctic ecosystems, particularly the cycling of carbon, and the impact on the global climate. The Arctic is the fastest-warming region on Earth, and Arctic soils contain more than double the amount of carbon currently in the atmosphere. Changes in the vegetation can influence whether this carbon is released into the atmosphere, thus contributing to additional climate warming, or stored in soils and plant biomass. Until now, we have lacked the ability to scale up from site-specific, local-scale studies to generalizable vegetation-function relationships relevant for the entire Arctic. ArcticEDGE will: 1) quantify the relationships between widely-measured plant functional and phenological traits and three key ecosystem processes related to global carbon cycling: litter decomposition, primary production, and fire dynamics, using field and laboratory experiments, 2) predict the rate with which these traits are likely to change in response to warming by identifying the relative contribution of turnover in species identity, shifts in abundance, phenotypic plasticity and genetic differentiation to trait variability and change over time, 3) determine the contribution of Arctic vegetation change to global-scale vegetation-climate feedbacks by combining knowledge from aims 1 and 2 with multi-decadal records of vegetation change and responses to experimental warming and precipitation at hundreds of locations across the Arctic, and 4) produce quantifiable outputs that will feed directly into Dynamic Global Vegetation and Earth System models to determine the consequences of Arctic vegetation change for the global climate. The knowledge generated by ArcticEDGE will contribute both to our theoretical understanding of how plants influence and are influenced by their environment as well as inform urgent efforts to project future changes in the global climate with greater precision.

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HORIZON-ERC - HORIZON ERC Grants

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(opens in new window) ERC-2022-STG

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Host institution

GOETEBORGS UNIVERSITET
Net EU contribution

Net EU financial contribution. The sum of money that the participant receives, deducted by the EU contribution to its linked third party. It considers the distribution of the EU financial contribution between direct beneficiaries of the project and other types of participants, like third-party participants.

€ 1 499 264,00
Address
VASAPARKEN
405 30 Goeteborg
Sweden

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Region
Södra Sverige Västsverige Västra Götalands län
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
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Total cost

The total costs incurred by this organisation to participate in the project, including direct and indirect costs. This amount is a subset of the overall project budget.

€ 1 499 264,00

Beneficiaries (1)

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