AGnostic risk management for high Impact Low probability Events

Informations projet

AGILE

N° de convention de subvention: 101121356

DOI

10.3030/101121356

Date de signature de la CE 25 Juillet 2023

Date de début 1 Octobre 2023

Date de fin 30 Septembre 2027

Financé au titre de

• Civil Security for Society

Coût total

€ 4 563 406,27

Contribution de l’UE

€ 4 563 406,25

Coordonné par

JOHANNITER-UNFALL-HILFE EV
Germany

CORDIS fournit des liens vers les livrables publics et les publications des projets HORIZON.

Les liens vers les livrables et les publications des projets du 7e PC, ainsi que les liens vers certains types de résultats spécifiques tels que les jeux de données et les logiciels, sont récupérés dynamiquement sur OpenAIRE .

Livrables

Documents, reports (10)

HILP platform requirements and architecture

HILP Reference Library Architecture Co-Design

Project risk management plan

Project coordination and administration, Quality Assurance

HILP Taxanomy and definitions

Conceptualise HILP as concurrent, cascading, and systemic risks

ST methodology framework and toolkit

Risk and Resilience Stress Testing Methodology

Case study scenarios

Scenario development and case study partner engagement

AGILE Impact strategy

Stakeholder mapping, engagement strategy and dissemination & communication framework

AGILE's Approach to HILP: strategic foresight, lateral thinking and creativity

AGILE's Approach to HILP: strategic foresight, lateral thinking and creativityThis deliverable will focus on the results of items analysing the role of strategic foresight, lateral thinking, and creativity as a mitigating factor for preparing to events distinguished by a lack of precursors and high uncertainty in scenario building and stakeholder training.

Project management plan

Project coordination and administration

Data Management Plan (DMP)

Quality Assurance

AGILE's approach to HILP: SWOT analysis on common point of failures, recurrent vulnerabilities and resilience

includes a review of the state of art and analyse the results of mixed method research exploring how potentials and limitations of the current approaches to HILPs, as well as analysing external and internal factors of HILP management.

Publications

Conference proceedings (2)

Root Cause of Critical Infrastructure Failures in the 2023 Southeast Turkey Earthquake: A case study from Hatay

Auteurs: Nazli Yonca Aydin, Mine Imirzalioglu, Sebnem Duzgun
Publié dans: 35th European Safety and Reliability Conference (ESREL 2025) and the 33rd Society for Risk Analysis Europe Conference (SRA-E 2025), 2025
Éditeur: Research Publishing Services
DOI: 10.3850/978-981-94-3281-3_ESREL-SRA-E2025-P0107-CD

A Method For Reducing The Uncertainty Caused By A Power Outage During A Cyber Incident Response

Auteurs: Vitalii Zubok and Roman Drahuntsov
Publié dans: 2024
Éditeur: https://ceur-ws.org/

Peer reviewed articles (3)

Progressing the research on systemic risk, cascading disasters, and compound events

Auteurs: Pescaroli, Gianluca; Suppasri, Anawat; Galbusera, Luca
Publié dans: Progress in Disaster Science, 2024, ISSN 2590-0617
Éditeur: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100319

Definitions and taxonomy for High Impact Low Probability (HILP) and outlier events

Auteurs: G. Pescaroli, L. McMillan, M. Gordon, N.Y. Aydin, T. Comes, M. Maraschini, J. Palma Oliveira, S. Torresan, B. Trump, M. Pelling, I. Linkov
Publié dans: International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, Numéro 127, 2025, ISSN 2212-4209
Éditeur: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.IJDRR.2025.105504

Assessment and improvement of digital resilience in the energy crisis caused by missile strikes

Auteurs: V Zubok
Publié dans: IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science, Numéro 1254, 2023, ISSN 1755-1307
Éditeur: IOP Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1755-1315/1254/1/012039