The project has yielded several novel results that advance the state of the art in the theoretical modeling of new particle formation (NPF), particularly regarding the role of hydration in molecular cluster formation. While previous studies have acknowledged the relevance of humidity in NPF, a quantitative and mechanistic understanding has remained elusive due to limitations in both experimental detectability and computational complexity. This project addresses the role of water in the initial steps of NPF by combining high-level quantum chemical (QC) methods, rigorous configurational sampling, and machine learning (ML)-accelerated QC and molecular dynamics simulations.
- First-of-its-kind benchmark of hydration effects in acid–base clusters:
We performed systematic configurational sampling and quantum chemical benchmarking for a wide variety of hydrated atmospheric clusters. The resulting dataset is significantly more comprehensive than previous studies and provides a reliable reference for validating both theoretical models and experimental interpretations. This includes not only electronic energetics but also entropic contributions and structural dynamics.
- Publicly available tools and databases for the scientific community:
We released automated sampling scripts (the JK framework) and maintained the updated Atmospheric Cluster Database (ACDB 2.0) providing valuable infrastructure for the broader community. These resources enable researchers to build upon our findings and integrate hydration effects into diverse modeling frameworks, including those used by computational chemists, atmospheric modelers, climatologists, and environmental scientists.
- Machine learning tools tailored for molecular clusters:
We demonstrated that traditional similarity metrics (e.g. RMSD) often fail to capture the relevant structural complexity of hydrated clusters, while chemically informed kernels (such as FCHL) offer superior insight. Furthermore, we developed and trained ML models (e.g. PaiNN) on quantum chemical data, allowing for fast and accurate modeling of hydrated cluster dynamics. These models enabled extensive umbrella sampling molecular dynamics simulations, which would otherwise be computationally prohibitive. Through these simulations, we also identified systematic errors in traditional statistical thermodynamics applied to quantum chemistry, highlighting a significant methodological limitation. The ML-enhanced simulations form a bridge between molecular-scale dynamics and mesoscale aerosol models, supporting more realistic atmospheric modeling.
- Molecular-mechanistic insight into hydration-enhanced nucleation:
We found that many atmospheric acid–base molecular clusters are not significantly hydrated, contrary to some assumptions in the literature. However, for specific strongly bound systems (e.g. those involving sulfuric acid, methane sulfonic acid, and certain bases), humidity substantially affects nucleation pathways. While the overall enhancement factors align with previous studies, the mechanisms we identified differ markedly. Importantly, we also challenged the reliability of traditional statistical thermodynamics used in combination with quantum chemistry. Our umbrella sampling approach revealed significant discrepancies, suggesting that widely accepted methods may be flawed when applied to flexible, hydrated systems. This finding significantly advances the state of the art and warrants further investigation across the computational chemistry community.
Future Uptake and Needs
To ensure maximum impact and broader uptake of our results, we identify the following priorities:
- Further research: ML-enhanced umbrella sampling offers a powerful and more experimentally consistent method for assessing the thermodynamics of flexible systems. However, it is not yet widely adopted and should be used with care. Broader community testing and development are needed.
- Integration into climate models: We continue to collaborate with large-scale atmospheric modelers, providing new data to improve parameterizations used in climate and air quality simulations.
- Scientific networking and dissemination: Participation in interdisciplinary events (e.g. CECAM, EGU, ACTRIS) has helped establish a transnational network of researchers in particle formation. Continued engagement in such forums is critical for knowledge transfer and expanding impact.
- Publications and collaborations: At least two major publications are nearing submission, and several collaborative projects initiated during the fellowship are expected to lead to additional outputs.