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SPACETIME: Simulating Palaeoconnectivity and Evolutionary Trends Impacting the Marine Environment

Project description

Reconstructing ocean highways of the past

Understanding how ocean populations are connected is crucial to preserve diversity, but our simulations lack this. They simulate how larvae disperse in today’s oceans, but fail to incorporate how oceanic currents in the past shaped patterns of genes over time. This failure limits our insight into population structure and how it evolved. Supported by the Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions programme, the SPACETIME project will reconstruct larval connectivity between coral reef systems for the past 26 000 years. SPACETIME will model past ocean conditions with coupled oceanographic and biophysical models, and integrate the results into genetic and ecological models. The project will enhance our understanding of reef population processes and technology for guiding biodiversity conservation in a time of climate change.

Objective

Population structure in marine ecosystems is set by historical gene flow, often driven by larval dispersal through ocean currents. While state-of-the-art larval dispersal models contribute to our understanding of contemporary gene flow and population dynamics, they are limited by their failure to incorporate past connectivity, reducing our ability to understand population structure and assess models against palaeoecological data.

The interdisciplinary SPACETIME project will address these major knowledge gaps by (i) quantifying palaeoconnectivity among all major coral reef systems since the Last Glacial Maximum, and (ii) advancing predictive ecological and genetic models for coral reef taxa by incorporating palaeoconnectivity and assessing model performance against the geological archive. SPACETIME will achieve these objectives through an ensemble of coupled hydrodynamic and biophysical simulations under past environmental conditions over the past 26,000 years, hindcasting the effects of changing climate and bathymetry on the physical oceanographic environment at a scale relevant to larval dispersal. The resulting palaeoconnectivity data will then be integrated into dynamical metacommunity and genetic models, which will be used to investigate the role of palaeoconnectivity in deglacial reef dynamics and population structure.

Through these diverse simulations, and a comprehensive assessment against past and present genetic, ecological & oceanographic data, SPACETIME will generate valuable connectivity data for ecologists and evolutionary biologists to aid hypothesis generation and testing. The project directly supports impacts 21, 27 & 28 of the Horizon Europe 2025-2027 Key Strategic Orientation by improving models guiding biodiversity conservation activities. Finally, the training programme will train me in population genetics, model-data integration, and project management & supervision, supporting my development as a leader in interdisciplinary marine science.

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Programme(s)

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Topic(s)

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Funding Scheme

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HORIZON-TMA-MSCA-PF-GF - HORIZON TMA MSCA Postdoctoral Fellowships - Global Fellowships

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Call for proposal

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(opens in new window) HORIZON-MSCA-2024-PF-01

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Coordinator

ALFRED-WEGENER-INSTITUT HELMHOLTZ-ZENTRUM FUR POLAR- UND MEERESFORSCHUNG
Net EU contribution

Net EU financial contribution. The sum of money that the participant receives, deducted by the EU contribution to its linked third party. It considers the distribution of the EU financial contribution between direct beneficiaries of the project and other types of participants, like third-party participants.

€ 389 156,16
Address
AM HANDELSHAFEN 12
27570 BREMERHAVEN
Germany

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Region
Bremen Bremen Bremerhaven, Kreisfreie Stadt
Activity type
Research Organisations
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Total cost

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