Skip to main content
Go to the home page of the European Commission (opens in new window)
English en
CORDIS - EU research results
CORDIS

Changing for the Better: Escaping Negative Equilibria in State-Citizen Relations

Project description

Understanding patterns in state-citizen interactions across regions and population groups

Positive state-citizen interactions are crucial for social stability and economic growth. However, poor state performance can lead to vicious cycles, in which citizens’ unfavourable attitudes result in successes for anti-government parties and fewer qualified applicants for public sector jobs. This is a negative equilibrium. Conversely, in positive equilibria, effective states foster favourable citizen attitudes. The ERC-funded EQUILIBRIUM project will explore the possibility of escaping negative equilibria by examining their robustness and assessing distinct patterns across population groups. It provides novel methodological concepts in the form of equilibrium coherence and fragmentation. Moreover, it will use a sequential design that integrates observational data, public opinion surveys and bureaucratic inquiries from five European countries and the United States, providing policymakers with valuable insights.

Objective

The character of state-citizen interactions shapes social stability and economic growth, making it critical to social scientists. Sometimes these interactions appear in the form of vicious cycles, in which poor state performance reinforces negative population attitudes and vice versa. Specifically, citizens who have unfavourable views of the state due to low public service quality are more likely to elect parties that limit the state’s resources, which fortifies its poor performance. We may think of this situation as a “negative equilibrium”. Yet other regions have positive equilibria, in which effective states correspond to favourable citizen attitudes. This raises a critical question: Which factors allow regions to escape negative equilibria by shifting toward more positive population attitudes and more effective state institutions?

EQUILIBRIUM makes a ground-breaking contribution to our understanding of state-citizen equilibria by investigating the potential for change at the individual and regional levels. My goal is not only to examine equilibrium robustness, but also to assess if separate equilibria exist for different population groups. The project will further provide significant methodological innovation by developing new measures for equilibrium coherence and fragmentation—which I hypothesize shape the potential for change—and introducing a first-of-its-kind sequential multicomponent design that integrates observational data, public opinion surveys, and inquiries to bureaucracies.

Empirically, the project will break new ground through the collection of data across five European countries and the United States, allowing for cross- and within-case comparison. Furthermore, I intend to pool survey experiments with natural experiments.

This project will not only markedly improve our understanding of social equilibria, but its findings will be of direct relevance to policymakers. By rigorously assessing equilibrium durability, it will reveal paths for reform.

Fields of science (EuroSciVoc)

Keywords

Programme(s)

Topic(s)

Funding Scheme

HORIZON-ERC - HORIZON ERC Grants

See all projects funded under this funding scheme

Call for proposal

(opens in new window) ERC-2025-STG

See all projects funded under this call

Host institution

AARHUS UNIVERSITET
Net EU contribution
€ 1 499 495,00
Address
NORDRE RINGGADE 1
8000 Aarhus C
Denmark
Region
Danmark Midtjylland Østjylland
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
Links
Total cost
€ 1 499 495,00

Beneficiaries (1)