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Beliefs, Information, and Markets

Objective

The central aim of this project is to explore how individuals form and update beliefs, and how these processes deviate from the normative Bayesian framework. By understanding these deviations, the project seeks to uncover the implications of biased beliefs for markets, consumer behaviour, and welfare. This research agenda will be developed in three interconnected parts, each addressing a crucial aspect of belief formation.

The first part studies how individuals form beliefs about others. It argues that individuals hold mistaken beliefs about others by systematically projecting their own preferences onto them; this, in turn, leads individuals to form biased perceptions of how others might behave in markets and other social contexts.

The second part focuses on people’s (in)ability to notice the correlation between others’ information and their actions. It will address why social learning may fail and how prices might distort agents’ beliefs. Moreover, this part of the project will also delve into how biased beliefs affect consumers’ interactions with market intermediaries, such as certification agencies.

The last part of the project proposes a new updating model, featuring reference dependence and narrow bracketing, to analyse how people revise their initial beliefs when new information arrives; in this way, it will help understand why in some circumstances people seem to discard new information, whereas in other situations they tend to over-react to it.

Overall, the project will take a new look at information economics through a behavioural lens, shedding light on classical and new questions, including the design of certification standards, privacy regulations, and negotiation protocols. It will do so by developing novel theoretical models, which will be then tested with carefully designed experimental studies.

Fields of science (EuroSciVoc)

CORDIS classifies projects with EuroSciVoc, a multilingual taxonomy of fields of science, through a semi-automatic process based on NLP techniques. See: The European Science Vocabulary.

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Programme(s)

Multi-annual funding programmes that define the EU’s priorities for research and innovation.

Topic(s)

Calls for proposals are divided into topics. A topic defines a specific subject or area for which applicants can submit proposals. The description of a topic comprises its specific scope and the expected impact of the funded project.

Funding Scheme

Funding scheme (or “Type of Action”) inside a programme with common features. It specifies: the scope of what is funded; the reimbursement rate; specific evaluation criteria to qualify for funding; and the use of simplified forms of costs like lump sums.

HORIZON-ERC - HORIZON ERC Grants

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Call for proposal

Procedure for inviting applicants to submit project proposals, with the aim of receiving EU funding.

(opens in new window) ERC-2025-COG

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Host institution

UNIVERSITA DEGLI STUDI DI NAPOLI FEDERICO II
Net EU contribution

Net EU financial contribution. The sum of money that the participant receives, deducted by the EU contribution to its linked third party. It considers the distribution of the EU financial contribution between direct beneficiaries of the project and other types of participants, like third-party participants.

€ 1 900 000,00
Address
CORSO UMBERTO I, 40
80138 Napoli
Italy

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Region
Sud Campania Napoli
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
Links
Total cost

The total costs incurred by this organisation to participate in the project, including direct and indirect costs. This amount is a subset of the overall project budget.

€ 1 900 000,00

Beneficiaries (1)