Project description
Predicting species’ response to climate change
As climate change accelerates, species are responding in unexpected ways, complicating efforts to predict and protect biodiversity. While some are migrating toward cooler regions, others are either staying put or shifting to warmer areas. This unpredictability challenges conservation strategies. Supported by the Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions programme, the ClimSHIFT project will analyse over 1 000 bird species with state-of-the-art niche models. It aims to uncover key biological traits that influence species’ adaptability to climate shifts. The project will also develop accurate predictive models and provide critical forecasts for future biodiversity patterns. Ultimately, ClimSHIFT’s work will provide the tools needed to protect species and ecosystems in a rapidly changing climate.
Objective
Climate change is driving significant shifts in species distributions globally, yet our ability to predict these changes remains limited. Only 47% of assessed species are moving towards cooler regions as expected, while others have remained static or shifted towards warmer areas. This variability poses a critical challenge for biodiversity conservation. The ClimSHIFT project aims to revolutionise our understanding of species' climate-driven range shifts by applying state-of-the-art mechanistic niche models across a large dataset of over 1000 bird species. We will address three key research objectives: WP1) Identify biological traits influencing species' adaptability to changing climates. WP2) Assess if species are tracking previously unrealised climatic tolerances, by developing accurate predictive models based on species' fundamental climate tolerances. WP3) Generate improved forecasts of future avian biodiversity patterns, highlighting periods and areas of synchronised range contractions and ecological disruption. This project represents the first such global-scale assessment of distribution response to climate change using species' fundamental physiological limits to predict range shifts. By combining cutting-edge methodologies with an extensive dataset, ClimSHIFT aims to significantly advance our ability to forecast and mitigate climate change impacts on biodiversity. Our findings will have far-reaching implications for conservation planning and ecosystem management. We will provide essential information for targeted conservation efforts by identifying vulnerable species and potential future habitats. The novel frameworks developed can be adapted to other taxa, providing a more comprehensive understanding of ecosystem responses to global change. Ultimately, ClimSHIFT seeks to transform our approach to biodiversity conservation in a rapidly changing world, providing the scientific foundation needed to safeguard species and ecosystems for future generations.
Fields of science (EuroSciVoc)
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Keywords
Project’s keywords as indicated by the project coordinator. Not to be confused with the EuroSciVoc taxonomy (Fields of science)
Project’s keywords as indicated by the project coordinator. Not to be confused with the EuroSciVoc taxonomy (Fields of science)
Programme(s)
Multi-annual funding programmes that define the EU’s priorities for research and innovation.
Multi-annual funding programmes that define the EU’s priorities for research and innovation.
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HORIZON.1.2 - Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions (MSCA)
MAIN PROGRAMME
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Topic(s)
Calls for proposals are divided into topics. A topic defines a specific subject or area for which applicants can submit proposals. The description of a topic comprises its specific scope and the expected impact of the funded project.
Calls for proposals are divided into topics. A topic defines a specific subject or area for which applicants can submit proposals. The description of a topic comprises its specific scope and the expected impact of the funded project.
Funding Scheme
Funding scheme (or “Type of Action”) inside a programme with common features. It specifies: the scope of what is funded; the reimbursement rate; specific evaluation criteria to qualify for funding; and the use of simplified forms of costs like lump sums.
Funding scheme (or “Type of Action”) inside a programme with common features. It specifies: the scope of what is funded; the reimbursement rate; specific evaluation criteria to qualify for funding; and the use of simplified forms of costs like lump sums.
HORIZON-TMA-MSCA-PF-EF - HORIZON TMA MSCA Postdoctoral Fellowships - European Fellowships
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Call for proposal
Procedure for inviting applicants to submit project proposals, with the aim of receiving EU funding.
Procedure for inviting applicants to submit project proposals, with the aim of receiving EU funding.
(opens in new window) HORIZON-MSCA-2024-PF-01
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Net EU financial contribution. The sum of money that the participant receives, deducted by the EU contribution to its linked third party. It considers the distribution of the EU financial contribution between direct beneficiaries of the project and other types of participants, like third-party participants.
WC1E 6BT London
United Kingdom
The total costs incurred by this organisation to participate in the project, including direct and indirect costs. This amount is a subset of the overall project budget.