Project description
Planning for heat extremes and drought in a warming South America
South America is struggling to keep pace with a changing climate. Yet planning for the near future is a challenge, as current climate models offer uncertain predictions for the next few years. Supported by the Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions programme, the CAUSAL-STORY project weaves together climate modelling, causal analysis and storyline techniques. Specifically, it will create clear, science-based narratives of how heatwaves and droughts might unfold in the coming seasons and decades. These storylines will support better adaptation strategies for agriculture and urban planning. With open data and novel analysis tools, the project also empowers researchers and climate services across the southern hemisphere, advancing both local resilience and global climate justice.
Objective
In South America (SA), droughts and heat extremes can have devastating impacts, in particular for agriculture and urban areaIn South America (SA), droughts and heat extremes can have devastating impacts, in particular for agriculture and urban areas. Currently, effective adaptation is yet often not possible because near term (seasonal-to-decadal) predictions produced by climate models are highly uncertain. Achieving progress on these critical time-scales is particularly difficult due to a lack of understanding of the combined role of thermodynamic changes and changes in large-scale circulation which can be forced or due to natural variability. To address this, I will combine storyline approaches with causal inference and climate modeling to provide a comprehensive storyline description of plausible near term changes in the Southern Hemisphere large-scale circulation and the associated regional drought and heat extreme impacts in SA. These storylines will be targeted to inform agriculture and urban adaptation and will be strongly grounded on physical process understanding. Open access data and code to allow flexible adaptation of the methodology to other regions of the SH will be provided. The expected outcomes of this activity include high-impact publications, delivery of policy-relevant information to key stakeholders in South America, open access data and code and educational/computational resources for climate service providers. Throughout this activity, I will broaden my research scope and skills, gain training in leadership roles and strengthen my scientific network. This will make me a very competitive candidate for independent research positions in physical climate science and interdisciplinary climate adaptation initiatives. Overall, the initiative will impact our understanding of the Southern Hemisphere near term changes and regional impacts, which is critical for the socio-ecological adaptation of the Global South thus contributing to climate justice.
Fields of science (EuroSciVoc)
CORDIS classifies projects with EuroSciVoc, a multilingual taxonomy of fields of science, through a semi-automatic process based on NLP techniques. See: The European Science Vocabulary.
CORDIS classifies projects with EuroSciVoc, a multilingual taxonomy of fields of science, through a semi-automatic process based on NLP techniques. See: The European Science Vocabulary.
- engineering and technology environmental engineering ecosystem-based management climate change adaptation
- agricultural sciences agriculture, forestry, and fisheries agriculture
- natural sciences earth and related environmental sciences atmospheric sciences climatology
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Keywords
Project’s keywords as indicated by the project coordinator. Not to be confused with the EuroSciVoc taxonomy (Fields of science)
Project’s keywords as indicated by the project coordinator. Not to be confused with the EuroSciVoc taxonomy (Fields of science)
Programme(s)
Multi-annual funding programmes that define the EU’s priorities for research and innovation.
Multi-annual funding programmes that define the EU’s priorities for research and innovation.
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HORIZON.1.2 - Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions (MSCA)
MAIN PROGRAMME
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Topic(s)
Calls for proposals are divided into topics. A topic defines a specific subject or area for which applicants can submit proposals. The description of a topic comprises its specific scope and the expected impact of the funded project.
Calls for proposals are divided into topics. A topic defines a specific subject or area for which applicants can submit proposals. The description of a topic comprises its specific scope and the expected impact of the funded project.
Funding Scheme
Funding scheme (or “Type of Action”) inside a programme with common features. It specifies: the scope of what is funded; the reimbursement rate; specific evaluation criteria to qualify for funding; and the use of simplified forms of costs like lump sums.
Funding scheme (or “Type of Action”) inside a programme with common features. It specifies: the scope of what is funded; the reimbursement rate; specific evaluation criteria to qualify for funding; and the use of simplified forms of costs like lump sums.
HORIZON-TMA-MSCA-PF-EF - HORIZON TMA MSCA Postdoctoral Fellowships - European Fellowships
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Call for proposal
Procedure for inviting applicants to submit project proposals, with the aim of receiving EU funding.
Procedure for inviting applicants to submit project proposals, with the aim of receiving EU funding.
(opens in new window) HORIZON-MSCA-2024-PF-01
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Net EU financial contribution. The sum of money that the participant receives, deducted by the EU contribution to its linked third party. It considers the distribution of the EU financial contribution between direct beneficiaries of the project and other types of participants, like third-party participants.
04109 Leipzig
Germany
The total costs incurred by this organisation to participate in the project, including direct and indirect costs. This amount is a subset of the overall project budget.