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SEAClim: European SEAs CLIMate impact prediction through regional models

Project description

A new approach to predicting our ocean’s future

Climate change is causing shifts in marine environments, impacting ecosystems and human activities. Rising temperatures and changing ocean conditions threaten fish populations and coastal communities. Decision-makers need accurate information to predict these changes and their effects on the ocean. The EU-funded SEACLIM project provides detailed predictions of decadal-to-multidecadal changes in marine environments. Using advanced regional ocean models from the Copernicus Marine Service, the project will assess future changes in ocean circulation, waves, sea ice, and biogeochemistry. By focusing on the northeastern Atlantic, North Sea, and Arctic Ocean, SEACLIM will develop indicators to assess the health of these marine ecosystems. Its findings will support informed decision-making and will pave the way for a new service line in the Copernicus Marine Service.

Objective

SEACLIM aims to provide refined information on future decadal-to-multidecadal changes of the marine environment and related impacts at regional to local scales, fundamental for climate policy and decision making. SEACLIM will leverage on regional ocean models of the Copernicus Marine Service to enable for the first time the pre-operational prediction of decadal and multi-decadal changes of the marine environment (ocean circulation, waves, sea-ice, biogeochemistry) through coordinated downscaling of the latest global climate models reference simulations (CMIP6). SEACLIM will also advance the understanding of physical and ecosystem processes to further develop regional ocean models. New regional ocean indicators will be developed to assess the ocean state and health over coming decades. SEACLIM R&I will be performed over three European seas: the northeastern Atlantic, northwest shelf including the North Sea and the Arctic Ocean, but will be replicable to other regional seas. SEACLIM regional ocean predictions, projections and ocean climate indicators will be integrated in the European Digital Twin of the Ocean, providing it with climate ‘what-if scenarios’. SEACLIM new datasets will be benchmarked in coastal and ocean climate services for targeted policy and decision makers to support climate mitigation and adaptation actions and the blue economy. SEACLIM will co-design its R&I and exchange knowledge with key stakeholders and will bridge the gap between the operational oceanography and climate science research communities, ocean modelling and programmatic frameworks (e.g. Copernicus, WCRP CMIP, CORDEX, CLIVAR, RiFS, WMO, GOOS). A coordinated framework for regional ocean decadal to multi-decadal predictions and their evaluation will be co-developed to build capacity of the regional ocean climate community to produce coordinated simulations and pave the way for the development of a new service line on projected changes of the marine environment in Copernicus Marine.

Fields of science (EuroSciVoc)

Keywords

Programme(s)

Topic(s)

Funding Scheme

HORIZON-RIA - HORIZON Research and Innovation Actions

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Call for proposal

(opens in new window) HORIZON-CL6-2024-CLIMATE-01

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Coordinator

MERCATOR OCEAN
Net EU contribution
€ 908 437,50
Address
2 AVENUE DE L AERODROME DE MONTAUDRAN
31400 Toulouse
France
Region
Occitanie Midi-Pyrénées Haute-Garonne
Activity type
Research Organisations
Links
Total cost
€ 908 437,50

Participants (12)