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Walls and Wicked Problems: The Role of Complexity in Politics

Project description

Walls and wicked problems: the role of complexity in politics

Why and when do simple political ideas like 'building a wall' win out over more nuanced solutions? Many major challenges today, from climate change to migration, are inherently complex, involving uncertainty, trade-offs and multiple actors – yet politicians frequently offer too-simple fixes. The ERC-funded COMPLEXPOL project is investigating how citizens and politicians in the United States, the United Kingdom and Germany perceive and respond to political complexity. COMPLEXPOL will develop new ways to measure what makes an idea complex, examine who tolerates or even prefers complexity, and investigate whether political leaders strategically propose simpler policies to win support. By making political complexity visible, COMPLEXPOL will help us understand the rise of populism and the decline of public trust in democracy.

Objective

Politics is about solving our world's most complex problems. Solving “wicked problems” like climate change or migration involves myriad actors, contested priorities, uncertain outcomes, and interdependent processes. In the face of such complexity, policymakers sometimes propose simple solutions. US President Donald Trump proposed building a wall to “solve” immigration. British Conservatives proposed cutting all ties with the EU in a “hard Brexit”. Both won elections on these simple narratives. Conversely, the lack of a similarly simple idea to address climate change seems to hinder global progress.

Each of these events is a story of a contest between complex and simple ideas. Yet political science lacks clear theories about the nature and strategic uses of complexity, focusing mostly on text complexity measures like readability. Without a theory of idea complexity, scholars cannot explain why Trump proposed a wall, nor why the idea was popular with voters. If we understand political complexity better—if we make it explicit instead of implicit in our theories—we also understand our current moment better.

COMPLEXPOL will build new theories of and evidence for the role of complexity in politics. It does so through three work packages that rely on multiple methods, including quantitative modelling, survey, experimental, and computational methods, and novel data on voters and political leaders in three countries. In WP1, I will develop new, multidimensional measures of complexity, particularly of ideas. In WP2, I will explore the social and psychological determinants of individual attitudes toward complexity. And in WP3, I will investigate the strategic use of complexity by leaders and the public's reactions. In so doing, COMPLEXPOL will provide fresh insights into why some problems get solved with walls while others are left as wicked problems.

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(opens in new window) ERC-2025-STG

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Host institution

THE CHANCELLOR, MASTERS AND SCHOLARS OF THE UNIVERSITY OF OXFORD
Net EU contribution

Net EU financial contribution. The sum of money that the participant receives, deducted by the EU contribution to its linked third party. It considers the distribution of the EU financial contribution between direct beneficiaries of the project and other types of participants, like third-party participants.

€ 1 499 899,00
Address
WELLINGTON SQUARE UNIVERSITY OFFICES
OX1 2JD Oxford
United Kingdom

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Region
South East (England) Berkshire, Buckinghamshire and Oxfordshire Oxfordshire
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
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Total cost

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€ 1 499 899,25

Beneficiaries (1)

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