Objective
Different climate extremes often interact and the resulting events, termed compound extremes, can lead to amplified socioeconomic impacts. Gaining a deep understanding of compound extremes is highly societally relevant and of key scientific importance for understanding climate risks. However, compound extremes are inherently multivariate and rare, which poses a daunting challenge to current scientific approaches.
My aim in DYCLEX is to provide a radically new perspective on the drivers, predictability and trends of compound climate extremes. I will ground this in a physical and statistical understanding of how the large-scale atmospheric circulation modulates compound extremes. My focus will be on the co-occurrence, at the same or at remote locations, of mid-latitude surface temperature, precipitation and wind extremes.
To achieve this ambitious aim, DYCLEX builds on key contributions from my own research and that of my research group, partly issued from my previous ERC project. Specifically, DYCLEX exploits my cutting-edge work on atmospheric dynamics, dynamical systems theory, statistical analyses and machine learning for the study of extreme events. I will use this interdisciplinary knowledge base to detect and quantify compound climate extremes and elucidate their link to different large-scale atmospheric circulation features. I will then leverage this to identify new predictability pathways for the compound extremes and to explain their long-term occurrence trends. The analysis framework I will develop is a flexible tool, applicable to a wide range of multivariate extremes in the Earth system and beyond.
DYCLEX is timely: Climate risks and extremes feature prominently in two Lighthouse Activities of the World Climate Research Programme, as well as in the EU’s strategy on adaptation to climate change. Moreover, the unconventional interdisciplinary toolkit that I plan to adopt offers novel opportunities, which should be rapidly and systematically exploited.
Fields of science (EuroSciVoc)
CORDIS classifies projects with EuroSciVoc, a multilingual taxonomy of fields of science, through a semi-automatic process based on NLP techniques. See: The European Science Vocabulary.
CORDIS classifies projects with EuroSciVoc, a multilingual taxonomy of fields of science, through a semi-automatic process based on NLP techniques. See: The European Science Vocabulary.
- natural sciences mathematics applied mathematics dynamical systems
- natural sciences earth and related environmental sciences atmospheric sciences meteorology atmospheric circulation
- natural sciences earth and related environmental sciences atmospheric sciences climatology climatic changes
- natural sciences computer and information sciences artificial intelligence machine learning
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Keywords
Project’s keywords as indicated by the project coordinator. Not to be confused with the EuroSciVoc taxonomy (Fields of science)
Project’s keywords as indicated by the project coordinator. Not to be confused with the EuroSciVoc taxonomy (Fields of science)
Programme(s)
Multi-annual funding programmes that define the EU’s priorities for research and innovation.
Multi-annual funding programmes that define the EU’s priorities for research and innovation.
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HORIZON.1.1 - European Research Council (ERC)
MAIN PROGRAMME
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Topic(s)
Calls for proposals are divided into topics. A topic defines a specific subject or area for which applicants can submit proposals. The description of a topic comprises its specific scope and the expected impact of the funded project.
Calls for proposals are divided into topics. A topic defines a specific subject or area for which applicants can submit proposals. The description of a topic comprises its specific scope and the expected impact of the funded project.
Funding Scheme
Funding scheme (or “Type of Action”) inside a programme with common features. It specifies: the scope of what is funded; the reimbursement rate; specific evaluation criteria to qualify for funding; and the use of simplified forms of costs like lump sums.
Funding scheme (or “Type of Action”) inside a programme with common features. It specifies: the scope of what is funded; the reimbursement rate; specific evaluation criteria to qualify for funding; and the use of simplified forms of costs like lump sums.
HORIZON-ERC - HORIZON ERC Grants
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Call for proposal
Procedure for inviting applicants to submit project proposals, with the aim of receiving EU funding.
Procedure for inviting applicants to submit project proposals, with the aim of receiving EU funding.
(opens in new window) ERC-2025-COG
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Net EU financial contribution. The sum of money that the participant receives, deducted by the EU contribution to its linked third party. It considers the distribution of the EU financial contribution between direct beneficiaries of the project and other types of participants, like third-party participants.
751 05 Uppsala
Sweden
The total costs incurred by this organisation to participate in the project, including direct and indirect costs. This amount is a subset of the overall project budget.