Project description
Food trade dependence under various short-term and long-term shocks
Policies aimed at developing countries addressing hunger, achieving food security, improving nutrition, and promoting sustainable agriculture face challenges due to disruptions in staple food production and trade. For instance, climate change and the Russian invasion of Ukraine have prompted various government interventions in trade. Supported by the Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions (MSCA) programme, the F-TRADEMARK project assesses the vulnerability and resilience of nations’ food systems. It analyses global trade data from 1986 to 2020, using network-based assessment tools to understand dependencies. Additionally, the project seeks to predict future scenarios of staple food and fertiliser trade dependence under various short-term and long-term shocks up to 2100.
Objective
Policies in developing countries that seek to fight hunger, achieve food security, improve nutrition, and promote sustainable agriculture (a United Nations Sustainable Development Goal), face considerable obstacles when confronted with disruptions of their staple food production and trade. Disruptions such as climate change along with inter-state conflicts, e.g. the ongoing Russian invasion of Ukraine, have weakened developing countries staple food yields, supply, and trade flows. For trade in particular, challenges include physical trade disruptions of agricultural outputs, as well as inputs, particularly in more vulnerable regions. These disruptions are often followed by government trade interventions. A critical dimension of food risk and security is staple food trade dependencies between countries. Such dependencies occur both directly, in terms of regional food security, and indirectly increase migration as well as gender vulnerabilities. Indirect dependencies emerge from the complex web of trade relationships in which a country's access to staple foods relies not only on direct imports from producing nations but also on re-exports facilitated by intermediary countries. In the case of disruption shocks, such a trade system may expose importing countries to vulnerabilities at various intermediary points. For example, the Russian-Ukraine war has exposed the vulnerability of countries directly importing staple foods and fertilizers from the two countries, but also heavily affected countries that rely on the re-export of staple foods. The project F-TRADEMARK aims to measure the vulnerability of nations food systems resilience based on global trade data from 1986 2020 using network-based assessment tools. Moreover, the future of staple food and fertilizer trade dependence will be predicted under different short-term and long-term shocks up to the year 2100.
Fields of science (EuroSciVoc)
CORDIS classifies projects with EuroSciVoc, a multilingual taxonomy of fields of science, through a semi-automatic process based on NLP techniques.
CORDIS classifies projects with EuroSciVoc, a multilingual taxonomy of fields of science, through a semi-automatic process based on NLP techniques.
- medical and health scienceshealth sciencesnutrition
- agricultural sciencesagriculture, forestry, and fisheriesagriculture
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Keywords
Programme(s)
- HORIZON.1.2 - Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions (MSCA) Main Programme
Funding Scheme
HORIZON-TMA-MSCA-PF-EF - HORIZON TMA MSCA Postdoctoral Fellowships - European FellowshipsCoordinator
2361 Laxenburg
Austria