Towards an Integrated Capability to Explain and Predict Regional Climate Changes

Project Information

EXPECT

Grant agreement ID: 101137656

DOI

10.3030/101137656

EC signature date 24 October 2023

Start date 1 April 2024

End date 31 March 2028

Funded under

• Climate, Energy and Mobility

Total cost

No data

EU contribution

€ 6 648 370,00

Coordinated by

BARCELONA SUPERCOMPUTING CENTER CENTRO NACIONAL DE SUPERCOMPUTACION
Spain

CORDIS provides links to public deliverables and publications of HORIZON projects.

Links to deliverables and publications from FP7 projects, as well as links to some specific result types such as dataset and software, are dynamically retrieved from OpenAIRE .

Publications

Peer reviewed articles (19)

Artificial intelligence reveals past climate extremes by reconstructing historical records

Author(s): Étienne Plésiat, Robert J. H. Dunn, Markus G. Donat, Christopher Kadow
Published in: Nature Communications, Issue 15, 2024, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41467-024-53464-2

Precipitation, Moisture Sources and Transport Pathways associated with Summertime North Atlantic Deep Cyclones

Author(s): Rikke Stoffels; Imme Benedict; Lukas Papritz; Frank Selten; Chris Weijenborg
Published in: EGUsphere, 2025, ISSN 1607-7962
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/EGUSPHERE-2025-1752

First Analysis of Climate Forcing and Response to Updated Historical Anthropogenic Aerosol With the New CMIP7 Model ICON XPP

Author(s): Stephanie Fiedler, Trang V. Pham, Manuel Schlund, Sebastian Wahl, Natalia Sudarchikova, Sabine Bischof, Rachel M. Hoesly
Published in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Issue 17, 2025, ISSN 1942-2466
Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
DOI: 10.1029/2025MS005067

Observed circulation trends in boreal summer linked to two spatially distinct teleconnection patterns

Author(s): Tamara Happé, Chiem van Straaten, Raed Hamed, Fabio D’Andrea, Dim Coumou
Published in: Journal of Climate, 2025, ISSN 0894-8755
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-24-0750.1

Dynamical systems methods to understand projected heatwave intensification

Author(s): Eylon Vakrat, Paul J. Kushner
Published in: Weather and Climate Extremes, Issue 49, 2025, ISSN 2212-0947
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.WACE.2025.100791

Indicators of Global Climate Change 2024: annual update of key indicators of the state of the climate system and human influence

Author(s): Piers M. Forster, Chris Smith, Tristram Walsh, William F. Lamb, Robin Lamboll, Christophe Cassou, Mathias Hauser, Zeke Hausfather, June-Yi Lee, Matthew D. Palmer, Karina von Schuckmann, Aimée B. A. Slangen, Sophie Szopa, Blair Trewin, Jeongeun Yun, Nathan P. Gillett, Stuart Jenkins, H. Damon Matthews, Krishnan Raghavan, Aurélien Ribes, Joeri Rogelj, Debbie Rosen, Xuebin Zhang, Myles Allen, Lara Aleluia Reis, Robbie M. Andrew, Richard A. Betts, Alex Borger, Jiddu A. Broersma, Samantha N. Burgess, Lijing Cheng, Pierre Friedlingstein, Catia M. Domingues, Marco Gambarini, Thomas Gasser, Johannes Gütschow, Masayoshi Ishii, Christopher Kadow, John Kennedy, Rachel E. Killick, Paul B. Krummel, Aurélien Liné, Didier P. Monselesan, Colin Morice, Jens Mühle, Vaishali Naik, Glen P. Peters, Anna Pirani, Julia Pongratz, Jan C. Minx, Matthew Rigby, Robert Rohde, Abhishek Savita, Sonia I. Seneviratne, Peter Thorne, Christopher Wells, Luke M. Western, Guido R. van der Werf, Susan E. Wijffels, Valérie Masson-Delmotte, Panmao Zhai
Published in: Earth System Science Data, Issue 17, 2025, ISSN 1866-3516
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/ESSD-17-2641-2025

Improving the forecast quality of near-term climate projections by constraining internal variability based on decadal predictions and observations

Author(s): Donat, Markus; Mahmood, Rashed; Cos, Josep; Ortega Montilla, Pablo; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco
Published in: Environmental Research: Climate, 2024, ISSN 2752-5295
Publisher: IOP Publishing Ltd
DOI: 10.1088/2752-5295/AD5463

Record Warmth of 2023 and 2024 was Highly Predictable and Resulted From ENSO Transition and Northern Hemisphere Absorbed Shortwave Anomalies

Author(s): Eduardo Blanchard‐Wrigglesworth, Roberto Bilbao, Aaron Donohoe, Stefano Materia
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 52, 2025, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
DOI: 10.1029/2025GL115614

Nature Communications

Author(s): Étienne Plésiat; Robert J. H. Dunn; Markus G. Donat; Christopher Kadow
Published in: Nature Communications, 2024, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/S41467-024-53464-2

Artificial intelligence for climate prediction of extremes: State of the art, challenges, and future perspectives

Author(s): Stefano Materia, Lluís Palma García, Chiem van Straaten, Sungmin O, Antonios Mamalakis, Leone Cavicchia, Dim Coumou, Paolo de Luca, Marlene Kretschmer, Markus Donat
Published in: WIREs Climate Change, Issue 15, 2024, ISSN 1757-7780
Publisher: Wiley
DOI: 10.1002/WCC.914

CO2-induced climate change assessment for the extreme 2022 Pakistan rainfall using seasonal forecasts

Author(s): Antje Weisheimer, Tim N. Palmer, Nicholas J. Leach, Myles R. Allen, Christopher D. Roberts, Muhammad Adnan Abid
Published in: npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, Issue 8, 2025, ISSN 2397-3722
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41612-025-01136-3

Drivers and mechanisms contributing to excess warming in Europe during recent decades

Author(s): Buwen Dong; Rowan T. Sutton
Published in: npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 2025, ISSN 2397-3722
Publisher: Springer Nature in partnership with Center of Excellence for Climate Change Research King Abdulaziz University
DOI: 10.1038/S41612-025-00930-3

Soil moisture–atmosphere coupling amplifies the change in extreme heat in inner East Asia under rapid summer warming

Author(s): Zejiang Yin, Buwen Dong, Song Yang, Wei Wei
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue 20, 2024, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: IOP Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/AD95A1

Climate extremes and risks: links between climate science and decision-making

Author(s): Jana Sillmann; Jana Sillmann; Timothy H. Raupach; Timothy H. Raupach; Timothy H. Raupach; Kirsten L. Findell; Markus Donat; Markus Donat; Lincoln M. Alves; Lisa Alexander; Lisa Alexander; Leonard Borchert; Pablo Borges de Amorim; Carlo Buontempo; Erich M. Fischer; Christian L. Franzke; Christian L. Franzke; Bin Guan; Marjolijn Haasnoot; Marjolijn Haasnoot; Ed Hawkins; Daniela Jacob; Roché Mahon; Douglas Maraun; Monica A. Morrison; Benjamin Poschlod; Alex C. Ruane; Shampa; Tannecia Stephenson; Narelle van der Wel; Zhuo Wang; Xuebin Zhang; Josipa Županić
Published in: Frontiers in Climate, 2024, ISSN 2624-9553
Publisher: Lausanne: Frontiers Media SA
DOI: 10.3389/FCLIM.2024.1499765

Infilling of missing rainfall radar data with a memory-assisted deep learning approach

Author(s): Johannes Meuer, Laurens M. Bouwer, Frank Kaspar, Roman Lehmann, Wolfgang Karl, Thomas Ludwig, Christopher Kadow
Published in: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, Issue 29, 2025, ISSN 1607-7938
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/HESS-29-3687-2025

Human influence on the recent weakening of storm tracks in boreal summer

Author(s): Rei Chemke; Dim Coumou
Published in: npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 2024, ISSN 2397-3722
Publisher: Springer Nature in partnership with Center of Excellence for Climate Change Research King Abdulaziz University
DOI: 10.1038/S41612-024-00640-2

Increasing central and northern European summer heatwave intensity due to forced changes in internal variability

Author(s): Goratz Beobide-Arsuaga, Laura Suarez-Gutierrez, Armineh Barkhordarian, Dirk Olonscheck, Johanna Baehr
Published in: Nature Communications, Issue 16, 2025, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41467-025-65392-W

Observation-constrained projections reveal longer-than-expected dry spells

Author(s): Irina Y. Petrova; Diego G. Miralles; Florent Brient; Markus G. Donat; Seung-Ki Min; Yeon-Hee Kim; Margot Bador
Published in: Nature, 2024, ISSN 1476-4687
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/S41586-024-07887-Y

Explaining and predicting the Southern Hemisphere eddy-driven jet

Author(s): Julia Mindlin, Theodore G. Shepherd, Marisol Osman, Carolina S. Vera, Marlene Kretschmer
Published in: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Issue 122, 2025, ISSN 0027-8424
Publisher: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
DOI: 10.1073/PNAS.2500697122

Other (1)

Opinion: The Impact of AerChemMIP on Climate and Air Quality Research

Author(s): Paul T. Griffiths; Laura J. Wilcox; Robert J. Allen; Vaishali Naik; Fiona M. O'Connor; Michael J. Prather; Alexander T. Archibald; Florence Brown; Makoto Deushi; William Collins; Stephanie Fiedler; Naga Oshima; Lee T. Murray; Christopher J. Smith; Steven T. Turnock; Duncan Watson-Parris; Paul J. Young
Published in: EGUsphere, 2024
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/EGUSPHERE-2024-2528