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Ionospheric Climate: development of the Global Reference Ionosphere

Project description

Creating a modern global ionospheric climatology

The ionosphere, a layer of plasma in Earth’s upper atmosphere, is critical to several communications, remote sensing and navigation technologies. Traditionally, it has been modelled by the International Reference Ionosphere (IRI), recognised by the International Standards Organisation (ISO). Unfortunately, many elements of this model have not been updated since the 1950s, and the model doesn't take into consideration the impacts of climate change. The ERC-funded I-C-GloRI project will redevelop the IRI using novel nonlinear fitting techniques, originally designed to fit machine learning models. The aim is to incorporate millions more observations than originally available while also including a parametrisation of climate change impacts. Using this new model, the project will assess the impacts of ionospheric climate change on radio communications and navigation systems.

Objective

The ionosphere, a layer of plasma in the Earth’s upper atmosphere, has traditionally been modelled by the International Standards Organization (ISO)-recognized International Reference Ionosphere (IRI); however, this model is made up of several sub-models, many of which have not been updated since the 50s and 70s. Since the creation of those models, our understanding of the ionosphere has evolved considerably, more diverse observations have become available, and many of the drivers, upon which these models rely, are no longer available, forcing the use of stopgap drivers whose temporary application has become more than just temporary. Here we propose to redevelop the IRI using novel empirical methods that can make use of nonlinear and indirect measurements that could not be incorporated in the IRI’s present form. We will, furthermore, include a parameterization of the climate change impacts on the ionosphere, which are now expected to have considerable impacts on the future structure of the ionosphere, and will avoid the explicit dependence of the model on driving indices that are no longer being updated. Using this model, we will here also assess the impacts of lower atmospheric forcing and climate change on the ionosphere on a global scale and characterize the implications of these results for radio and navigation systems that propagate signals through the ionospheric medium.

As a member of the IRI Working Group, the PI is well positioned to ensure that the model developed here will have a clear pathway to impact. To further ensure take-up of the model, an advisory committee, made up of leading members of the IRI Working Group, ionospheric lower atmospheric coupling, and ionospheric instrument experts, has been assembled and has agreed to support the project. Furthermore, the developed model will be made Open Source and accessible in multiple coding languages.

Fields of science (EuroSciVoc)

Keywords

Programme(s)

Topic(s)

Funding Scheme

HORIZON-ERC - HORIZON ERC Grants

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Call for proposal

(opens in new window) ERC-2025-STG

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Host institution

THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM
Net EU contribution
€ 1 499 256,00
Address
Edgbaston
B15 2TT Birmingham
United Kingdom
Region
West Midlands (England) West Midlands Birmingham
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
Links
Total cost
€ 1 499 256,00

Beneficiaries (1)